Arsenal vs Fulham Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Premier League, England

Emirates Stadium Sat, 2 May - 4:30 PM

Premier League

Arsenal ARS

Fulham FUL

Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:30 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

Viktor Gyökeres - 45+4', 9'

Bukayo Saka - 40'

CONTEXT

Arsenal delivered a dominant 3-0 home win against Fulham, exploding for three first-half goals to lead 3-0 at halftime and never looking back. The Gunners held 54% possession compared to Fulham's 46%, reflecting their status as the stronger team throughout the match. No red cards were issued, allowing uninterrupted flow, and Arsenal's defense stood firm to secure a clean sheet. Fulham mounted little threat, unable to convert their possession into meaningful chances. This performance underscored Arsenal's clinical edge early on, with the second half serving as mere consolidation. The result demonstrated structural stability with minimal deviation, aligning closely with expectations for the home side. Arsenal's efficiency remained consistent, capping a professional display.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Arsenal exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.4%.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
Event impact: No key events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Gillett

Fouls / match 0

Yellow cards / match 0

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Jones

4th Official

S. Long

1st Assistant

S. Meredith

2nd Assistant

M. Arteta

M. Saraiva Da Silva

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.54

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

25 - 8 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Arsenal

97.6%

Draw

1.91%

Fulham

0.49%

Team Power Ranking

97.95

70.75

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Arsenal

Fulham

Power Score

97.95

70.75

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score

Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Fulham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Arsenal

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fulham

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

37.96

25.33

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

25.33

37.96

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Arsenal +1.37 Efficiency Index

Fulham -1.37 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Arsenal

Fulham

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fulham

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Arsenal Fulham

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Arsenal Fulham

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Arsenal

Fulham

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Arsenal

Fulham

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Arsenal Fulham

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Arsenal Fulham

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Arsenal

Fulham

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ARS had peak pressure around 28'.
ARS started the game with stronger pressure.

ARS Pressure FUL Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ARS reached the top pressure at 28' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arsenal ARS Home

37 matches

Fulham FUL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+49

Goal Difference

-49

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 D. Raya Martin

4 B. White

2 W. Saliba

6 G. dos Santos Magalhães

33 R. Calafiori

41 D. Rice

49 M. Lewis-Skelly

7 B. Saka

10 E. Eze

19 L. Trossard

14 V. Gyökeres

1 B. Leno

33 A. Robinson

3 C. Bassey

5 J. Andersen

21 T. Castagne

20 S. Lukić

6 H. Reed

19 S. Chukwueze

32 E. Smith Rowe

8 H. Wilson

7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time :

May 02, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Emirates Stadium

Capacity :

60704

Attendance :

60196

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Jarred Gillett

Robert Jones

Simon Long

Steve Meredith

Statistics

Possession

ARS

55%

FUL

45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0

6 Big Chances Created 1

13 Shots 5

50 Dangerous attacks 33

54 Possession 46

3 Corners 4

12 Free kicks 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1

1 Hit Woodwork 0

8 Goal Kicks 7

13 Successful Headers 14

3 Assists 0

59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75

17 Dribble Attempts 4

14 Goal Attempts 4

10 Successful Dribbles 3

15 Throwins 12

70 Ball Safe 73

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

104 Attacks 73

4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

14 Key Passes 6

447 Successful Passes 345

47 Long Passes 38

89 Successful Passes Percentage 83

24 Successful Long Passes 12

51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

504 Passes 418

Defensive

10 Interceptions 5

7 Tackles 22

42 Duels Won 45

1 Saves 6

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 12

3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Fouls 12

7 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Jarred Gillett

Manager ▼

M. Arteta Coach

Starting XI ▼

David Raya Goalkeeper

6.78

William Saliba Defender

6.9

Ben White Defender

6.89

Cristhian Mosquera

Defender83'

6.83

Gabriel Magalhães Defender

7.21

Riccardo Calafiori Defender

6.88

Bukayo Saka Midfielder

7.19

Noni Madueke

Attacker46'

6.78

Eberechi Eze Midfielder

7.43

Max Dowman

Midfielder78'

7.05

Leandro Trossard Midfielder

6.91

Declan Rice Midfielder

7.34

Martín Zubimendi

Midfielder64'

7.02

Myles Lewis-Skelly Midfielder

6.51

Viktor Gyökeres Attacker

6.76

Gabriel Jesus

Attacker64'

6.59

Substitutes ▼

Noni Madueke

Attacker46'

6.78

Gabriel Jesus

Attacker64'

6.59

Martín Zubimendi

Midfielder64'

7.02

Max Dowman

Midfielder78'

7.05

Cristhian Mosquera

Defender83'

6.83

Bench ▼

Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper

Piero Hincapié Defender

6.89

Christian Nørgaard Midfielder

6.48

Gabriel Martinelli Attacker

6.59

Referee : Jarred Gillett