Atlético Madrid vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Riyadh Air Metropolitano Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Atlético Madrid ATM
Versus
Girona GIR
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético Madrid host Girona in La Liga (Regular Season) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Domestically, Atlético Madrid sit 4th in the table while Girona are 16th. Power ranking favours Atlético Madrid by 13.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atlético Madrid enjoys a 13.2-point power advantage over Girona with scores of 88.59 versus 75.39.
  • Form: Atlético Madrid's form score stands at 19.89, significantly ahead of Girona's 8.72.
  • Squad: Atlético Madrid occupies 4th in La Liga, while Girona sits in 16th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this La Liga fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for Atlético Madrid or Girona.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams due to unavailable xG.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable as per match metadata.
  • Market: Atlético Madrid 52.3% (Δ+0.9%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ-0.3%) | Girona 22.1% (Δ-0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético Madrid D. Simeone
D. Simeone
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 L
Valencia Rank: 77 W
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Elche Rank: 73 L
Sevilla Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 D
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 80 L
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Atlético Madrid
52.26%
Draw
25.66%
Away Girona
22.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
Atlético Madrid
+0.93%
Draw
-0.34%
Girona
-0.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.59
75.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Madrid
Girona
Power Score
88.59
75.39
League Position
4
16
Global Rank
16
107

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atlético Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Madrid Girona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Madrid ATM Home
13 matches
Girona GIR Away
Match Record
7
Wins
1
5
Draws
5
1
Losses
7
Goals
29
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
29
+15
Goal Difference
-15

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Musso
1 J. Musso
J. Franco
32 J. Franco
M. Pubill Pagès
18 M. Pubill Pagès
D. Hancko
17 D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
3 M. Ruggeri
O. Vaargas
21 O. Vaargas
J. Resurrección Merodio
6 J. Resurrección Merodio
A. Rodríguez
10 A. Rodríguez
T. Almada
11 T. Almada
A. Griezmann
7 A. Griezmann
A. Lookman
22 A. Lookman
Pitch
P. Gazzaniga
13 P. Gazzaniga
A. Moreno Lopera
24 A. Moreno Lopera
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
12 V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
A. Torrijo
16 A. Torrijo
A. Martinez
4 A. Martinez
A. Ounahi
18 A. Ounahi
A. Witsel
20 A. Witsel
I. Martín Núñez
23 I. Martín Núñez
J. Roca Casals
3 J. Roca Casals
B. Gil Salvatierra
21 B. Gil Salvatierra
V. Tsygankov
15 V. Tsygankov

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Capacity :
70460
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Musso
Juan Musso Goalkeeper
7.14
22
Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman Attacker
6.82
11
Thiago Almada
Thiago Almada Attacker
6.81
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Centre Forward
6.98
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Matteo Ruggeri Left Back
6.77
6
Koke
Koke Central Midfield
6.98
10
Álex Baena
Álex Baena Central Midfield
6.96
17
Dávid Hancko
Dávid Hancko Left Back
6.86
18
Marc Pubill
Marc Pubill Right Back
7.06
21
Obed Vargas
Obed Vargas Central Midfield
6.79
32
Javier Boñar
Javier Boñar Right Back
6.62

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.86
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
7.12
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Attacker
6.56
21
Bryan Gil
Bryan Gil Centre Forward
6.63
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Right Back
6.88
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Central Midfield
6.83
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Left Back
6.89
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Central Midfield
7.24
16
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés Right Back
6.7
23
Iván Martín
Iván Martín Central Midfield
6.8
24
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno Left Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Atlético Madrid holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Atlético Madrid a 13.2-point edge. External projection is Atlético Madrid 53.6%, draw 25%, and Girona 21.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Atlético Madrid vs Girona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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