Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Mon, 18 May - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
Versus
Nieciecza Nieciecza
KICKOFF : Mon, 18 May - 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arka Gdynia host Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski. Domestically, Arka Gdynia sit 17th in the table while Nieciecza are 18th. Power ranking favours Arka Gdynia by 3.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arka Gdynia holds a 3.3-point power advantage over Nieciecza with scores of 50.3 to 47.
  • Form: Arka Gdynia edges Nieciecza in form scores, 16.78 versus 15.44.
  • Squad: Arka Gdynia sits 17th and Nieciecza 18th in the Ekstraklasa standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent, limiting advanced analysis.
  • Market: Arka Gdynia 53.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Nieciecza 21.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arka Gdynia D. Banasik
D. Banasik
VS
Nieciecza M. Brosz
M. Brosz
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.88
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 66 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 L
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 55 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arka Gdynia
53.72%
Draw
24.55%
Away Nieciecza
21.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.3
47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Power Score
50.3
47
League Position
17
18
Global Rank
613
752

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Nieciecza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arka Gdynia Nieciecza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Home
6 matches
Nieciecza Nieciecza Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
7
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T02:02:00+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Grobelny
1 J. Grobelny
E. Gómez Hermoso
23 E. Gómez Hermoso
M. Marcjanik
29 M. Marcjanik
D. Abramowicz
33 D. Abramowicz
D. Zator
4 D. Zator
M. Rzuchowski
91 M. Rzuchowski
K. Jakubczyk
35 K. Jakubczyk
D. Kocyla
11 D. Kocyla
P. Szysz
21 P. Szysz
V. Gutkovskis
19 V. Gutkovskis
S. Kerk
37 S. Kerk
Pitch
A. Chovan
1 A. Chovan
A. Putivtsev
77 A. Putivtsev
A. Kasperkiewicz
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
M. Matysik
32 M. Matysik
D. Hilbrycht
21 D. Hilbrycht
S. Guerrero Romero
23 S. Guerrero Romero
M. Ambrosiewicz
28 M. Ambrosiewicz
G. Isik
29 G. Isik
R. Kurzawa
8 R. Kurzawa
I. Durdov
19 I. Durdov
K. Zapolnik
25 K. Zapolnik

General Information

Date & Time :
May 18, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski
Capacity :
15300
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Jedrzej Grobelny
Jedrzej Grobelny Goalkeeper
7.14
4
Dominick Zator
Dominick Zator Midfielder
6.48
11
Dawid Kocyla
Dawid Kocyla Midfielder
6.7
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Centre Forward
6.82
21
Patryk Szysz
Patryk Szysz Attacker
6.53
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Attacker
7.01
23
Kike Hermoso
Kike Hermoso Right Back
6.86
29
Michal Marcjanik
Michal Marcjanik Centre Back
6.72
33
Dawid Abramowicz
Dawid Abramowicz Left Back
6.86
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Central Midfield
6.74
91
Michal Rzuchowski
Michal Rzuchowski Central Midfield
6.59

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Chovan
Adrian Chovan Goalkeeper
6.89
8
Rafal Kurzawa
Rafal Kurzawa Midfielder
7.19
19
Ivan Durdov
Ivan Durdov Midfielder
6.87
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
6.86
29
Gabriel Isik
Gabriel Isik Midfielder
6.69
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Centre Forward
6.68
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Centre Back
6.79
23
Sergio Guerrero
Sergio Guerrero Central Midfield
6.56
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Central Midfield
6.87
32
Milosz Matysik
Milosz Matysik Right Back
6.41
77
Artem Putivtsev
Artem Putivtsev Left Back
6.45

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Arka Gdynia holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Arka Gdynia a 3.3-point edge. External projection is Arka Gdynia 53.9%, draw 24.7%, and Nieciecza 21.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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