Alverca vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca Sat, 7 Mar - 3:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Alverca ALV
0 – 0
AVS AFS
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 3:30 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Alverca 0–0 AVS. The match ended in a draw. Alverca showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 69%–31%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Alverca showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Ferreira Gonçalves

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Ribeiro

1st Assistant

M. da Silva Martins

2nd Assistant

M. Viegas Brazão

4th Official

Alverca C. Dias de Castro
C. Dias de Castro
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.4
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: D
Tondela Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Estoril Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: L
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Casa Pia Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Alverca
55.73%
Draw
25.75%
Away AVS
18.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
37.06
13.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Alverca
AVS
Power Score
37.06
13.33
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alverca AVS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Alverca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AVS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Alverca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AVS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.64
44.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
44.03
29.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Alverca -1.41 Efficiency Index
vs
AVS +1.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Alverca
AVS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Alverca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AVS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Alverca AVS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Alverca AVS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Alverca
AVS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alverca ALV Home
1 matches
AVS AFS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:09:39+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 07, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Stadium :
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Capacity :
7705
Attendance :
1829
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Pedro Ribeiro
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Martins
Marcos Roberto Viegas Brazão
João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Statistics

Possession
ALV
64%
AFS
36%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 6
69 Dangerous attacks 33
69 Possession 31
8 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Goal Attempts 3
40 Ball Safe 25
10 Goal Kicks 16
17 Successful Headers 28
14 Successful Dribbles 2
42 Throwins 13
29 Dribble Attempts 7
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

127 Attacks 73
3 Counter Attacks 5
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

480 Passes 228
84 Successful Passes Percentage 65
5 Key Passes 7
402 Successful Passes 149
22 Successful Long Passes 23
47 Long Passes 52
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

11 Tackles 32
7 Interceptions 7
2 Saves 3

Build-up

39 Total Crosses 7
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

7 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Diogo Spencer → Steven Baseya
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Fabrício Garcia → Isaac James
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Mathis Clairicia → Rhaldney
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Vasco Moreira → Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
8th Substitution
78'
72'
Event
Carlos Ponck → Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Guillem Molina Gutiérrez → Mateus Pivô
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola → Guilherme Neiva Silva
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Óscar Perea → Tomané
4th Substitution
Event
Sandro Lima → Marko Milovanović
2nd Substitution
56'
55'
Event
Tiago Galletto López
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Isaac James
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
39'
38'
Event
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Tiago Galletto López → Ángel Algobia Esteves
1st Substitution
12'
Event
Mateus Pivô
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'
Event
5th Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Offside call against AVS. Tunde Akinsola has been flagged for being offside.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Fabrício Garcia from Alverca took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left after a corner kick.
90
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Lincoln against Alverca.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca, following a defensive play by Adriel.
90
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca after Gustavo Mendonça allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Kiki from AVS takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes wide to the right.
90
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Update Update
Offside call against AVS. Óscar Perea has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score remaining Alverca 0, AVS 0.
90
Attempt Attempt
The shot was blocked. Mathis Clairicia from Alverca took a right-footed attempt from the middle of the box, but Adriel from AVS made a save right in the center of the goal.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, and the match ends with Alverca and AVS both locked in a goalless draw at 0-0.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Carlos Ponck allowed the ball to go out of play.
87
Update Update
Guillem Molina from AVS commits a foul.
87
Update Update
Fabrício Garcia from Alverca earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
86
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Diogo Spencer from Alverca tries to score with his right foot from the right side of the penalty area, but the attempt is blocked. The play was set up by Vasco Moreira.
84
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Fabrício Garcia from Alverca takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes wide to the left.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Fabrício Garcia comes on to replace Isaac James.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Diogo Spencer comes on to take the place of Steven Baseya.
83
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Isaac James from Alverca takes a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
The shot was deflected. Isaac James from Alverca tried a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it was blocked.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Vasco Moreira comes on to take the place of Chiquinho.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Vasco Moreira comes on to take the place of Chiquinho.
75
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
75
Update Update
Carlos Ponck commits a foul for AVS.
75
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Figueiredo of Alverca took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left after a set piece.
74
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Aderllan Santos of AVS heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes wide to the left. The chance was created by Carlos Ponck, who delivered a cross after a set piece.
73
Update Update
Tunde Akinsola from AVS earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Lincoln against Alverca.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Carlos Ponck comes on to take the place of Diego Duarte.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Guillem Molina comes on to replace Matheus Pivô, who has sustained an injury.
71
Update Update
Steven Baseya from Alverca commits a foul.
71
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca after a play that resulted in a deflection off Adriel.
71
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca after Adriel allowed the ball to go out of play.
71
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
70
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
69
Update Update
The game has been temporarily halted due to an injury to Matheus Pivô from AVS.
68
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
68
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS committed a foul.
67
Attempt Attempt
Kiki from AVS tries a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets deflected.
66
Update Update
Gustavo Mendonça from AVS commits a foul.
66
Update Update
Lincoln has been awarded a free kick in their own half against Alverca.
65
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
65
Update Update
Match interruption - Alverca.
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Figueiredo from Alverca takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Adriel from AVS makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The attempt was set up by Chiquinho.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Tunde Akinsola comes on to take the place of Guilherme Neiva.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Paulo Vitor from AVS took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't find the target.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Óscar Perea comes on to take the place of Tomané.
59
Update Update
Offside call against AVS. Gustavo Mendonça has been flagged for being in an offside position.
57
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca after Aderllan Santos allowed the ball to go out.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Alverca: Sandro Lima comes on to take the place of Marezi.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tiago Galletto from AVS receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
55
Update Update
Tiago Galletto from AVS commits a foul.
55
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Steven Baseya from Alverca took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
47
Update Update
Roni from AVS strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area.
45
Attempt Attempt
The shot was denied. Aderllan Santos from AVS tried to score with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at Alverca 0, AVS 0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Figueiredo from Alverca took a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, but it didn't hit the target.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Alverca 0, AVS 0.
42
Update Update
Rhaldney has been awarded a free kick in their own half against Alverca.
42
Update Update
Roni from AVS committed a foul.
41
Update Update
Paulo Vitor from AVS commits a foul.
41
Update Update
Figueiredo from Alverca earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
39
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
39
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Guilherme Neiva from AVS.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Isaac James from Alverca receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
39
Update Update
Guilherme Neiva from AVS is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
39
Update Update
Isaac James from Alverca commits a foul.
38
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Guilherme Neiva from AVS receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
38
Update Update
Guilherme Neiva from AVS commits a foul.
38
Attempt Attempt
The attempt was thwarted. Gustavo Mendonça from AVS took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it was successfully stopped.
38
Update Update
Nabil Touaizi from Alverca is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
38
Update Update
Kiki from AVS commits a foul.
36
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Lincoln took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Roni from AVS took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal.
35
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca, following a deflection off Paulo Vitor.
34
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Tiago Galletto comes on to replace Ángel Algobia, who has been injured.
32
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
31
Update Update
The game has been temporarily halted due to an injury to Ángel Algobia from AVS.
29
Update Update
Marezi from Alverca committed a handball.
28
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Diego Duarte from AVS took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
26
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
25
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Diego Duarte from AVS.
24
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was denied. Guilherme Neiva from AVS took a right-footed strike from the middle of the box, but it was blocked. The assist came from Gustavo Mendonça.
22
Update Update
Marezi has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field against Alverca.
22
Update Update
Roni from AVS commits a foul.
20
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nabil Touaizi from Alverca took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide.
18
Update Update
Matheus Pivô from AVS commits a foul.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Matheus Pivô of AVS.
16
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca commits a foul.
16
Update Update
Gustavo Mendonça from AVS earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
14
Attempt Attempt
The shot was deflected. Chiquinho from Alverca tried a right-footed effort from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Alverca after Tomané allowed the ball to go out.
14
Attempt Attempt
The shot is denied. Figueiredo from Alverca tries a right-footed effort from the center of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
13
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play now.
13
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Matheus Pivô from AVS.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matheus Pivô from AVS receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
12
Update Update
Matheus Pivô from AVS commits a foul.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matheus Pivô from AVS receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Roni from AVS takes a long-range right-footed attempt from the left side, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
6
Update Update
Matheus Pivô from AVS committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Chiquinho from Alverca earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Alverca after Aderllan Santos allowed the ball to go out.
2
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Ángel Algobia from AVS takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
1
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Figueiredo from Alverca heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes wide to the right. The cross was provided by Lincoln.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Alverca exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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