Angers SCO vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Raymond Kopa Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
Angers SCO ANG
0 Winner 3
Paris Saint Germain PSG
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
|
Goal
Lucas Beraldo - 52'
Senny Mayulu - 39'
Kang-in Lee - 7'
|
Second yellow card Gonçalo Ramos 74'

CONTEXT

Paris Saint Germain delivered a commanding performance, defeating Angers SCO 0-3 away from home. The visitors established control early, leading 2-0 at halftime with superior possession of 71% compared to Angers' 29%. PSG's dominance persisted into the second half, where they scored once more despite receiving a red card. This result aligns with PSG being the stronger team, showcasing their ability to maintain pressure under adversity. The match featured a significant structural deviation of 24.4% in favor of PSG, indicating a performance beyond typical patterns. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations, while a red card introduced distortion, particularly affecting the second half dynamics. No xG data was available to further quantify chance creation, but the scoreline reflected PSG's clinical finishing and Angers' defensive struggles. Possession disparity underscored PSG's territorial control throughout.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: PSG showed a significant structural deviation of 24.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was confirmed as true.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to null data.
  • Event impact: PSG's red card occurred, influencing second-half play.
  • Red card distortion: Red card caused distortion in second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Stinat

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Mouysset

1st Assistant

L. Reyes

2nd Assistant

E. Rosier

4th Official

Angers SCO A. Dujeux
A. Dujeux
VS
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Le Havre Rank: D
Rennes Rank: L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: D
Lens Rank: L
Nice Rank: L
Nantes Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes Rank: W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: L
Toulouse Rank: W
Nice Rank: W
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Angers SCO
8.87%
Draw
15.51%
Away Paris Saint Germain
75.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Angers SCO
+8.38%
Draw
+13.6%
Paris Saint Germain
-21.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.66
45.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Angers SCO
Paris Saint Germain
Power Score
16.66
45.88
League Position
13
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Angers SCO Opponent-weighted form score
Paris Saint Germain Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Angers SCO Paris Saint Germain

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Angers SCO

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Paris Saint Germain

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Angers SCO ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Paris Saint Germain
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.59
28.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.03
27.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Angers SCO -0.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Paris Saint Germain +0.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Angers SCO
Paris Saint Germain
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Angers SCO ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Paris Saint Germain
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Angers SCO Paris Saint Germain
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Angers SCO Paris Saint Germain
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Angers SCO
Paris Saint Germain
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Angers SCO
vs
Paris Saint Germain
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Angers SCO Paris Saint Germain
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Angers SCO Paris Saint Germain
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Angers SCO
Paris Saint Germain
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PSG had peak pressure around 72'.
  • PSG started the game with stronger pressure.
ANG Pressure PSG Pressure
Pressure Index: PSG reached the top pressure at 72' (83.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Angers SCO ANG Home
18 matches
Paris Saint Germain PSG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
17
1
Draws
1
17
Losses
0
Goals
9
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
9
-38
Goal Difference
+38

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:07:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
K. Koffi
Burkina Faso
12 K. Koffi
L. Rao-Lisoa
Substitution
France
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
Abdoulaye Bamba
Substitution
Ivory Coast
25 Abdoulaye Bamba
E. Biumla Bayiha
France
24 E. Biumla Bayiha
J. Lefort
France
21 J. Lefort
J. Ekomie
Gabon
3 J. Ekomie
P. Capelle
Substitution
France
15 P. Capelle
B. van den Boomen
Netherlands
8 B. van den Boomen
H. Belkebla
Algeria
93 H. Belkebla
P. Peter
Substitution
35 P. Peter
M. Sbai
Substitution
France
7 M. Sbai
Pitch
M. Safonov
Russia
39 M. Safonov
L. Hernández Pi
Substitution
France
21 L. Hernández Pi
W. Pacho Tenorio
Ecuador
51 W. Pacho Tenorio
I. Zabarnyi
Ukraine
6 I. Zabarnyi
A. Hakimi Mouh
Substitution
Morocco
2 A. Hakimi Mouh
F. Ruiz Peña
Substitution
Spain
8 F. Ruiz Peña
L. Lopes Beraldo
Brazil
4 L. Lopes Beraldo
S. Mayulu
Substitution
France
24 S. Mayulu
B. Barcola
Substitution
France
29 B. Barcola
G. Ramos
Portugal
9 G. Ramos
K. Lee
South Korea
19 K. Lee

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Raymond Kopa
Capacity :
17835
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Christophe Mouysset
Ludovic Reyes
Eddy Rosier
Jeremy Stinat

Statistics

Possession
ANG
33%
PSG
67%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 5
2 Shots 2
40 Dangerous attacks 58
29 Possession 71
5 Corners 4
3 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

57 Ball Safe 123
15 Throwins 16
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
7 Goal Kicks 9
6 Dribble Attempts 25
3 Successful Dribbles 11
0 Hit Woodwork 1
7 Successful Headers 6
0 Assists 2
6 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
7 Goal Attempts 14

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2
50 Attacks 130

Possession

61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
19 Successful Long Passes 21
5 Key Passes 14
81 Successful Passes Percentage 94
262 Successful Passes 764
322 Passes 816
31 Long Passes 36

Defensive

6 Saves 1
24 Tackles 8
5 Interceptions 5
36 Duels Won 33

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 11
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 3
6 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Jeremy Stinat

Starting XI

12
Hervé Koffi
Hervé Koffi Goalkeeper
7.28
3
Jacques Ekomié
Jacques Ekomié Defender
6.63
21
Jordan Lefort
Jordan Lefort Defender
6.82
24
Emmanuel Biumla
Emmanuel Biumla Defender
6.34
25
Abdoulaye Bamba
Abdoulaye Bamba Defender
6.95
46
Bané Diatta
Bané Diatta
Midfielder86'
27
Lilian Raolisoa
Lilian Raolisoa Defender
6.76
26
Florent Hanin
Florent Hanin
Defender67'
6.56
8
Branco van den Boomen
Branco van den Boomen Midfielder
7.12
15
Pierrick Capelle
Pierrick Capelle Midfielder
6.67
6
Louis Mouton
Louis Mouton
Midfielder73'
6.67
93
Haris Belkebla
Haris Belkebla Midfielder
6.75
7
Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï Attacker
6.64
36
L. Machine
L. Machine
Attacker66'
6.53
35
P. Peter
P. Peter Attacker
6.61
9
Goduine Koyalipou
Goduine Koyalipou
Attacker67'
6.62
Referee : Jeremy Stinat

Starting XI

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi Defender
7.12
27
Pedro Fernández
Pedro Fernández
Midfielder46'
6.84
6
Ilya Zabarnyi
Ilya Zabarnyi Defender
6.88
21
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández Defender
6.95
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Midfielder46'
7.12
51
Willian Pacho
Willian Pacho Defender
6.92
4
Lucas Beraldo
Lucas Beraldo Midfielder
7.07
8
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz Midfielder
7.01
87
João Neves
João Neves
Midfielder46'
7.22
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu Midfielder
6.99
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes
Defender72'
7.44
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Gonçalo Ramos Attacker
6.8
19
Kang-in Lee
Kang-in Lee Attacker
7.11
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
7.14
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye
Attacker63'
6.8

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bané Diatta Abdoulaye Bamba
10th Substitution
86'
74'
Event
Gonçalo Ramos
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Louis Mouton Pierrick Capelle
9th Substitution
73'
72'
Event
Nuno Mendes Senny Mayulu
8th Substitution
Event
Florent Hanin Lilian Raolisoa
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Goduine Koyalipou P. Peter
7th Substitution
67'
Event
L. Machine Amine Sbaï
5th Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Ibrahim Mbaye Bradley Barcola
4th Substitution
52'
Event
Lucas Beraldo
Header / 3rd Goal
46'
Event
Warren Zaïre-Emery Lucas Hernández
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Pedro Fernández Achraf Hakimi
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
João Neves Fabián Ruiz
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Senny Mayulu
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Amine Sbaï
Offside / Goal Disallowed
22'
10'
Event
Gonçalo Ramos
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'
Event
Kang-in Lee
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after Nuno Mendes concedes.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 0-3 in favor of Paris Saint Germain.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Nuno Mendes of Paris Saint Germain.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Mbaye from Paris Saint Germain misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the right. The attempt was assisted by Warren Zaïre-Emery during a fast break.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Florent Hanin from Angers has a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes high and wide to the right after a corner.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Lanroy Machine's header from the center of the box is saved by Matvey Safonov in the center of the goal. The assist came from Florent Hanin's cross.
89
Update Update
Nuno Mendes from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the attacking half.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Haris Belkebla of Angers.
87
Corner Corner
Florent Hanin misses the attempt with a header from a tough angle on the left, sending it too high. Branco van den Boomen provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Bané Diatta comes on for Abdoulaye Bamba.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after a foul by Warren Zaïre-Emery.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Mbaye's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after a concession by Illia Zabarnyi.
77
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Jacques Ekomié from Angers, who had a left-footed shot from the right side of the box.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Gonçalo Ramos of Paris Saint Germain.
74
Update Update
Hervé Koffi from Angers wins a free kick in the defensive half.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gonçalo Ramos of Paris Saint Germain receives a second yellow card for a bad foul.
74
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Hervé Koffi from Angers.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Louis Mouton comes on for Pierrick Capelle.
73
Corner Corner
Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain misses a header from the center of the box after a corner.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris Saint Germain after Hervé Koffi concedes.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris Saint Germain: Nuno Mendes comes on for Senny Mayulu.
72
Corner Corner
Nuno Mendes from Paris Saint Germain has his left-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom left corner by Hervé Koffi from Angers.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Emmanuel Biumla of Angers.
71
Update Update
Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the attacking half.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after Willian Pacho concedes.
68
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain has a left-footed shot from a tough angle on the left that is saved.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Goduine Koyalipou comes on for Prosper Peter.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Florent Hanin comes on for Lilian Raolisoa.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Angers: Lanroy Machine comes on for Amine Sbaï.
64
Update Update
Handball by Emmanuel Biumla of Angers.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris Saint Germain: Ibrahim Mbaye comes on for Bradley Barcola.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Haris Belkebla of Angers.
61
Update Update
Beraldo from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Prosper Peter from Angers takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box.
59
Update Update
João Neves from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the attacking half.
59
Update Update
João Neves from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the attacking half.
59
Update Update
João Neves is caught offside for Paris Saint Germain.
55
Update Update
Beraldo from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the defensive half.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Lefort of Angers.
53
Update Update
Offside called against Angers. Prosper Peter has been caught offside.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris Saint Germain leads Angers 3-0. Beraldo scores with a header from close range into the bottom left corner, assisted by Lee Kang-In's cross after a corner.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris Saint Germain, conceded by Hervé Koffi.
51
Attempt Attempt
Beraldo's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Hervé Koffi. The attempt was assisted by Gonçalo Ramos.
46
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Lee Kang-In from Paris Saint Germain takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
45
Update Update
Jacques Ekomié of Angers is caught offside.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Paris Saint Germain leading Angers 2-0.
45
Update Update
Warren Zaïre-Emery comes on for Lucas Hernández at Paris Saint Germain.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Angers 0, Paris Saint Germain 2.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris Saint Germain: Dro Fernández comes on for Achraf Hakimi.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris Saint Germain: João Neves comes on for Fabián Ruiz.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
44
Update Update
Lilian Raolisoa of Angers is caught offside.
43
Attempt Attempt
Bradley Barcola's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Beraldo.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris Saint Germain lead 2-0 against Angers. Senny Mayulu scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Beraldo's through ball.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Angers after a foul by Achraf Hakimi.
32
Update Update
Prosper Peter from Angers wins a free kick in the attacking half.
32
Update Update
Foul by Lee Kang-In of Paris Saint Germain.
32
Update Update
Prosper Peter from Angers wins a free kick in the attacking half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Emmanuel Biumla of Angers.
32
Update Update
Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the defensive half.
28
Corner Corner
Achraf Hakimi's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top right corner by Hervé Koffi.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris Saint Germain after Hervé Koffi concedes.
27
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Emmanuel Biumla of Angers.
26
Update Update
Gonçalo Ramos from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick in the attacking half.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris Saint Germain after Abdoulaye Bamba concedes.
21
Update Update
Offside called against Angers. Prosper Peter is caught offside.
17
Attempt Attempt
Fabián Ruiz from Paris Saint Germain has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Beraldo.
14
Update Update
Beraldo from Paris Saint Germain wins a free kick on the left wing.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Branco van den Boomen of Angers.
12
Update Update
Offside called against Angers. Jacques Ekomié is caught offside.
11
Attempt Attempt
Achraf Hakimi from Paris Saint Germain misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Senny Mayulu provided the assist.
10
Update Update
Abdoulaye Bamba from Angers wins a free kick in the defensive half.
10
Update Update
Fabián Ruiz commits a foul for Paris Saint Germain.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gonçalo Ramos of Paris Saint Germain receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
7
Attempt Attempt
Achraf Hakimi's right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Hervé Koffi. The attempt was assisted by Beraldo.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris Saint Germain leads 1-0 against Angers. Lee Kang-In scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the bottom right corner.
6
Update Update
Offside called against Angers. Jacques Ekomié is caught offside.
2
Attempt Attempt
Amine Sbaï's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Jacques Ekomié provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain's 0-3 win over Angers SCO highlighted their superiority, converting dominance into goals despite a second-half red card. Leading 2-0 at halftime, PSG managed the game effectively with 71% possession, exposing Angers' limitations. The significant 24.4% structural deviation for PSG points to an outperformance relative to norms, while efficiency held steady. Red card distortion altered proceedings but did not derail the result. Without xG data, shot quality remains unmeasured, yet the outcome fits PSG's stronger status. This victory reinforces their consistency against weaker opposition.

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