Arka Gdynia vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Wed, 13 May - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
0 – 0
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
Full Time Wed, 13 May 4:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Arka Gdynia and Górnik Zabrze finished their match in a tense 0-0 draw, with the scoreline remaining level at halftime as well. Górnik Zabrze, deemed the stronger side, controlled the game with 64% possession against Arka's 36%, yet struggled to create clear scoring chances. Arka's defense stood firm, frustrating the visitors' attacks and earning a hard-fought point. No red cards were shown, and the game proceeded without major disruptions or second-half tactical shifts. This result highlights Górnik's inability to capitalize on dominance, marking a moderate structural deviation of 7.7%. The draw underscores Arka's resilience at home despite being under pressure for much of the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 7.7% occurred for Górnik Zabrze.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Market outcome aligned with the draw result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations undetermined due to lack of data.
  • Event impact: No significant events impacted the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Szczerbowicz

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.14
Yellow cards / match 3.26
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.2
Arka Gdynia D. Banasik
D. Banasik
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 60 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 63 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 66 D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arka Gdynia
3.25%
Draw
92.27%
Away Górnik Zabrze
4.48%

Movement

Changes since opening
Arka Gdynia
-0.8%
Draw
+1.8%
Górnik Zabrze
-1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.25
67.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arka Gdynia
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
50.25
67.18
League Position
17
4
Global Rank
620
273

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Arka Gdynia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arka Gdynia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Arka Gdynia
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Arka Gdynia
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Arka Gdynia 0.00
Górnik Zabrze 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Arka Gdynia Górnik Zabrze
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Arka Gdynia 0.00
Górnik Zabrze 0.00
Arka Gdynia
Górnik Zabrze
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Arka Gdynia had peak pressure around 93'.
  • Górnik Zabrze started the game with stronger pressure.
  • Both teams' pressure dropped after the 30th minute.
Arka Gdynia Pressure Górnik Zabrze Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Arka Gdynia reached the top pressure at 93' (61.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Home
17 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
7
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
7
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T16:01:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Grobelny
Poland
1 J. Grobelny
E. Gómez Hermoso
Spain
23 E. Gómez Hermoso
M. Marcjanik
Poland
29 M. Marcjanik
D. Abramowicz
Poland
33 D. Abramowicz
D. Zator
Substitution
Canada
4 D. Zator
M. Rzuchowski
Substitution
Poland
22 M. Rzuchowski
K. Jakubczyk
Poland
35 K. Jakubczyk
Oskar Kubiak
7 Oskar Kubiak
D. Kocyla
Poland
11 D. Kocyla
V. Gutkovskis
Substitution
Latvia
19 V. Gutkovskis
S. Kerk
Germany
37 S. Kerk
Pitch
M. Łubik
Poland
1 M. Łubik
E. Janža
Slovenia
64 E. Janža
J. Sánchez Guillén
Spain
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
R. Janicki
Poland
26 R. Janicki
P. Olkowski
Poland
16 P. Olkowski
L. Ambros
Czech Republic
18 L. Ambros
P. Hellebrand
Czech Republic
8 P. Hellebrand
L. Sadílek
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 L. Sadílek
M. Khlan
Substitution
Ukraine
33 M. Khlan
S. Liseth
Norway
23 S. Liseth
R. Massimo
Substitution
Germany
15 R. Massimo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski
Capacity :
15300
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marcin Szczerbowicz

Statistics

Possession
Arka Gdynia
41%
Górnik Zabrze
59%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 5
30 Dangerous attacks 65
36 Possession 64
1 Corners 9
12 Free kicks 14
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Injuries 2
43 Ball Safe 31
3 Goal Attempts 5
13 Throwins 21
5 Successful Dribbles 13
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
15 Dribble Attempts 25
11 Goal Kicks 6
4 Substitutions 3

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
98 Attacks 100

Possession

70 Successful Passes Percentage 82
277 Passes 485
77 Long Passes 60
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
193 Successful Passes 400
6 Key Passes 8
39 Successful Long Passes 28

Defensive

1 Saves 2
51 Duels Won 58
10 Interceptions 6
16 Tackles 15

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 22
2 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Marcin Szczerbowicz

Starting XI ▼

1
Jedrzej Grobelny
Jedrzej Grobelny Goalkeeper
7.17
23
Kike Hermoso
Kike Hermoso Defender
6.86
29
Michal Marcjanik
Michal Marcjanik Defender
6.7
33
Dawid Abramowicz
Dawid Abramowicz Defender
6.81
4
Dominick Zator
Dominick Zator Midfielder
6.47
2
Marc Navarro
Marc Navarro
Defender72'
6.9
7
O. Kubiak
O. Kubiak Midfielder
6.76
22
Michal Rzuchowski
Michal Rzuchowski Midfielder
6.59
10
Aurélien Nguiamba
Aurélien Nguiamba
Midfielder81'
6.58
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Midfielder
6.74
11
Dawid Kocyla
Dawid Kocyla Attacker
6.7
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
Vladislavs Gutkovskis Attacker
6.81
99
Edu Espiau
Edu Espiau
Attacker63'
6.71
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Attacker
7.03
Referee : Marcin Szczerbowicz

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.64
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Defender
6.8
20
Josema
Josema Defender
6.9
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Defender
7.02
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza Defender
7.09
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
7.32
13
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
7.09
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Midfielder81'
6.62
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Midfielder
6.92
15
Roberto Massimo
Roberto Massimo Attacker
6.53
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Midfielder61'
7.03
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Attacker
6.91
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
6.95
4
Pawel Bochniewicz
Pawel Bochniewicz
Defender90'
6.78

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Pawel Bochniewicz → Maksym Khlan
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
86'
Event
Rafal Janicki
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Aurélien Nguiamba → Michal Rzuchowski
6th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Yvan Ikia Dimi → Lukas Sadilek
5th Substitution
Event
O. Kubiak → Patryk Szysz
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Marc Navarro → Dominick Zator
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Edu Espiau → Vladislavs Gutkovskis
2nd Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Jaroslaw Kubicki → Roberto Massimo
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Pawel Bochniewicz comes on for Maksym Khlan.
88
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Jakubczyk's right-footed shot is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Kerk takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Kerk's left-footed shot is saved.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafal Janicki receives a yellow card.
86
Attempt Attempt
Eduardo David Espiau Hernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan's left-footed shot is blocked.
81
Update Update
Aurelien Nguiamba comes on for Michal Rzuchowski.
81
Update Update
Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi comes on for Lukas Sadilek.
79
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
72
Update Update
Marcos Navarro comes on for Dominick Zator.
72
Update Update
Oskar Kubiak is on, and Patryk Szysz is off.
63
Update Update
Eduardo David Espiau Hernandez comes on for Vladislavs Gutkovskis.
61
Update Update
Jaroslaw Kubicki replaces Roberto Massimo.
53
Attempt Attempt
Dawid Kocyla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Pawel Olkowski's right-footed shot is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Dawid Kocyla takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Janicki takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Kike Hermoso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Michal Rzuchowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Kike Hermoso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth takes a left-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Vladislavs Gutkovskis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Jakubczyk's right-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw leaves both teams with mixed feelings, but Arka Gdynia can take pride in their defensive masterclass against a possession-heavy Górnik Zabrze. The away side's 64% possession failed to yield goals, exposing finishing woes despite their status as favorites. With no xG data available, the focus shifts to tangible metrics like possession and resilience. This moderate deviation for Górnik suggests room for improvement in converting control into points. Arka's point keeps them competitive, while Górnik must regroup to match their potential in future outings.

Arka Gdynia vs Górnik Zabrze preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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