Alverca vs Sporting CP Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca Sun, 22 Mar - 6:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Alverca ALV
1 Winner 4
Sporting CP SCP
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 6:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Marko Milovanović - 83'
Goal
|
Goal
Pedro Gonçalves - 86', 22'
Geny Catamo - 68'
Luis Suárez - 50'

CONTEXT

The match is officially finished, with Sporting CP securing a 4-1 full-time victory over Alverca. The final result aligned perfectly with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the visiting side with a 73.6% probability of winning. In contrast, Alverca had just a 9.3% chance of victory, with the draw set at 17.1%. Despite the predictable winner, Sporting CP’s commanding performance still represented a significant deviation in their favor when compared to baseline pre-match metrics. On the pitch, Sporting CP dictated the tempo, controlling 69% of the possession compared to Alverca's 31%. The outcome was entirely consistent with the underlying expected goals (xG) data. The visitors generated 1.97 xG to Al

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting CP showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.56
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
AVS Rank: 55 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 D
Santa Clara Rank: 67 D
Tondela Rank: 61 D
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Famalicão Rank: 73 W
Porto Rank: 88 D
Nacional Rank: 63 W
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Casa Pia Rank: 64 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Alverca
9.25%
Draw
17.11%
Away Sporting CP
73.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.5
89.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Alverca
Sporting CP
Power Score
56.5
89.25
League Position
11
2
Global Rank
322
17

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alverca Sporting CP

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Alverca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting CP

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Alverca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.03
25.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.80
44.03
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Alverca +1.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting CP -1.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Alverca
Sporting CP
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Alverca
vs
Sporting CP
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Alverca Sporting CP
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Alverca Sporting CP
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Alverca
Sporting CP
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alverca ALV Home
1 matches
Sporting CP SCP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Nogueira Gomes
Portugal
13 A. Nogueira Gomes
K. Marques Naves
Brazil
4 K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
Substitution
Spain
5 (C) S. Gómez Solà
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
France
33 N. Meupiyou Menadjou
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
Morocco
2 N. Zoubdi Touaizi
R. Simião Gomes
Brazil
26 R. Simião Gomes
L. Oliveira dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
18 L. Oliveira dos Santos
I. James
Nigeria
12 I. James
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
20 L. Figueiredo dos Santos
Chiquinho
Substitution
Portugal
10 Chiquinho
S. Cesar
Substitution
Brazil
91 S. Cesar
Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
Portugal
1 R. Dantas da Silva
N. Gomes dos Santos
Substitution
Portugal
11 N. Gomes dos Santos
G. Inácio
Substitution
Portugal
25 G. Inácio
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Portugal
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
I. Fresneda Corraliza
Substitution
Spain
22 I. Fresneda Corraliza
H. Morita
Substitution
Japan
5 H. Morita
M. Hjulmand
Denmark
42 (C) M. Hjulmand
P. Pereira Gonçalves
Portugal
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
Portugal
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
G. Cipriano Catamo
Mozambique
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
L. Suárez Charris
Substitution
Colombia
97 L. Suárez Charris

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Capacity :
7705
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Bruno Miguel Alves Jesus
Luciano António Gomes Maia
Bruno Vieira

Statistics

Possession
ALV
36%
SCP
64%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
0 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 5
33 Dangerous attacks 56
31 Possession 69
3 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
6 Goal Kicks 5
13 Throwins 24
0 Injuries 4
69 Ball Safe 66
8 Goal Attempts 16
16 Dribble Attempts 20
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30
6 Successful Headers 3
1 Assists 2
0 Hit Woodwork 1
10 Successful Dribbles 6

Attacking

70 Attacks 117
3 Counter Attacks 1
0 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 91
254 Successful Passes 637
312 Passes 702
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
39 Long Passes 37
13 Successful Long Passes 19
7 Key Passes 10

Defensive

9 Interceptions 7
21 Tackles 12
4 Saves 3

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 9
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

13 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

13
André Nogueira Gomes
André Nogueira Gomes Goalkeeper
6.25
4
Kaiky Marques Naves
Kaiky Marques Naves Defender
6.38
5
Sergi Gómez Solà
Sergi Gómez Solà (C) Defender
6.38
14
Steven Baseya
Steven Baseya
Defender80'
6.32
33
Bastien Meupiyou
Bastien Meupiyou Defender
6.48
2
Nabil Touaizi
Nabil Touaizi Midfielder
6.43
12
Isaac James
Isaac James Midfielder
7.43
18
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Midfielder
6.42
6
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
Midfielder65'
6.37
26
Rhaldney
Rhaldney Midfielder
6.57
10
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira Attacker
6.49
17
Vasco Moreira
Vasco Moreira
Midfielder65'
6.29
20
Figueiredo
Figueiredo Attacker
6.74
19
Mathis Clairicia
Mathis Clairicia
Attacker75'
6.34
91
Sandro Lima
Sandro Lima Attacker
6.59
9
Marko Milovanović
Marko Milovanović
Attacker65'
7.4
Referee : Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.69
11
Nuno Santos
Nuno Santos Defender
6.4
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis
Defender27'
6.89
22
Iván Fresneda
Iván Fresneda Defender
6.94
91
Ricardo Mangas
Ricardo Mangas
Defender82'
6.5
25
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio Defender
6.57
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast
Defender72'
6.18
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Defender
6.71
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Midfielder
7.06
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
Midfielder72'
6.61
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Midfielder
2
8.48
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Midfielder
7.32
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Midfielder
7.22
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand (C) Midfielder
7.97
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Attacker
6.66
90
Rafael Nel
Rafael Nel
Attacker82'
6

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Pedro Gonçalves
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Nabil Touaizi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Marko Milovanović
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
83'
82'
Event
Ricardo Mangas → Iván Fresneda
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Rafael Nel → Luis Suárez
10th Substitution
Event
Steven Baseya → Sergi Gómez Solà
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Mathis Clairicia → Figueiredo
7th Substitution
75'
72'
Event
Zeno Debast → Gonçalo Inácio
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Daniel Bragança → Hidemasa Morita
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Geny Catamo
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui → Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Marko Milovanović → Sandro Lima
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Vasco Moreira → Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
4th Substitution
65'
50'
Event
Luis Suárez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
Event
Luis Suárez
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
Event
Luis Suárez
Penalty disallowed
1ST-HALF
27'
Event
Georgios Vagiannidis → Nuno Santos
1st Substitution
24'
Event
Gonçalo Inácio
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Pedro Gonçalves
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Bastien Meupiyou from Alverca takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Rui Silva, the goalkeeper for Sporting Lisbon, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist for this play came from Davy Gui.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Pote from Sporting Lisbon.
90
Substitution Substitution
Pote had to leave the game due to injury after Sporting Lisbon had already made all their substitutions.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Alverca 1, Sporting Lisbon 4.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Geny Catamo's defensive play.
89
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Rafael Nel from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but André Gomes from Alverca makes a save, diving to his left to stop the ball.
88
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Mangas from Sporting Lisbon strikes the left post with a left-footed shot from close range.
88
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Rafael Nel from Sporting Lisbon fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Geny Catamo.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 1, Sporting Lisbon 4. Pote scores for Sporting Lisbon with a right-footed shot from a free kick, placing it perfectly into the left corner of the net.
85
Update Update
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca committed a foul.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
85
Update Update
Ricardo Mangas from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
83
Update Update
Marezi has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position against Alverca.
83
Update Update
Eduardo Quaresma from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 1, Sporting Lisbon 3. Marezi scores for Alverca with a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner. The assist came from Isaac James.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Rafael Nel comes on in place of Luis Suárez.
82
Update Update
Eduardo Quaresma from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Marezi has been awarded a free kick in their defensive half against Alverca.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Ricardo Mangas comes on to replace Iván Fresneda.
80
Update Update
Rhaldney from Alverca committed a foul.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Steven Baseya comes on to replace Sergi Gómez.
80
Update Update
Daniel Bragança from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
77
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Georgios Vagiannidis from Sporting Lisbon takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Mathis Clairicia is coming on to replace Figueiredo.
75
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort underway. Marezi from Alverca heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but Rui Silva from Sporting Lisbon makes a save, diving to the left corner. The assist came from Vasco Moreira.
74
Update Update
Figueiredo - Alverca has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
74
Update Update
Zeno Debast from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
73
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Davy Gui from Alverca attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area but failed to find the target. The assist came from Figueiredo.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Zeno Debast comes on to replace Gonçalo Inácio.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Daniel Bragança comes on to replace Hidemasa Morita.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 3. Geny Catamo scores for Sporting Lisbon with a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Morten Hjulmand.
66
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Trincão from Sporting Lisbon took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it soared over the goal. The assist came from Morten Hjulmand.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Vasco Moreira comes on to replace Chiquinho.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Marezi comes on to replace Sandro Lima.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Davy Gui is coming off, and Lincoln is taking his place.
64
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Morten Hjulmand from Sporting Lisbon takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but André Gomes, the goalkeeper for Alverca, makes a save right in the middle of the goal.
63
Update Update
Pote from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick on the right flank.
63
Update Update
Lincoln committed a foul against Alverca.
60
Update Update
Hidemasa Morita from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
57
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area but failed to find the target. The assist came from Pote.
56
Attempt Attempt
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca had a great opportunity but his right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area narrowly missed the target.
55
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca commits a handball foul.
52
Update Update
Sergi Gómez from Alverca committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 2. Luis Suárez scores for Sporting Lisbon with a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, finding the top right corner of the net. The assist came from Hidemasa Morita.
49
Update Update
VAR Review: Possible Penalty for Sporting Lisbon.
48
Update Update
André Gomes of Alverca has given away a penalty after committing a foul inside the box.
46
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Sporting Lisbon! Luis Suárez is brought down in the box.
45
Update Update
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 1.
45
Update Update
Kaiky Naves from Alverca committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Pote from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Chiquinho from Alverca attempted a header from the center of the box but failed to find the target. The assist came from Lincoln, who delivered a well-placed cross.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score at Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 1.
45
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca has been awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
43
Update Update
Offside call against Sporting Lisbon. Georgios Vagiannidis has been caught in an offside position.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after a foul by Iván Fresneda.
42
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Rhaldney of Alverca took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a corner kick.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Iván Fresneda allowed the ball to go out.
39
Update Update
Figueiredo commits a foul on Alverca.
39
Update Update
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
37
Update Update
Iván Fresneda from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Chiquinho committed a foul on Alverca.
36
Update Update
Iván Fresneda of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Sandro Lima from Alverca attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but it went just wide to the left. The setup came from Nabil Touaizi, who delivered a cross after a quick counterattack.
33
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Figueiredo from Alverca takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Rhaldney from Alverca takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
33
Update Update
Offside call against Sporting Lisbon. Georgios Vagiannidis has been flagged for being in an offside position.
32
Update Update
Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Chiquinho commits a foul on Alverca.
31
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds. Lincoln takes on Alverca, and a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area is expertly stopped by Rui Silva, the goalkeeper positioned centrally for Sporting Lisbon.
30
Update Update
Rhaldney from Alverca committed a foul.
30
Update Update
Hidemasa Morita of Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick in an offensive position.
30
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Pote from Sporting Lisbon took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Geny Catamo.
29
Update Update
Isaac James from Alverca commits a handball.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
27
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Georgios Vagiannidis comes on to replace Nuno Santos, who is leaving the field due to an injury.
26
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Nuno Santos from Sporting Lisbon.
25
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Figueiredo from Alverca attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Lincoln, who delivered a cross into the area.
24
Update Update
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca earned a free kick on the right flank.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gonçalo Inácio from Sporting Lisbon has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
24
Update Update
Gonçalo Inácio from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Gonçalo Inácio from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 1. Pote from Sporting Lisbon scores with a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, placing it into the bottom right corner.
21
Corner Corner
Goal! Alverca 0, Sporting Lisbon 1. Pote scores for Sporting Lisbon with a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner of the net.
20
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sporting Lisbon after a defensive play by Lincoln.
20
Update Update
Eduardo Quaresma from Sporting Lisbon was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
20
Update Update
Chiquinho commits a foul against Alverca.
19
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Hidemasa Morita of Sporting Lisbon takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Morten Hjulmand.
16
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
16
Update Update
Offside call against Sporting Lisbon. Hidemasa Morita is caught in an offside position.
12
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Trincão from Sporting Lisbon attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the left. The assist came from Luis Suárez.
7
Update Update
Rhaldney has earned a free kick in an offensive position against Alverca.
7
Update Update
Rhaldney earned a free kick while pressing forward against Alverca.
1
Update Update
Sandro Lima from Alverca was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
1
Update Update
Eduardo Quaresma from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sporting CP exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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