Austria Wien vs SK Rapid Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga Austria Wien FAK 
1 – 1
SK Rapid SCR Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 4 · Championship Round
Kelvin Boateng - 34'
|
Ercan Kara - 83'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 16
CONTEXT
The match between Austria Wien and SK Rapid is now finished, ending in a 1-1 draw. Austria Wien led 1-0 at half-time but were unable to hold on as SK Rapid equalized in the second period. Pre-match assessments had the contest rated as extremely even, with little to separate the sides. The final result marked a significant deviation for SK Rapid, the stronger team on paper, who controlled 66 percent of possession yet could only salvage a point on the road against Austria Wien’s 34 percent share. No red cards occurred to alter the flow of play. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, though the draw ultimately failed to align with the pre-match projection. Without reliable xG data available, the outcome could not be measured against expected goals, leaving the result as a hard-fought but somewhat disappointing share of the spoils for the visitors.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: SK Rapid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
H. Lechner
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
M. Höfler
1st Assistant
S. Pichler
2nd Assistant
J. Semler
4th Official
S. Helm
VS
J. Hoff Thorup
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 25 - 25
25
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Austria Wien34.77%
Draw
30.78%
SK Rapid34.45%
Movement
Changes since opening Austria Wien+30.3%
Draw
-60.29%
SK Rapid+29.98%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.68 27.13 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien SK RapidPower Score
23.68
27.13
League Position
5
5
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien SK Rapid
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Austria Wien
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
SK Rapid
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Austria Wien ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.82
13.56
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.56
23.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austria Wien +0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Rapid -0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Austria Wien ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austria Wien SK Rapid Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austria Wien SK Rapid Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Austria Wienvs
SK Rapid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austria Wien SK Rapid Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austria Wien 0.14
SK Rapid 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austria Wien SK Rapid Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austria Wien 0.03
SK Rapid 0.02
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SCR had peak pressure around 96'.
- SCR started the game with stronger pressure.
FAK Pressure SCR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCR reached the top pressure at 96' (94.91).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 74 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Austria Wien FAK Home
74 matches
SK Rapid SCR Away
Match Record 24
Wins
25
25
Draws
25
25
Losses
24
Goals 94
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
94
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:07:44+00:00
STARTING XI
Austria Wien SK Rapid Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
46 J. Handl
15 A. Dragović
28 P. Wiesinger
26 R. Ranftl
5 A. Bari
F. Wustinger
#2261'
6 P. Maybach
17 T. Lee
M. Österreicher
#3390+1'
30 M. Fischer
M. Schablas
#4083'
36 V. Markovic
S. Saljic
#2062'
14 K. Boateng
1 N. Hedl
6 S. Raux Yao
55 N. Cvetković
K. Ahoussou
#2046'
4 J. Schöller
38 J. Horn
18 M. Seidl
J. Antiste
#9063'
29 A. Romeo
77 B. Bolla
Y. Demir
#2263'
10 P. Dahl
E. Kara
#963'
15 N. Wurmbrand
L. Grgic
#889'
26 A. Weimann
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 03:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 4 · Championship Round
🏟️ Stadium :
Generali Arena
👥 Capacity :
10398
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Harald Lechner
Martin Höfler
Stefan Pichler
Jakob Semler
Next Match
Austria Wien
vs
Salzburg
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Venue: Generali Arena
SK Rapid
vs
Hartberg
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Venue: PROfertil ARENA
Statistics
Possession
FAK
37%
SCR
63%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 3
42 Dangerous attacks 39
34 Possession 66
6 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
5 Goal Kicks 7
4 Substitutions 5
63 Ball Safe 78
8 Successful Dribbles 8
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
18 Throwins 20
20 Dribble Attempts 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
6 Goal Attempts 4
0 Assists 1
Attacking
1 Big Chances Missed 0
92 Attacks 122
Possession
52 Long Passes 35
290 Passes 610
204 Successful Passes 535
70 Successful Passes Percentage 88
5 Key Passes 7
12 Successful Long Passes 16
23 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
Defensive
20 Tackles 17
2 Saves 0
13 Interceptions 6
Build-up
22 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 5
Discipline
12 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
Lineup
Austria Wien Referee : Harald Lechner
Manager ▼
S. Helm Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
15 Aleksandar Dragovic Defender
28 Philipp Wiesinger Defender
46 Johannes Handl Defender
5 Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6 Philipp Maybach Midfielder
22Florian Wustinger
Midfielder61'
17 Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
26 Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
14 Kelvin Boateng Attacker
20Sanel Saljic
Midfielder62'
30 Manfred Fischer Attacker
33Marijan Österreicher
Midfielder90+1'
36 Vasilije Markovic Attacker
40Matteo Schablas
Defender83'
Substitutes ▼
22Florian Wustinger
Midfielder61'
20Sanel Saljic
Midfielder62'
40Matteo Schablas
Defender83'
33Marijan Österreicher
Midfielder90+1'
Bench ▼
99 Mirko Kos Goalkeeper
60 Dejan Radonjic Defender
66 Ifeanyi Ndukwe Defender
7 Romeo Vucic Attacker
47 Abdoulaye Kanté Attacker
SK Rapid Referee : Harald Lechner
Manager ▼
J. Hoff Thorup Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
4 Jakob Schöller Defender
20Ange Ahoussou
Defender46'
6 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
55 Nenad Cvetkovic Defender
18 Matthias Seidl Midfielder
29 Romeo Amane Midfielder
90Janis Antiste
Attacker63'
38 Jannes Horn Midfielder
77 Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder
10 Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker
22Yusuf Demir
Attacker63'
15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand Attacker
9Ercan Kara
Attacker63'
26 Andreas Weimann Attacker
8Lukas Grgic
Midfielder89'
Substitutes ▼
20Ange Ahoussou
Defender46'
90Janis Antiste
Attacker63'
22Yusuf Demir
Attacker63'
9Ercan Kara
Attacker63'
8Lukas Grgic
Midfielder89'
Bench ▼
25
Paul Gartler Goalkeeper
61
Furkan Demir Defender
17
Tobias Gulliksen Midfielder
7
Marco Tilio Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Marijan Österreicher → Manfred Fischer
9th Substitution
90+1'
89'
Lukas Grgic → Andreas Weimann
8th Substitution
88'
Jannes Horn
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Matteo Schablas → Vasilije Markovic
7th Substitution
83'
83'
Ercan Kara
Header / 2nd Goal
63'
Janis Antiste → Romeo Amane
4th Substitution
63'
Yusuf Demir → Petter Nosa Dahl
5th Substitution
63'
Ercan Kara → Nikolaus Wurmbrand
6th Substitution
Sanel Saljic → Kelvin Boateng
3rd Substitution
62'
Florian Wustinger → Philipp Maybach
2nd Substitution
61'
46'
Ange Ahoussou → Jakob Schöller
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
43'
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Kelvin Boateng
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
Vasilije Markovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: SK Rapid exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.
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