Albacete vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte Fri, 24 Apr - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Albacete ALB
0 Winner 3
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Fri, 24 Apr 6:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
|
Goal
Jon Bautista - 70', 12', 10'

CONTEXT

SD Eibar delivered a clinical performance to secure a 0-3 victory over Albacete at their home ground, defying the hosts' commanding 61% possession. The visitors took control early, netting twice before halftime for a 0-2 lead, and added a third goal in the second half to seal the win. Albacete, despite dominating the ball, failed to register a single shot on target that troubled Eibar's defense, highlighting their inefficiency in the final third. Eibar, identified as the stronger side pre-match, showcased superior finishing and defensive solidity throughout. The outcome featured minimal structural deviation of just 2.4%, aligning closely with expectations. No red cards disrupted play, and the absence of second-half adjustments kept the game straightforward. This result reinforces Eibar's promotion credentials in the league, while Albacete must address their conversion issues urgently.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.4% in favor of SD Eibar.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true for the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without underlying data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards resulted in no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Muresan

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

F. Ortega Herrera

4th Official

José Bordoy

1st Assistant

A. Moleon Cuenca

2nd Assistant

Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.77
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: W
Leganés Rank: L
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: D
Castellón Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: W
Real Valladolid Rank: D
Ceuta Rank: W
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Las Palmas Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Albacete
0.49%
Draw
1.91%
Away SD Eibar
97.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.83
37.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
SD Eibar
Power Score
25.83
37.92
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Albacete Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Albacete

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.16
31.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.54
45.16
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Albacete +1.38 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -1.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Albacete SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Albacete SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Albacete
vs
SD Eibar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Albacete SD Eibar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Albacete SD Eibar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Albacete
SD Eibar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALB had peak pressure around 89'.
  • EIB started the game with stronger pressure.
ALB Pressure EIB Pressure
Pressure Index: ALB reached the top pressure at 89' (87.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
13 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
5
Draws
5
3
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
17
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:01:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
R. Lizoáin Cruz
Spain
13 R. Lizoáin Cruz
F. Gámez López
Spain
15 F. Gámez López
J. Vallejo Lázaro
Substitution
Spain
24 J. Vallejo Lázaro
L. López Mármol
Spain
22 L. López Mármol
C. Neva Tey
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
H. Martínez González
Substitution
Spain
26 H. Martínez González
M. Fernández Figueira
Substitution
Uruguay
8 M. Fernández Figueira
A. Meléndez Ruiz
Spain
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
J. Lazo Romero
Substitution
Spain
16 J. Lazo Romero
S. Obeng Gyabaa
Ghana
20 S. Obeng Gyabaa
J. Gomez
Substitution
United States
3 J. Gomez
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
A. Arbilla Zabala
Substitution
Spain
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
A. Aranbarri Murua
Substitution
Spain
4 A. Aranbarri Murua
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
A. Madariaga Susaeta
Substitution
Spain
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
Spain
14 L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
J. Martínez Calvo
Substitution
Spain
5 J. Martínez Calvo
J. Bautista Orgilles
Spain
9 J. Bautista Orgilles
J. Martón Ansó
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Martón Ansó

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 24, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity :
17524
Attendance :
9178
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Francisco José Ortega Herrera
Sergiu Claudiu Muresan
José Miguel Bordoy Homar
Aitor Moleon Cuenca

Statistics

Possession
ALB
58%
EIB
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 4
51 Dangerous attacks 26
61 Possession 39
10 Corners 3
6 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

29 Throwins 9
14 Dribble Attempts 12
21 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
0 Assists 3
5 Goal Kicks 16
1 Hit Woodwork 1
3 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 5
86 Ball Safe 73
16 Goal Attempts 10
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

103 Attacks 63
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

88 Successful Passes Percentage 82
516 Successful Passes 329
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
27 Successful Long Passes 31
587 Passes 401
16 Key Passes 9
50 Long Passes 59

Defensive

38 Duels Won 60
12 Interceptions 12
12 Tackles 17
2 Saves 5

Build-up

42 Total Crosses 9
7 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

7 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI

13
Raúl Lizoain
Raúl Lizoain Goalkeeper
7.05
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez Defender
6.78
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
6.68
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Defender
6.85
24
Jesús Vallejo
Jesús Vallejo Defender
6.69
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Defender75'
6.21
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández Midfielder
6.56
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor
Attacker46'
6.77
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Midfielder
6.79
26
Capi
Capi Midfielder
6.59
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Midfielder67'
6.57
3
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Attacker
6.77
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio
Attacker46'
6.84
16
José Carlos Lazo
José Carlos Lazo Attacker
6.8
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado
Defender67'
6.86
20
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa Attacker
6.68
Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
6.86
4
Aritz Arambarri
Aritz Arambarri Defender
6.59
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares
Attacker70'
6.76
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.68
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Defender
6.89
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Defender
7.1
34
Oier Llorente
Oier Llorente
Defender84'
6.54
5
Javi Martínez
Javi Martínez Midfielder
6.78
30
Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido
Midfielder62'
6.91
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea Midfielder
6.68
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Midfielder
6.71
11
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Magunazelaia
Midfielder84'
6.64
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Attacker
3
6.79
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Attacker
6.8
22
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez
Defender62'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia Ander Madariaga
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Oier Llorente Anaitz Arbilla
9th Substitution
Event
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia Jesús Vallejo
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Alex Rubio
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
Event
4th Yellowcard
75'
70'
Event
Jon Bautista
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
70'
Event
Adu Ares Aritz Arambarri
7th Substitution
Event
Lorenzo Aguado José Carlos Lazo
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Victor San Bartolome Prieto Capi
6th Substitution
67'
62'
Event
Aleix Garrido Javi Martínez
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez Javi Martón
4th Substitution
Event
Jefté Betancor Martín Fernández
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Alex Rubio Jonathan Gómez
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Jonathan Gómez
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
39'
12'
Event
Jon Bautista
Header / 2nd Goal
10'
Event
Jon Bautista
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

SD Eibar's 0-3 triumph over possession-heavy Albacete exemplifies ruthless efficiency in attack and resilience at the back. Leading 0-2 at halftime, they methodically extended their advantage without conceding, validating their status as the stronger team. Albacete's 61% possession yielded zero goals, exposing a stark disparity in clinical finishing. With minimal deviation and full market alignment, this performance lacked drama from red cards or tactical shifts, allowing Eibar's quality to prevail naturally. The result boosts Eibar's momentum while prompting introspection for Albacete on maximizing control into results.

Albacete vs SD Eibar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.