Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca Sun, 12 Apr - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Alverca ALV
3 Winner 1
Casa Pia CPAC
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Rhaldney - 83'
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira - 63'
Figueiredo - 49'
Goal
|
Goal
João Marques - 1'

CONTEXT

The match between Alverca and Casa Pia is finished, ending in a 3-1 victory for the home side. Alverca trailed 0-1 at halftime but produced a much-improved second-half display to overturn the deficit and secure the win. Pre-match forecasts had strongly indicated an Alverca success, and the final result showed only minimal deviation from those expectations, with the stronger team delivering as anticipated. Alverca controlled 60 percent possession to Casa Pia’s 40 percent, though no xG figures were available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with projections, and the outcome aligned fully with the pre-match outlook. No red cards were shown to either side, allowing the contest to be decided strictly by on-field performance without disruptive sending-offs. Overall the result reinforced Alverca’s status as the dominant outfit on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Alverca showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Mateus Filipe

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Batista Carvalho

2nd Assistant

H. França Luís Coimbra

1st Assistant

A. Domingues Narciso

4th Official

Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
VS
Casa Pia Á. Pacheco
Á. Pacheco
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.89
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: W
Sporting CP Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: D
AVS Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: L
Estoril Rank: D
Moreirense Rank: D
Famalicão Rank: L
Arouca Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Alverca
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Casa Pia
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.42
19.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Alverca
Casa Pia
Power Score
20.42
19.29
League Position
10
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score
Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alverca Casa Pia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Alverca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Casa Pia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Alverca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Casa Pia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.50
43.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.63
21.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Alverca -2.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Casa Pia +2.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Alverca
Casa Pia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Alverca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Casa Pia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Alverca Casa Pia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Alverca Casa Pia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Alverca
Casa Pia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Alverca
vs
Casa Pia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Alverca Casa Pia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Alverca 0.29
Casa Pia 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Alverca Casa Pia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Alverca 0.02
Casa Pia 0.08
Alverca
Casa Pia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALV had peak pressure around 68'.
  • CPAC started the game with stronger pressure.
ALV Pressure CPAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALV reached the top pressure at 68' (67.29).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alverca ALV Home
1 matches
Casa Pia CPAC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
Matheus Mendes
Brazil
31 Matheus Mendes
K. Marques Naves
Brazil
4 K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
Spain
5 S. Gómez Solà
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
France
33 N. Meupiyou Menadjou
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
Morocco
2 N. Zoubdi Touaizi
R. Simião Gomes
Substitution
Brazil
26 R. Simião Gomes
L. Oliveira dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
18 L. Oliveira dos Santos
I. James
Nigeria
12 I. James
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
20 L. Figueiredo dos Santos
S. Cesar
Substitution
Brazil
91 S. Cesar
Chiquinho
Substitution
Portugal
10 Chiquinho
Pitch
P. Sequeira Mejías
Costa Rica
1 P. Sequeira Mejías
David Sousa
Substitution
Brazil
43 David Sousa
D. Bandeira
Angola
3 D. Bandeira
J. Goulart Silva
Portugal
4 J. Goulart Silva
P. Silva Rosas
Portugal
75 P. Silva Rosas
R. Brito
Portugal
8 R. Brito
S. Pérez Cardona
Substitution
Colombia
42 S. Pérez Cardona
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
Spain
72 G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
J. Freitas Silva Marques
Substitution
Portugal
11 J. Freitas Silva Marques
C. Dias Moreira
Substitution
Brazil
90 C. Dias Moreira
J. Livolant
Substitution
France
29 J. Livolant

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Capacity :
7705
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe
Renato Filipe Batista Carvalho
Hugo Alexandre França Luís Coimbra
André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Statistics

Possession
ALV
56%
CPAC
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 8
38 Dangerous attacks 49
60 Possession 40
9 Corners 11
15 Free kicks 10

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 47
11 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
2 Assists 1
9 Goal Kicks 13
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
12 Dribble Attempts 5
21 Successful Headers 20
3 Successful Dribbles 2
28 Throwins 19
2 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
2 Counter Attacks 2
63 Attacks 59

Possession

289 Successful Passes 145
55 Long Passes 65
15 Successful Long Passes 19
79 Successful Passes Percentage 60
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29
7 Key Passes 8
367 Passes 241

Defensive

4 Saves 3
8 Interceptions 4
13 Tackles 19

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 7
23 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Starting XI ▼

31
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira Goalkeeper
4
Kaiky Marques Naves
Kaiky Marques Naves Defender
5
Sergi Gómez Solà
Sergi Gómez Solà Defender
33
Bastien Meupiyou
Bastien Meupiyou Defender
2
Nabil Touaizi
Nabil Touaizi Midfielder
12
Isaac James
Isaac James Midfielder
18
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Midfielder
6
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui
Midfielder90+3'
26
Rhaldney
Rhaldney Midfielder
17
Vasco Moreira
Vasco Moreira
Midfielder87'
10
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira Attacker
35
Zakaria Kessary
Zakaria Kessary
Midfielder90+3'
20
Figueiredo
Figueiredo Attacker
11
Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi
Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi
Attacker87'
91
Sandro Lima
Sandro Lima Attacker
9
Marko Milovanović
Marko Milovanović
Attacker75'
Referee : Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Sequeira
Patrick Sequeira Goalkeeper
3
Kaly
Kaly Defender
4
João Goulart
João Goulart Defender
43
David Sousa
David Sousa Defender
18
André Geraldes
André Geraldes
Defender82'
8
Rafael Brito
Rafael Brito Midfielder
42
Seba Pérez
Seba Pérez Midfielder
24
Iyad Mohamed
Iyad Mohamed
Midfielder69'
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder
75
Pedro Rosas
Pedro Rosas Midfielder
11
João Marques
João Marques Attacker
80
Lawrence Ofori
Lawrence Ofori
Midfielder69'
29
Jérémy Livolant
Jérémy Livolant Attacker
10
Dailon Livramento
Dailon Livramento
Attacker68'
90
Cassiano
Cassiano Attacker
99
Clau Mendes
Clau Mendes
Attacker58'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui → Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Zakaria Kessary → Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
10th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Vasco Moreira → Rhaldney
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi → Figueiredo
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Rhaldney
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
83'
82'
Event
André Geraldes → David Sousa
6th Substitution
Event
Marko Milovanović → Sandro Lima
5th Substitution
75'
69'
Event
Iyad Mohamed → Seba Pérez
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Lawrence Ofori → João Marques
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Dailon Livramento → Jérémy Livolant
2nd Substitution
Event
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
63'
58'
Event
Clau Mendes → Cassiano
1st Substitution
Event
Figueiredo
Header / 2nd Goal
49'
1ST-HALF
1'
Event
João Marques
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Clau Mendes concedes.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Davy Gui replaces Lincoln.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Alverca winning 3-1 against Casa Pia.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Matheus Mendes concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Isaac James concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Sergi Gómez concedes.
90
Update Update
Dailon Livramento of Casa Pia attempts a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but Matheus Mendes, the goalkeeper for Alverca, makes a save in the center of the goal. The assist came from Iyad Mohamed, who delivered a cross.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Zakaria Kessary replaces Chiquinho.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after André Geraldes concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Gaizka Larrazabal of Casa Pia has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Matheus Mendes, the goalkeeper for Alverca, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Iyad Mohamed with a cross.
89
Update Update
Clau Mendes of Casa Pia is flagged for offside.
89
Corner Corner
Vasco Moreira from Alverca had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it went high and wide to the right after a corner.
88
Corner Corner
Alverca wins a corner after João Goulart concedes.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Vasco Moreira replaces Rhaldney.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Cédric Nuozzi replaces Figueiredo.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after a concession by Khaly.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca leads 3-1 against Casa Pia. Rhaldney scores for Alverca with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner, assisted by Marezi.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: André Geraldes replaces David Sousa.
80
Update Update
Isaac James from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
80
Update Update
Clau Mendes from Casa Pia commits a foul.
78
Update Update
Lawrence Ofori commits a foul for Casa Pia.
78
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca won a free kick on the left wing.
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Marezi from Alverca had a left-footed shot inside the six-yard box, but it was blocked on the left side.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after João Goulart concedes.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Marezi replaces Sandro Lima.
73
Update Update
Kaiky Naves from Alverca committed a foul.
73
Update Update
Clau Mendes from Casa Pia won a free kick in the attacking area.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Bastien Meupiyou concedes.
72
Corner Corner
Dailon Livramento had a missed chance for Casa Pia, heading the ball from the right side of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Iyad Mohamed, who delivered a cross after a corner.
70
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Lawrence Ofori replaces João Marques.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Iyad Mohamed replaces Seba Pérez.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Dailon Livramento replaces Jérémy Livolant.
68
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca won a free kick in the attacking area.
67
Update Update
Rhaldney fouled Alverca.
67
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia won a free kick in the attacking area.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca 2, Casa Pia 1. Chiquinho scores for Alverca with a right-footed shot from a few meters into the left corner.
63
Update Update
Fouled by Bastien Meupiyou of Alverca.
63
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Sandro Lima from Alverca heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira from Casa Pia, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Figueiredo with a cross.
63
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia won a free kick in defense.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Gaizka Larrazabal concedes.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Pedro Rosas concedes.
61
Update Update
Fouled by David Sousa of Casa Pia.
61
Update Update
Foul by David Sousa of Casa Pia.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Rafael Brito of Casa Pia.
60
Update Update
Bastien Meupiyou of Alverca won a free kick in defense.
59
Attempt Attempt
Clau Mendes from Casa Pia missed a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Seba Pérez.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Clau Mendes replaces Cassiano.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Patrick Sequeira concedes.
56
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca won a free kick on the right wing.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Rosas of Casa Pia.
54
Attempt Attempt
Rhaldney's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Sandro Lima provided the assist.
53
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from long distance on the left, sending the ball high and wide to the right. Lincoln provided the assist.
52
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant of Casa Pia won a free kick in defense.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alverca equalizes at 1-1 with Figueiredo scoring from close range with a header into the left corner, assisted by Chiquinho's cross.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gaizka Larrazabal's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Casa Pia wins a corner after Bastien Meupiyou concedes.
45
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia won a free kick in defense.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after a concession by Isaac James.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jérémy Livolant's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Gaizka Larrazabal provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Alverca 0, Casa Pia 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gaizka Larrazabal's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with the match score at Alverca 0, Casa Pia 1.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nabil Touaizi of Alverca missed a close-range header. The assist came from Chiquinho, who delivered a cross.
40
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by David Sousa of Casa Pia.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after a foul by Figueiredo.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Figueiredo concedes.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Matheus Mendes concedes.
34
Update Update
Matheus Mendes from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
30
Attempt Attempt
João Marques' left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Rafael Brito provided the assist.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after being conceded by Figueiredo.
29
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Rafael Brito from Casa Pia has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Matheus Mendes, the goalkeeper for Alverca. The assist came from Jérémy Livolant with a header.
27
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball goes high and wide to the right.
27
Update Update
Rhaldney fouled Alverca.
27
Update Update
Rafael Brito from Casa Pia won a free kick in the attacking area.
26
Attempt Attempt
Gaizka Larrazabal's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
25
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia won a free kick in the attacking area.
25
Update Update
João Marques of Casa Pia won a free kick in the attacking area.
24
Corner Corner
Kaiky Naves from Alverca attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Patrick Sequeira from Casa Pia makes a save in the right corner. The assist was provided by Rhaldney.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after a concession by Patrick Sequeira.
21
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca won a free kick on the left wing.
20
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca won a free kick on the right wing.
20
Update Update
Fouled by Pedro Rosas of Casa Pia.
19
Update Update
Sandro Lima from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
18
Attempt Attempt
Gaizka Larrazabal from Casa Pia has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
17
Update Update
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca won a free kick on the right wing.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Rosas of Casa Pia.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by David Sousa of Casa Pia.
16
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Cassiano from Casa Pia shot with his right foot from the right side of the box.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Rosas of Casa Pia.
14
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca won a free kick in defense.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after Matheus Mendes concedes.
13
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Gaizka Larrazabal from Casa Pia takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Matheus Mendes from Alverca, with an assist from Seba Pérez.
10
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant of Casa Pia won a free kick in an attacking position.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Isaac James of Alverca.
9
Update Update
Rafael Brito from Casa Pia committed a foul.
9
Update Update
Rhaldney of Alverca won a free kick in defense.
6
Attempt Attempt
Gaizka Larrazabal from Casa Pia hits the left post with a right-footed shot from outside the box following a free kick.
5
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant of Casa Pia won a free kick in an attacking position.
5
Update Update
Rhaldney fouled Alverca.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Casa Pia after a concession by Matheus Mendes.
1
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Casa Pia takes the lead 1-0 with João Marques scoring from outside the box into the top left corner, assisted by Jérémy Livolant on a fast break.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Alverca exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Alverca vs Casa Pia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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Liga Portugal, Portugal View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ