Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Antalya Stadyumu Sun, 3 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Antalyaspor ANT
0 – 0
Alanyaspor ANY
Full Time Sun, 3 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Antalyaspor hosted Alanyaspor in a Süper Lig encounter that ended in a 0-0 draw, with the halftime score also locked at 0-0. The home team controlled 56% possession but struggled to create clear scoring opportunities, relying on defensive organization to keep a clean sheet. Alanyaspor, considered the stronger side beforehand, absorbed pressure effectively and posed threats on the break, yet neither could find a breakthrough. No red cards disrupted play, and the match stayed even without major second-half adjustments. This goalless stalemate showcased tactical discipline from both outfits, prioritizing solidity over spectacle in a closely fought contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 70.5% structural deviation favoring Alanyaspor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Result did not align with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without supporting data.
  • Event impact: No red cards or adjustments impacted match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Karaoğlan

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Güz

1st Assistant

A. Alp

2nd Assistant

B. Demirkıran

4th Official

Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
VS
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 72 L
Konyaspor Rank: 68 L
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 D
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Göztepe Rank: 74 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antalyaspor
33.88%
Draw
29.52%
Away Alanyaspor
36.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Antalyaspor
+29.42%
Draw
-59.77%
Alanyaspor
+30.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.84
68.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
Power Score
59.84
68.45
League Position
16
12
Global Rank
486
242

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antalyaspor Alanyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Alanyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antalyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alanyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Antalyaspor
vs
Alanyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Antalyaspor 0.00
Alanyaspor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Antalyaspor 0.00
Alanyaspor 0.00
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ANY had peak pressure around 29'.
  • ANY started the game with stronger pressure.
ANT Pressure ANY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ANY reached the top pressure at 29' (87.73).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antalyaspor ANT Home
19 matches
Alanyaspor ANY Away
Match Record
10
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
10
Goals
29
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
29
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T16:30:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
J. Cuesta Díaz
Spain
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
B. Balcı
Substitution
Türkiye
7 B. Balcı
H. Türkmen
Türkiye
4 H. Türkmen
V. Sarı
Substitution
Türkiye
89 V. Sarı
E. Yeşilyurt
Germany
17 E. Yeşilyurt
J. Ceesay
Gambia
23 J. Ceesay
S. Ballet
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet
R. Safouri
Substitution
Israel
8 R. Safouri
S. Dikmen
Substitution
Türkiye
6 S. Dikmen
D. Sinik
Substitution
Türkiye
70 D. Sinik
S. van de Streek
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek
Pitch
P. de Mileo Vidotti
Brazil
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
?. Akdağ
Romania
50 ?. Akdağ
N. Reis Lima
Portugal
3 N. Reis Lima
F. Aliti
Kosovo
5 F. Aliti
R. Pereira Duarte
Substitution
Brazil
11 R. Pereira Duarte
G. Makouta
France
42 G. Makouta
A. Simão Muanza
Substitution
Angola
58 A. Simão Muanza
F. Hadërgjonaj
Kosovo
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
U. Hwang
Substitution
South Korea
16 U. Hwang
G. Yalçın
Substitution
Türkiye
10 G. Yalçın
M. Elia
Substitution
DR Congo
12 M. Elia

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Antalya Stadyumu
Capacity :
32537
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Suat Güz
Ali Can Alp
Burak Demirkıran
Atilla Karaoğlan

Statistics

Possession
ANT
53%
ANY
47%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 2
35 Dangerous attacks 51
56 Possession 44
3 Corners 8
15 Free kicks 9
4 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

15 Dribble Attempts 18
23 Throwins 24
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
5 Goal Kicks 4
5 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Successful Headers 12
5 Substitutions 6

Attacking

86 Attacks 97
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 77
425 Passes 337
31 Successful Long Passes 24
73 Long Passes 47
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
345 Successful Passes 259
4 Key Passes 6

Defensive

40 Duels Won 42
17 Tackles 14
16 Interceptions 6
2 Saves 1

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 4
20 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
7
4
Hüseyin Türkmen
Hüseyin Türkmen Defender
6.65
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı Defender
6.73
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal
Defender76'
6.57
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Defender
6.58
89
Veysel Sarı
Veysel Sarı Defender
6.79
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti
Defender76'
6.74
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Midfielder
6.7
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric
Midfielder76'
6.67
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
7.03
77
Yohan Boli
Yohan Boli
Attacker90+2'
6.72
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Midfielder
6.63
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Midfielder
6.73
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.58
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm
Attacker69'
6.84
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker
6.82
Referee : Atilla Karaoğlan

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.71
3
Nuno Lima
Nuno Lima Defender
6.84
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti Defender
6.91
50
Ümit Akdağ
Ümit Akdağ Defender
6.92
11
Ruan
Ruan Midfielder
6.94
8
Enes Keskin
Enes Keskin
Midfielder90+3'
6.7
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Midfielder
6.74
58
Maestro
Maestro Midfielder
6.85
17
Nicolas Janvier
Nicolas Janvier
Midfielder61'
6.87
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.08
10
Güven Yalçın
Güven Yalçın Attacker
6.74
27
İbrahim Kaya
İbrahim Kaya
Attacker61'
6.82
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia Attacker
6.58
6
İzzet Çelik
İzzet Çelik
Midfielder90+3'
6.52
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Attacker
6.86
14
Ianis Hagi
Ianis Hagi
Midfielder77'
7.08

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bahadır Öztürk
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Katherine Maria Alvarado Aguilar
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+3'
Event
İzzet Çelik → Meschack Elia
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Enes Keskin → Ruan
10th Substitution
Event
Yohan Boli → Ramzi Safuri
8th Substitution
90+2'
77'
Event
Ianis Hagi → Ui-jo Hwang
7th Substitution
Event
Lautaro Giannetti → Veysel Sarı
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Kenneth Paal → Bünyamin Balcı
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Dario Saric → Soner Dikmen
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Nikola Storm → Doğukan Sinik
3rd Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Ruan
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Meschack Elia
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Soner Dikmen
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
66'
66'
Event
Nuno Lima
Goal disallowed
65'
Event
Nuno Lima
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
61'
Event
Nicolas Janvier → Maestro
1st Substitution
61'
Event
İbrahim Kaya → Güven Yalçın
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Ümit Akdağ
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Samuel Ballet
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
26'
10'
Event
Maestro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Soner Dikmen receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Yohan Boli is on, and Ramzi Safuri is off.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elia Meschack receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Enes Keskin comes on for Ruan Pereira Duarte.
83
Attempt Attempt
Ruan Pereira Duarte takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
Veysel Sari is on, and Soner Dikmen is off.
77
Update Update
Kenneth Paal comes on for Bunyamin Balci.
76
Update Update
Lautaro Gianetti replaces Veysel Sari.
69
Update Update
Nikola Storm is on, and Dogukan Sinik is off.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ruan Pereira Duarte receives a yellow card.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nuno Lima receives a yellow card.
63
Update Update
Nuno Lima scores with a header.
63
Update Update
Goal! Nuno Lima scores, making it 0-1.
63
Update Update
Goal! Nuno Lima scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Nicolas Janvier.
63
Update Update
The VAR decision results in a disallowed goal due to a foul by Nuno Lima.
61
Substitution Substitution
Nicolas Janvier is substituted off for Maestro.
61
Update Update
Ibrahim Kaya is coming on for Guven Yalcin.
60
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Ballet takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jesper Ceesay's left-footed shot is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Huseyin Turkmen's left-footed shot is blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Umit Akdag receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sander van der Streek takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Hwang Ui Jo's right-footed shot is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Guven Yalcin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Dogukan Sinik takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Guven Yalcin takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Hwang Ui Jo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Hwang Ui Jo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Ballet takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Florent Hadergjonaj takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw leaves Antalyaspor satisfied with a point against the stronger Alanyaspor, bolstered by their possession edge that yielded no goals. Alanyaspor's resilience prevented a home win but may frustrate given pre-match expectations. Absent xG metrics, surface stats reveal a balanced, low-event affair dominated by defenses. This outcome halts potential momentum shifts, with both teams extending unbeaten defensive records. Tactical setups neutralized attacks effectively, underscoring the value of clean sheets in tight fixtures.

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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