Albacete vs Granada Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte Sun, 19 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Albacete ALB
4 Winner 1
Granada GRA
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
José Carlos Lazo - 79'
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa - 71'
Lluís López - 15'
Jonathan Gómez - 10'
Goal
|
Goal
Gonzalo Petit - 62'

CONTEXT

Albacete secured a 2-1 victory over Granada at home, taking a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime before conceding once in the second half. Despite possessing the ball just 27% of the time, Albacete maximized their limited opportunities, while Granada's 73% possession yielded only a single goal. No red cards disrupted play, and the match featured no notable second-half adjustments or knockout implications. Identified as the stronger team, Albacete delivered a result with minimal structural deviation of 5.3%, aligning closely with pre-match market probabilities that heavily favored them at 94.7% for a home win. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, though xG data is unavailable for further validation. This outcome highlights Albacete's defensive resilience and counter-attacking prowess against a possession-dominant opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 5.3% favored Albacete.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant event impacts from adjustments or ties.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion present.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Cid Camacho

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. López Freixa

1st Assistant

D. Pescador Hernández

2nd Assistant

J. Roca Robles

4th Official

Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
Granada J. Rojo Martín
J. Rojo Martín
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: L
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: D
Castellón Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: W
Las Palmas Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Huesca Rank: W
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Albacete
94.66%
Draw
4.16%
Away Granada
1.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.36
24.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
Granada
Power Score
26.36
24.65
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Albacete Opponent-weighted form score
Granada Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Granada

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Albacete

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Granada

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Granada
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.93
24.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.79
50.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Albacete +2.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Granada -2.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Granada
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Granada
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Albacete Granada
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Albacete Granada
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Granada
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Albacete
vs
Granada
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Albacete Granada
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Albacete Granada
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Albacete
Granada
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GRA had peak pressure around 50'.
  • GRA started the game with stronger pressure.
ALB Pressure GRA Pressure
Pressure Index: GRA reached the top pressure at 50' (87.50).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
12 matches
Granada GRA Away
Match Record
3
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
9
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:05:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
R. Lizoáin Cruz
Spain
13 R. Lizoáin Cruz
F. Gámez López
Substitution
Spain
15 F. Gámez López
J. Vallejo Lázaro
Spain
24 J. Vallejo Lázaro
L. López Mármol
Spain
22 L. López Mármol
C. Neva Tey
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
H. Martínez González
Substitution
Spain
26 H. Martínez González
M. Fernández Figueira
Uruguay
8 M. Fernández Figueira
A. Meléndez Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
J. Gomez
United States
3 J. Gomez
A. Rubio Roldan
Substitution
Spain
19 A. Rubio Roldan
J. Rodríguez Díaz
Substitution
Spain
7 J. Rodríguez Díaz
Pitch
L. Zidane
France
1 L. Zidane
D. Hormigo Iturralde
Substitution
Spain
3 D. Hormigo Iturralde
L. Ntambue Kayumba
Spain
24 L. Ntambue Kayumba
O. Naasei Oppong
Ghana
28 O. Naasei Oppong
Á. Lemos Collazo
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. Lemos Collazo
I. González Muñoz
Substitution
Spain
41 I. González Muñoz
R. Alcaraz Jiménez
Substitution
Spain
4 R. Alcaraz Jiménez
P. Serra
Spain
8 P. Serra
A. Sola López Ocaña
Spain
7 A. Sola López Ocaña
J. Arnáiz Díaz
Spain
11 J. Arnáiz Díaz
P. Saenz Ezquerra
Substitution
Spain
21 P. Saenz Ezquerra

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 19, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity :
17524
Attendance :
11577
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Germán Cid Camacho
Sergi López Freixa
Daniel Pescador Hernández
Juan Francisco Roca Robles

Statistics

Possession
ALB
32%
GRA
68%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 6
35 Dangerous attacks 62
27 Possession 73
3 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

10 Successful Dribbles Percentage 69
5 Substitutions 5
8 Goal Kicks 7
1 Successful Dribbles 9
27 Throwins 25
10 Dribble Attempts 13
8 Goal Attempts 9
1 Injuries 0
46 Ball Safe 68
3 Assists 1

Attacking

61 Attacks 115

Possession

45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
218 Passes 605
49 Long Passes 46
22 Successful Long Passes 26
155 Successful Passes 539
8 Key Passes 12
71 Successful Passes Percentage 89

Defensive

15 Interceptions 6
3 Saves 2
31 Duels Won 51
9 Tackles 15

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 9
15 Total Crosses 36

Discipline

18 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI

13
Raúl Lizoain
Raúl Lizoain Goalkeeper
7.06
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez Defender
6.77
5
Javi Moreno
Javi Moreno
Defender84'
6.64
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
6.65
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Defender
6.67
24
Jesús Vallejo
Jesús Vallejo Defender
6.7
3
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Midfielder
6.74
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández Midfielder
6.57
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Midfielder
6.8
20
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Attacker70'
6.63
26
Capi
Capi Midfielder
6.64
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco
Midfielder70'
6.78
7
Antonio Puertas
Antonio Puertas Attacker
6.89
16
José Carlos Lazo
José Carlos Lazo
Attacker32'
6.79
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio Attacker
6.86
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado
Defender70'
6.85
Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI

1
Luca Zidane
Luca Zidane Goalkeeper
7.05
3
Diego Hormigo
Diego Hormigo Defender
6.26
26
Sergio Rodelas
Sergio Rodelas
Attacker61'
6.66
18
Álvaro Lemos
Álvaro Lemos Defender
6.46
40
Baba Diocou
Baba Diocou
Attacker73'
6.76
24
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams Defender
6.77
28
Oscar Naasei Oppong
Oscar Naasei Oppong Defender
6.6
4
Rubén Alcaraz
Rubén Alcaraz Midfielder
6.92
20
Sergio Ruiz
Sergio Ruiz
Midfielder46'
6.83
8
Pedro Alemañ Serna
Pedro Alemañ Serna Midfielder
6.89
41
Izan González
Izan González Midfielder
6.89
14
Manu Trigueros
Manu Trigueros
Midfielder46'
6.71
7
Álex Sola
Álex Sola Attacker
6.97
11
José Manuel Arnáiz
José Manuel Arnáiz Attacker
6.95
21
Pablo Sáenz
Pablo Sáenz Attacker
6.85
9
Gonzalo Petit
Gonzalo Petit
Attacker46'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Javi Moreno Fran Gámez
10th Substitution
84'
Event
José Carlos Lazo
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
79'
73'
Event
Baba Diocou Álvaro Lemos
9th Substitution
Event
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Header / 4th Goal
71'
Event
Lorenzo Aguado Alex Rubio
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Antonio Pacheco Capi
8th Substitution
70'
Event
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa Ale Meléndez
7th Substitution
70'
62'
Event
Gonzalo Petit
Header / 3rd Goal
61'
Event
Sergio Rodelas Diego Hormigo
5th Substitution
57'
Event
Oscar Naasei Oppong
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
53'
Event
Diego Hormigo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Fran Gámez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
47'
46'
Event
Sergio Ruiz Rubén Alcaraz
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Manu Trigueros Izan González
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Gonzalo Petit Pablo Sáenz
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ale Meléndez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
Event
6th Yellowcard
41'
33'
Event
Rubén Alcaraz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
José Carlos Lazo Antonio Puertas
1st Substitution
32'
Event
Lluís López
Header / 2nd Goal
15'
Event
Jonathan Gómez
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

CONCLUSION

Albacete's win exemplifies effective resource utilization, converting sparse possession into a decisive result against Granada's territorial dominance. The minimal deviation and market alignment affirm the predictability of their superiority, unmarred by cards or disruptions. Absence of xG limits shot efficiency insights, yet the halftime lead proved insurmountable. This performance reinforces Albacete's structural edge in Segunda Division play.

Albacete vs Granada preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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