Austria Wien vs Salzburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien FAK
1 Winner 3
Salzburg RBS
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 5 Championship Round
Kelvin Boateng - 61'
Goal
|
Goal
Karim Onisiwo - 77'
Karim Konaté - 28'
Kerim Alajbegovic - 3'

CONTEXT

Salzburg delivered a commanding 3-1 away win against Austria Wien, asserting dominance from the outset with a 2-0 halftime lead despite the hosts holding 55% possession. Austria Wien's territorial advantage failed to translate into meaningful chances, as Salzburg's sharp finishing extended their advantage before a late consolation goal. No red cards marred the contest, allowing the stronger visitors to control proceedings unhindered. Pre-match assessments pegged Salzburg at 49.3% likelihood, a view fully vindicated by the outcome and marked by a significant 50.7% deviation in their favor. Efficiency held steady in line with expectations, though xG metrics were unavailable for further scrutiny. This result underscores Salzburg's clinical edge and structural superiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Salzburg posted a significant 50.7% deviation favoring their dominant performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics aligned in line with pre-match evaluations.
  • xG alignment: xG data absence prevented outcome consistency assessment.
  • Market alignment: Result matched pre-match market probabilities accurately.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG figures blocked expectations analysis.
  • Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments and no knockout tie preserved natural flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no disciplinary disruptions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Hameter

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Weiss

1st Assistant

S. Barmaksiz

4th Official

A. Borucki

2nd Assistant

Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
VS
Salzburg D. Beichler
D. Beichler
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: D
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: D
SK Rapid Rank: L
SK Rapid Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 21 - 44
44

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Austria Wien
25.37%
Draw
25.37%
Away Salzburg
49.27%

Movement

Changes since opening
Austria Wien
+25.15%
Draw
+23.45%
Salzburg
-48.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.03
24.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien
Salzburg
Power Score
24.03
24.36
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien Salzburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Salzburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.00
16.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.00
16.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austria Wien +0.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Salzburg +0.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
Salzburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Salzburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austria Wien Salzburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austria Wien Salzburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
Salzburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Austria Wien
vs
Salzburg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austria Wien Salzburg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austria Wien 0.11
Salzburg 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austria Wien Salzburg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austria Wien 0.13
Salzburg 0.02
Austria Wien
Salzburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FAK had peak pressure around 75'.
  • RBS started the game with stronger pressure.
FAK Pressure RBS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FAK reached the top pressure at 75' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 76 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austria Wien FAK Home
76 matches
Salzburg RBS Away
Match Record
11
Wins
44
21
Draws
21
44
Losses
11
Goals
72
Goals Scored
159
159
Goals Conceded
72
-87
Goal Difference
+87

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:02:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
S. Sahin-Radlinger
Austria
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
J. Handl
Substitution
Austria
46 J. Handl
A. Dragović
Austria
15 A. Dragović
P. Wiesinger
Austria
28 P. Wiesinger
R. Ranftl
Austria
26 R. Ranftl
A. Bari
Gambia
5 A. Bari
M. Fischer
Substitution
Austria
30 M. Fischer
T. Lee
Substitution
South Korea
17 T. Lee
V. Markovic
Substitution
Austria
36 V. Markovic
S. Saljic
Substitution
Austria
20 S. Saljic
K. Boateng
Ghana
14 K. Boateng
Pitch
A. Schlager
Austria
1 A. Schlager
F. Krätzig
Germany
13 F. Krätzig
T. Drexler
Germany
21 T. Drexler
J. Schuster
Austria
44 J. Schuster
S. Lainer
Austria
22 S. Lainer
M. Kjaergaard
Substitution
Denmark
14 M. Kjaergaard
M. Bidstrup
Denmark
18 M. Bidstrup
S. Kitano
Japan
8 S. Kitano
K. Alajbegović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
27 K. Alajbegović
K. Konaté
Substitution
Ivory Coast
19 K. Konaté
Y. Vertessen
Substitution
Belgium
11 Y. Vertessen

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 19, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Generali Arena
Capacity :
10398
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Markus Hameter
Maximilian Weiss
Safak Barmaksiz
Alexander Borucki

Statistics

Possession
FAK
53%
RBS
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 4
56 Dangerous attacks 24
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 1
17 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35
70 Ball Safe 76
6 Goal Attempts 5
14 Throwins 25
1 Assists 3
0 Injuries 1
15 Dribble Attempts 26
4 Goal Kicks 10
3 Successful Dribbles 9
5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1
104 Attacks 100

Possession

6 Key Passes 4
81 Successful Passes Percentage 79
27 Successful Long Passes 20
385 Successful Passes 316
67 Long Passes 64
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
477 Passes 402

Defensive

22 Tackles 19
54 Duels Won 49
8 Interceptions 8
1 Saves 3

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 7
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
6.69
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
Aleksandar Dragovic Defender
6.83
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Philipp Wiesinger Defender
6.82
46
Johannes Handl
Johannes Handl Defender
6.59
24
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic
Defender46'
6.64
5
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6.9
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
6.93
22
Florian Wustinger
Florian Wustinger
Midfielder70'
6.47
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
6.86
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer Midfielder
6.89
16
Kang-hee Lee
Kang-hee Lee
Midfielder82'
6.61
14
Kelvin Boateng
Kelvin Boateng Attacker
6.6
20
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic Attacker
6.73
40
Matteo Schablas
Matteo Schablas
Defender70'
6.83
36
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic Attacker
6.64
7
Romeo Vucic
Romeo Vucic
Attacker82'
6.48
Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

1
Alexander Schlager
Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper
6.8
13
Frans Krätzig
Frans Krätzig Defender
7.05
21
Tim Drexler
Tim Drexler Defender
6.51
22
Stefan Lainer
Stefan Lainer Defender
6.99
44
Jannik Schuster
Jannik Schuster Defender
6.98
8
Sota Kitano
Sota Kitano Midfielder
6.89
14
Maurits Kjærgaard
Maurits Kjærgaard Midfielder
7.17
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
Soumaïla Diabaté
Midfielder90'
6.77
18
Mads Bidstrup
Mads Bidstrup Midfielder
6.96
11
Yorbe Vertessen
Yorbe Vertessen Attacker
6.89
43
Enrique Aguilar
Enrique Aguilar
Attacker90+1'
6.57
19
Karim Konaté
Karim Konaté Attacker
6.92
9
Karim Onisiwo
Karim Onisiwo
Attacker74'
6.65
27
Kerim Alajbegovic
Kerim Alajbegovic Attacker
7.39
49
Moussa Yeo
Moussa Yeo
Midfielder82'
6.83

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Enrique Aguilar → Yorbe Vertessen
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Soumaïla Diabaté → Maurits Kjærgaard
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Moussa Yeo
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Kang-hee Lee → Manfred Fischer
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Romeo Vucic → Vasilije Markovic
6th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Moussa Yeo → Kerim Alajbegovic
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Karim Onisiwo
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
Event
Karim Onisiwo → Karim Konaté
4th Substitution
Event
Florian Wustinger → Tae-seok Lee
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Matteo Schablas → Sanel Saljic
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Kelvin Boateng
Off the ball foul / 5th Yellowcard
62'
Event
Kelvin Boateng
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
61'
50'
Event
Frans Krätzig
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Tin Plavotic → Johannes Handl
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Stefan Lainer
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sanel Saljic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
35'
28'
Event
Karim Konaté
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
14'
Event
Maurits Kjærgaard
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
3'
Event
Kerim Alajbegovic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Salzburg's 3-1 triumph over Austria Wien cements their stronger standing, leveraging early goals to neutralize the hosts' possession edge and secure a market-aligned victory. The significant deviation highlights their overperformance, while steady efficiency and lack of red cards or events maintained a clean narrative. This outcome boosts Salzburg's momentum without surprises, positioning them strongly for upcoming challenges amid unavailable xG insights.

Austria Wien vs Salzburg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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