Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Antalya Stadyumu Fri, 17 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Antalyaspor ANT
0 Winner 2
Konyaspor KON
Full Time Fri, 17 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
|
Goal
Melih İbrahimoğlu - 90+6'
Diogo Gonçalves - 57'

CONTEXT

Konyaspor secured a 2-0 victory over Antalyaspor in a Turkish Super Lig encounter, with both goals arriving in the second half after a goalless first period. Despite Antalyaspor holding 55% possession compared to Konyaspor's 45%, the visitors demonstrated superior clinical finishing and defensive solidity to claim the points. Identified as the stronger team pre-match, Konyaspor capitalized on their opportunities without facing any disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued. The result marked a significant structural deviation of 63.1% in Konyaspor's favor from pre-match expectations, though it aligned with market probabilities. Efficiency metrics remained in line with projections, underscoring Konyaspor's effective execution despite the home side's territorial dominance. This outcome highlights Konyaspor's ability to convert limited possession into decisive results.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Konyaspor recorded a significant structural deviation of 63.1% from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations not applicable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Taşkınsoy

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Çavuş

2nd Assistant

R. Coşkunses

4th Official

B. Birinci

1st Assistant

Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
VS
Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Kocaelispor Rank: W
Kasımpaşa Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 17 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antalyaspor
34.48%
Draw
28.63%
Away Konyaspor
36.89%

Movement

Changes since opening
Antalyaspor
+34.29%
Draw
+24.9%
Konyaspor
-59.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.77
21.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Power Score
16.77
21.76
League Position
14
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antalyaspor Konyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antalyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.64
22.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.56
27.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Antalyaspor +0.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Konyaspor -0.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antalyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Antalyaspor Konyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Konyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Antalyaspor
vs
Konyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Antalyaspor Konyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Antalyaspor 0.30
Konyaspor 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Konyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Antalyaspor 0.09
Konyaspor 0.00
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ANT had peak pressure around 97'.
  • KON started the game with stronger pressure.
ANT Pressure KON Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ANT reached the top pressure at 97' (74.81).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antalyaspor ANT Home
29 matches
Konyaspor KON Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
17
Draws
17
7
Losses
5
Goals
23
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
23
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T00:02:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Cuesta Díaz
Spain
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
B. Balcı
Substitution
Turkey
7 B. Balcı
V. Sarı
Turkey
89 V. Sarı
L. Gianetti
Substitution
Argentina
30 L. Gianetti
K. Paal
Suriname
3 K. Paal
S. Dikmen
Substitution
Turkey
6 S. Dikmen
S. Ballet
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet
D. Šarić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
88 D. Šarić
R. Safouri
Israel
8 R. Safouri
D. Sinik
Substitution
Turkey
70 D. Sinik
S. van de Streek
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek
Pitch
D. Ertaş
Turkey
1 D. Ertaş
A. Boşluk
Turkey
24 A. Boşluk
A. Demirbağ
Turkey
4 A. Demirbağ
A. Nagalo
Ivory Coast
39 A. Nagalo
U. Yazğılı
Turkey
5 U. Yazğılı
M. Ibrahimoglu
Austria
77 M. Ibrahimoglu
M. Bjørlo
Substitution
Norway
42 M. Bjørlo
K. Olaigbe
Substitution
Belgium
70 K. Olaigbe
D. Cupido Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
17 D. Cupido Gonçalves
D. Türüç
Substitution
Turkey
9 D. Türüç
B. Kramer
Substitution
Slovenia
99 B. Kramer

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Antalya Stadyumu
Capacity :
32537
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy
Samet Çavuş
Reşat Onur Coşkunses
Bahtiyar Birinci

Statistics

Possession
ANT
54%
KON
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 6
6 Shots 5
44 Dangerous attacks 23
55 Possession 45
10 Corners 1
21 Free kicks 8
3 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

19 Dribble Attempts 17
37 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
19 Throwins 19
7 Successful Dribbles 9
7 Goal Kicks 15
13 Successful Headers 14
5 Substitutions 5
81 Ball Safe 86
11 Goal Attempts 9
3 Injuries 2
0 Assists 2

Attacking

109 Attacks 68
1 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

16 Successful Long Passes 15
398 Passes 346
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
13 Key Passes 7
333 Successful Passes 264
42 Long Passes 48
84 Successful Passes Percentage 76

Defensive

6 Interceptions 4
17 Tackles 17
56 Duels Won 47
2 Saves 4

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 5
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

8 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
6.99
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Defender
6.57
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı Defender
6.73
77
Yohan Boli
Yohan Boli
Attacker87'
6.74
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
6.76
5
Bahadır Öztürk
Bahadır Öztürk
Defender64'
6.67
89
Veysel Sarı
Veysel Sarı Defender
6.79
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Midfielder
6.7
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay
Midfielder74'
6.75
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
6.99
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Midfielder
6.62
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.59
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm
Attacker64'
6.85
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Midfielder
6.67
10
Abdülkadir Ömür
Abdülkadir Ömür
Midfielder64'
6.64
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker
6.8
Referee : Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy

Starting XI ▼

1
Deniz Ertaş
Deniz Ertaş Goalkeeper
6.82
4
Adil Demirbağ
Adil Demirbağ Defender
6.99
5
Uğurcan Yazğılı
Uğurcan Yazğılı Defender
6.9
24
Arif Boşluk
Arif Boşluk Defender
6.57
39
Adamo Nagalo
Adamo Nagalo Defender
6.8
9
Deniz Türüç
Deniz Türüç Midfielder
6.71
32
Sander Svendsen
Sander Svendsen
Midfielder80'
6.47
17
Diogo Gonçalves
Diogo Gonçalves Midfielder
6.72
20
Riechedly Bazoer
Riechedly Bazoer
Defender85'
6.51
42
Morten Bjørlo
Morten Bjørlo Midfielder
6.66
16
Marko Jevtovic
Marko Jevtovic
Midfielder71'
6.78
70
Kazeem Olaigbe
Kazeem Olaigbe Midfielder
6.72
10
Enis Bardhi
Enis Bardhi
Midfielder71'
6.95
77
Melih İbrahimoğlu
Melih İbrahimoğlu Midfielder
6.89
99
Blaz Kramer
Blaz Kramer Attacker
6.86
40
Jackson Muleka
Jackson Muleka
Attacker46'
6.98

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Melih İbrahimoğlu
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Bahadır Öztürk
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Riechedly Bazoer
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Yohan Boli → Bünyamin Balcı
10th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Riechedly Bazoer → Diogo Gonçalves
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Adamo Nagalo
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Samuel Ballet
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
82'
82'
Event
Arif Boşluk
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Sander Svendsen → Deniz Türüç
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Deniz Türüç
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jesper Ceesay → Soner Dikmen
7th Substitution
74'
71'
Event
Marko Jevtovic → Morten Bjørlo
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Enis Bardhi → Kazeem Olaigbe
5th Substitution
Event
Bahadır Öztürk → Lautaro Giannetti
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Abdülkadir Ömür → Dario Saric
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Nikola Storm → Doğukan Sinik
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Veysel Sarı
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
60'
Event
Morten Bjørlo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
Event
Diogo Gonçalves
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
46'
Event
Jackson Muleka → Blaz Kramer
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Var
45+4'
Event
Doğukan Sinik
Goal Disallowed
45+4'

CONCLUSION

Konyaspor's 2-0 win exemplifies their pre-identified strength, overcoming Antalyaspor's possession edge through second-half precision. The significant 63.1% deviation underscores an outperformance relative to expectations, yet market alignment confirms the result's plausibility. Absent xG data limits deeper chance evaluation, but efficiency in line with norms and lack of disruptions point to disciplined execution. This performance bolsters Konyaspor's standing, revealing their capacity for efficiency in compact games.

Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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