Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Antalya Stadyumu Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Antalyaspor ANT
Versus
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Antalyaspor welcome Kocaelispor to Antalya Stadyumu for a crucial Super Lig regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts, perched in 16th place, hold a narrow power rating edge at 60 against the visitors' 56.62, translating to a 3.4-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority on paper. However, Kocaelispor's higher league standing at 11th reflects greater consistency so far. Form scores tilt towards the away side with 12.28 versus Antalyaspor's 7.44, suggesting momentum lies with the travelers despite the home backing. Both teams lack recent outing details, setting up an intriguing battle where Antalyaspor's home fortress could prove decisive. Set-piece and efficiency metrics remain unavailable, leaving focus on open-play dynamics and raw power disparities. Expect a tight affair with the hosts pushing for vital points to climb the table.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Antalyaspor possess a 3.4-point power advantage over Kocaelispor with ratings of 60 to 56.62.
  • Form: Kocaelispor hold a superior form score of 12.28 compared to Antalyaspor's 7.44.
  • Squad: Antalyaspor sit 16th in the league while Kocaelispor occupy 11th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable for attack and defense.
  • Market: Antalyaspor 62% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.1% (Δ+0%) | Kocaelispor 15% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
0.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray Rank: 86 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Göztepe Rank: 72 L
Konyaspor Rank: 71 L
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 63 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 65 L
Göztepe Rank: 74 D
Galatasaray Rank: 87 D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antalyaspor
61.99%
Draw
23.06%
Away Kocaelispor
14.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60
56.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
Power Score
60
56.62
League Position
16
11
Global Rank
486
348

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antalyaspor Kocaelispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antalyaspor ANT Home
3 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:07:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Yiğiter
21 A. Yiğiter
B. Balcı
7 B. Balcı
H. Türkmen
4 H. Türkmen
L. Gianetti
30 L. Gianetti
K. Paal
3 K. Paal
J. Ceesay
23 J. Ceesay
A. Ömür
10 A. Ömür
S. Dikmen
6 S. Dikmen
D. Šarić
88 D. Šarić
D. Sinik
70 D. Sinik
S. Ballet
11 S. Ballet
Pitch
S. Öztaşdelen
83 S. Öztaşdelen
M. Haïdara
21 M. Haïdara
H. Smolčić
6 H. Smolčić
A. Dijksteel
2 A. Dijksteel
A. Oğuz
22 A. Oğuz
M. Da Silva Cafumana
14 M. Da Silva Cafumana
J. Nonge Boende
98 J. Nonge Boende
M. Susoho
20 M. Susoho
D. Agyei
7 D. Agyei
S. Dursun
19 S. Dursun
C. Keles
70 C. Keles

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Antalya Stadyumu
Capacity :
32537
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

21
Abdullah Yiğiter
Abdullah Yiğiter Goalkeeper
6.68
10
Abdülkadir Ömür
Abdülkadir Ömür Midfielder
6.65
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.57
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Centre Forward
6.62
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Left Back
6.55
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Defensive Midfield
6.72
4
Hüseyin Türkmen
Hüseyin Türkmen Right Back
6.68
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Central Midfield
6.74
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Left Back
6.71
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Central Midfield
6.65
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı Right Back
6.76

Starting XI ▼

83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
6.84
19
Serdar Dursun
Serdar Dursun Centre Forward
6.73
70
Can Keleş
Can Keleş Attacker
6.57
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Attacker
6.59
21
Massadio Haïdara
Massadio Haïdara Left Back
6.79
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Right Back
6.94
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Right Back
6.69
6
Hrvoje Smolcic
Hrvoje Smolcic Left Back
7.02
14
Show
Show Central Midfield
6.8
20
Mahamadou Susoho
Mahamadou Susoho Central Midfield
6.66
98
Joseph Nonge
Joseph Nonge Central Midfield
6.63

CONCLUSION

Antalyaspor's power edge and home advantage at Antalya Stadyumu position them as marginal favorites against a formidably placed Kocaelispor side. The visitors' better recent form and higher table spot demand respect, potentially exposing hosts' vulnerabilities. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the match hinges on structural strengths and transition battles. Antalyaspor must leverage their 3.4-point superiority to secure points and alleviate relegation pressures, while Kocaelispor aim to extend their momentum. A narrow home win seems plausible in this evenly poised encounter.

Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig, Türkiye View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ