Antwerp vs Westerlo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Bosuilstadion Sat, 23 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Antwerp ANT
2 Winner 0
Westerlo KVC
Full Time Sat, 23 May 6:45 PM
Round 10 Conference League Play-off Group
Modibo Fofana - 69'
Rein Van Helden - 45+2'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Antwerp defeated Westerlo 2-0 with a halftime score of 1-0. The home side controlled the outcome despite Westerlo holding 54 percent possession against Antwerp's 46 percent. Antwerp as the stronger team delivered the victory without any red cards on either side. A significant deviation of 51.2 percent was recorded for Antwerp. Efficiency remained in line with the pre-match setup and the outcome stayed consistent with market alignment. No expected goals figures were available to further evaluate performance metrics. The clean match featured no second-half adjustments or disruptive incidents.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Antwerp 2-0 Westerlo. Antwerp showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the stronger team profile.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable for alignment checks.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were logged for either team.
  • Event impact: No key events altered the match progression or scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Ledda

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.54
Yellow cards / match 3.47
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.32
Antwerp F. Haroun
F. Haroun
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 77 D
OH Leuven Rank: 64 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 69 W
Standard Liège Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
OH Leuven Rank: 64 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antwerp
48.79%
Draw
24.72%
Away Westerlo
26.49%

Movement

Changes since opening
Antwerp
-49.1%
Draw
+22.8%
Westerlo
+26.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.81
69.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antwerp
Westerlo
Power Score
69.81
69.3
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
216
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp Westerlo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Westerlo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Westerlo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.11
19.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.72
40.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Antwerp +1.94 Efficiency Index
vs
Westerlo -1.94 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Antwerp
Westerlo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Westerlo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Antwerp Westerlo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Antwerp Westerlo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Antwerp
Westerlo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Antwerp
vs
Westerlo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Antwerp Westerlo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Antwerp 0.59
Westerlo 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Antwerp Westerlo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Antwerp 0.00
Westerlo 0.07
Antwerp
Westerlo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KVC had peak pressure around 31'.
  • KVC started the game with stronger pressure.
ANT Pressure KVC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KVC reached the top pressure at 31' (61.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home
9 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
5
Goals
20
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
20
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:03:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Devalckeneer
Belgium
81 N. Devalckeneer
R. Van Helden
Belgium
20 R. Van Helden
Z. Van Den Bosch
Substitution
Belgium
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
Y. Tsunashima
Japan
4 Y. Tsunashima
F. Adekami
Substitution
22 F. Adekami
C. Scott
Germany
30 C. Scott
D. Praet
Belgium
8 D. Praet
M. Benítez
Substitution
Argentina
16 M. Benítez
D. Foulon
Belgium
5 D. Foulon
V. Janssen
Substitution
Netherlands
18 V. Janssen
G. Kerk
Substitution
Netherlands
7 G. Kerk
Pitch
A. Jungdal
Denmark
99 A. Jungdal
C. Nsiala-Makengo
Substitution
France
6 C. Nsiala-Makengo
A. Lapage
Belgium
4 A. Lapage
E. Bayram
Türkiye
40 E. Bayram
B. Reynolds
United States
22 B. Reynolds
T. Van den Keybus
Substitution
Belgium
39 T. Van den Keybus
D. Haspolat
Netherlands
34 D. Haspolat
J. Alcócer
Costa Rica
77 J. Alcócer
I. Sakamoto
Substitution
Japan
13 I. Sakamoto
S. Saito
Substitution
38 S. Saito
E. Destan
Substitution
Türkiye
94 E. Destan

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 10 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Bosuilstadion
Capacity :
16649
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Massimiliano Ledda

Statistics

Possession
ANT
49%
KVC
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 3
29 Dangerous attacks 53
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 80
11 Goal Attempts 4
16 Throwins 21
1 Injuries 0
5 Successful Dribbles 11
14 Dribble Attempts 30
6 Goal Kicks 5
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 37
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

77 Attacks 96
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
371 Passes 418
28 Successful Long Passes 18
83 Successful Passes Percentage 83
307 Successful Passes 347
12 Key Passes 6
56 Long Passes 44

Defensive

53 Duels Won 51
7 Interceptions 7
31 Tackles 13
2 Saves 5

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 3
9 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

12 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Massimiliano Ledda

Starting XI ▼

81
Niels Devalckeneer
Niels Devalckeneer Goalkeeper
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Defender
20
Rein Van Helden
Rein Van Helden Defender
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Defender
79
Gerard Vandeplas
Gerard Vandeplas
Attacker90'
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Midfielder
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Midfielder
16
Mauricio Benitez
Mauricio Benitez Midfielder
6
Jules Ahoka Jules
Jules Ahoka Jules
Midfielder82'
22
Farouck Adekami
Farouck Adekami Midfielder
24
Thibo Somers
Thibo Somers
Attacker64'
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Midfielder
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Attacker
58
Modibo Fofana
Modibo Fofana
Midfielder64'
18
Vincent Janssen
Vincent Janssen Attacker
11
Geoffry Hairemans
Geoffry Hairemans
Midfielder89'
Referee : Massimiliano Ledda

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
4
Amando Lapage
Amando Lapage Defender
6
Clinton Nsiala
Clinton Nsiala Defender
23
Lucas Mbamba
Lucas Mbamba
Defender80'
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Defender
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
13
Isa Sakamoto
Isa Sakamoto Midfielder
29
Fernand Goure
Fernand Goure
Attacker80'
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Midfielder
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Midfielder
11
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
Attacker71'
39
Thomas Van den Keybus
Thomas Van den Keybus Midfielder
10
Afonso Patrão
Afonso Patrão
Attacker71'
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Midfielder
94
Enis Destan
Enis Destan Attacker
12
Reda Laalaoui
Reda Laalaoui
Midfielder71'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gerard Vandeplas → Zeno Van Den Bosch
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Geoffry Hairemans → Vincent Janssen
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Jules Ahoka Jules → Mauricio Benitez
8th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Lucas Mbamba → Clinton Nsiala
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Fernand Goure → Isa Sakamoto
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Afonso Patrão → Thomas Van den Keybus
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni → Shunsuke Saito
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Reda Laalaoui → Enis Destan
4th Substitution
Event
Modibo Fofana
Header / 2nd Goal
69'
Event
Daam Foulon
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Thibo Somers → Farouck Adekami
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Modibo Fofana → Gyrano Kerk
1st Substitution
64'
1ST-HALF
Event
Rein Van Helden
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45+2'
36'
Event
Emin Bayram
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Farouck Adekami
Simulation / 3rd Yellowcard
24'
Event
Yuto Tsunashima
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
11'
2'
Event
Thomas Van den Keybus
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Afonso Patrao takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Gerard Vandeplas is on, and Zeno Van Den Bosch is off.
89
Update Update
Geoffry Hairemans comes on for Vincent Janssen.
88
Attempt Attempt
Amando Lapage's right-footed shot is saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Thibo Somers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
Jules Ahoka is on, and Mauricio Benitez is off.
81
Attempt Attempt
Modibo Fofana attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Update Update
Lucas Mbamba-Muanda replaces Clinton Nsiala Makengo.
80
Substitution Substitution
Bi Irie Fernand Goure is substituted for Isa Sakamoto.
80
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Attempt Attempt
Thibo Somers takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Update Update
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni replaces Shunsuke Saito.
71
Update Update
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni comes on for Shunsuke Saito.
71
Update Update
Afonso Patrao replaces Thomas Van den Keybus.
69
Update Update
Modibo Fofana scores with a header.
69
Attempt Attempt
Modibo Fofana takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen's left-footed shot is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Isa Sakamoto takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Daam Foulon.
64
Update Update
Thibo Somers replaces Farouck Adekami.
64
Update Update
Modibo Fofana is on, and Gyrano Kerk is off.
60
Attempt Attempt
Gyrano Kerk's right-footed shot is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen's right-footed shot is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rein Van Helden scores with a right-footed shot.
43
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Daam Foulon takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
38
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen's left-footed shot is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Farouck Adekami takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shunsuke Saito takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Farouck Adekami takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Farouck Adekami takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Dogucan Haspolat takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Van den Keybus takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yuto Tsunashima receives a yellow card.
9
Attempt Attempt
Gyrano Kerk takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
2
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Van den Keybus receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Antwerp claimed a straightforward 2-0 win that reflected their status as the stronger side from start to finish. Westerlo enjoyed greater possession yet failed to convert it into meaningful chances or goals. The halftime lead of 1-0 set the tone and Antwerp maintained control through the second period without needing adjustments. Absence of red cards kept the contest balanced and free from major interruptions. Market signals correctly anticipated the outcome while efficiency metrics followed expected patterns. Overall the result highlighted Antwerp's ability to secure points even when possession favored the visitors.

Antwerp vs Westerlo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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