Antwerp vs Genk Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Bosuilstadion Fri, 3 Apr - 6:45 PM

Pro League

Antwerp ANT

Genk GNK

Full Time Fri, 3 Apr 6:45 PM

Round 1 Conference League Play-off Group

Christopher Scott - 86'

Daan Heymans - 51' (P), 45+2'

CONTEXT

The match between Antwerp and Genk has finished, resulting in a 2-1 away victory for Genk. The visitors established a 1-0 lead by halftime and ultimately secured the full-time win. This outcome aligned precisely with the pre-match market, which gave Genk a 40.4% probability of winning, compared to Antwerp's 31.8% chance and a 27.9% probability of a draw. While the market accurately predicted Genk as the stronger team, the match still featured a significant deviation level of 59.6% favoring the away side. Antwerp controlled the overall flow of play with 56% possession against Genk's 44%, but the hosts failed to successfully capitalize on their extended time on the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final scoreline aligned directly with the underlying chance quality. Nevertheless, the efficiency shift for the match was entirely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the contest was free of major disciplinary disruptions; no red cards were shown to either team, allowing the match to be settled fairly with both sides at full numerical strength for all ninety minutes.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Genk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

L. D'hondt

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Devillers

1st Assistant

N. Claes

2nd Assistant

K. Clerkx

4th Official

J. Oosting

N. Hayen

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

8 - 8 - 12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Antwerp

31.77%

Draw

27.87%

Genk

40.36%

Team Power Ranking

69.64

77.51

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Antwerp

Genk

Power Score

69.64

77.51

League Position

Global Rank

203

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score

Genk — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp Genk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Genk

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Genk

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.86

30.34

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

30.34

27.86

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Antwerp -0.23 Efficiency Index

Genk +0.23 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Antwerp

Genk

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Genk

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Antwerp Genk

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Antwerp Genk

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Antwerp

Genk

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Antwerp

Genk

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Antwerp Genk

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Antwerp Genk

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Antwerp

Genk

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 28 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home

28 matches

Genk GNK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-17

Goal Difference

+17

Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:03:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

41 T. Nozawa

4 Y. Tsunashima

16 M. Benítez

23 G. Bijl

24 T. Somers

14 A. Valencia

8 D. Praet

30 C. Scott

5 D. Foulon

79 G. Vandeplas

18 V. Janssen

28 L. Kiaba Mounganga

6 M. Smets

3 M. Sadick Aliu

44 J. Ndenge Kongolo

19 Y. Medina Ortiz

21 I. Bangoura

8 B. Heynen

77 Z. El Ouahdi

38 D. Heymans

20 K. Karetsas

29 R. Mirisola

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 03, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 1 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

Bosuilstadion

Capacity :

16649

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Romain Devillers

Nico Claes

K. Clerkx

Lothar D'hondt

Statistics

Possession

ANT

55%

GNK

45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

2 Big Chances Created 3

2 Shots 5

52 Dangerous attacks 27

56 Possession 44

3 Corners 0

15 Free kicks 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

28 Throwins 22

27 Dribble Attempts 21

12 Goal Kicks 6

1 Hit Woodwork 0

0 Assists 1

92 Ball Safe 83

4 Substitutions 5

2 Injuries 1

6 Goal Attempts 11

0 Penalties 1

13 Successful Dribbles 10

48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48

Attacking

121 Attacks 116

2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

53 Long Passes 52

82 Successful Passes Percentage 77

471 Passes 372

386 Successful Passes 286

8 Key Passes 10

58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

31 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

20 Tackles 24

2 Saves 1

13 Interceptions 7

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 10

5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 15

6 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Manager ▼

J. Oosting Coach

Starting XI ▼

Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper

Yuto Tsunashima Defender

Mauricio Benitez Defender

G. Bijl Defender

Marwan Alsahafi

Attacker70'

Daam Foulon Midfielder

Dennis Praet Midfielder

Kiki Kouyaté

Defender90+1'

Anthony Valencia Midfielder

Thibo Somers Midfielder

Youssef Hamdaoui

Midfielder69'

Christopher Scott Midfielder

Vincent Janssen Attacker

Gerard Vandeplas Attacker

Farouck Adekami

Midfielder46'

Substitutes ▼

Farouck Adekami

Midfielder46'

Youssef Hamdaoui

Midfielder69'

Marwan Alsahafi

Attacker70'

Kiki Kouyaté

Defender90+1'

Bench ▼

Yannick Thoelen Goalkeeper

Semm Renders Defender

Eran Tuypens Defender

Andreas Verstraeten Midfielder

Xander Dierckx Midfielder

Referee : Lothar D'hondt