Albacete vs Cultural Leonesa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte Sat, 9 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Albacete ALB
2 Winner 1
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
Full Time Sat, 9 May 2:15 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
Capi - 88'
Jefté Betancor - 29' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Lucas Ribeiro - 87'
|
Red Card Iván Calero 90+2'

CONTEXT

Albacete clinched a hard-fought 2-1 win against Cultural Leonesa in this Primera RFEF clash, defying their 39% possession share while the visitors dominated with 61%. The home team struck first, leading 1-0 at halftime, and maintained their advantage through smart defending. Cultural Leonesa's momentum waned after receiving a red card, reducing them to ten men and altering second-half dynamics significantly. Albacete added a second goal to secure victory, repelling a late away consolation strike. As the stronger side, Albacete's result featured minimal structural deviation at 3.9%, staying true to form. Efficiency held in line with norms, though xG data absence limits deeper insights. The red card distortion proved decisive, enabling the hosts to control key phases despite territorial inferiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Albacete's win displayed minimal structural deviation of 3.9%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was fully consistent with the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: Away red card heavily influenced second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Cultural Leonesa's red card distorted proceedings after halftime.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Morilla Turrión

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Gutiérrez Martino

1st Assistant

Spain

J. Aranda Delgado

4th Official

Spain

M. Herrera Ruiz

2nd Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.19
Yellow cards / match 4.73
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.33
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 66 W
SD Eibar Rank: 69 L
Granada Rank: 66 W
Leganés Rank: 64 L
Burgos Rank: 68 L
Mirandés Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 56 D
Mirandés Rank: 58 L
Córdoba Rank: 61 L
Granada Rank: 65 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Albacete
96.07%
Draw
3.73%
Away Cultural Leonesa
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.57
53.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
Power Score
66.57
53.19
League Position
12
22
Global Rank
285
612

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Cultural Leonesa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.21
24.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.51
48.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Albacete +2.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Cultural Leonesa -2.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Albacete Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Albacete Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Albacete
vs
Cultural Leonesa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Albacete Cultural Leonesa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Albacete 0.47
Cultural Leonesa 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Albacete Cultural Leonesa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Albacete 0.02
Cultural Leonesa 0.06
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALB had peak pressure around 33'.
  • Cultural Leonesa started the game with stronger pressure.
ALB Pressure Cultural Leonesa Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALB reached the top pressure at 33' (96.99).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
4 matches
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:03:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
D. Mariño Villar
Spain
1 D. Mariño Villar
J. Sánchez Martínez
Substitution
Spain
23 J. Sánchez Martínez
L. López Mármol
Spain
22 L. López Mármol
C. Neva Tey
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
L. Aguado Herrera
Substitution
Spain
2 L. Aguado Herrera
A. Meléndez Ruiz
Spain
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
M. Fernández Figueira
Uruguay
8 M. Fernández Figueira
A. Pacheco Ruiz
Spain
6 A. Pacheco Ruiz
J. Gomez
Substitution
United States
3 J. Gomez
V. San Bartolomé Prieto
Substitution
Spain
14 V. San Bartolomé Prieto
J. Betancor Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Betancor Sánchez
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
H. Ahmed
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
T. Machado Ribeiro
Substitution
Portugal
16 T. Machado Ribeiro
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 R. Suárez Marcos
V. García Hernández
Substitution
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
V. Moreno Alcalá
Substitution
Spain
11 V. Moreno Alcalá
N. Radoja
Substitution
Serbia
22 N. Radoja
J. Fernández Abruñedo
Spain
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
I. Calero Ruiz
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
R. Sobrino Pozuelo
Substitution
Spain
19 R. Sobrino Pozuelo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity :
17524
Attendance :
6647
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alaiz Gutiérrez Martino
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
José María Aranda Delgado
Manuel Herrera Ruiz

Statistics

Possession
ALB
44%
Cultural Leonesa
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
6 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 4
36 Dangerous attacks 59
39 Possession 61
3 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
14 Goal Kicks 8
26 Throwins 15
8 Dribble Attempts 23
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30
5 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Penalties 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5
91 Ball Safe 93
0 Injuries 1
12 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

100 Attacks 115
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

73 Successful Passes Percentage 85
247 Successful Passes 453
339 Passes 536
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
12 Key Passes 10
74 Long Passes 63
33 Successful Long Passes 31

Defensive

53 Duels Won 46
2 Interceptions 10
19 Tackles 10
3 Saves 6

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 16
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

10 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

1
Diego Mariño
Diego Mariño Goalkeeper
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Defender
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez Defender
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Defender65'
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado Midfielder
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez
Defender72'
3
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Midfielder
5
Javi Moreno
Javi Moreno
Defender65'
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco Midfielder
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández Midfielder
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Midfielder
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor Attacker
26
Capi
Capi
Midfielder78'
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto Attacker
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio
Attacker65'
Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez Defender
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Defender
16
Tomás Ribeiro
Tomás Ribeiro Defender
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic
Defender60'
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Attacker56'
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno Midfielder
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado
Attacker75'
14
Bicho
Bicho Midfielder
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja Midfielder
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre
Midfielder59'
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Attacker
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino Attacker
20
Rafa Tresaco
Rafa Tresaco
Attacker56'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+8'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Red card cancelled
90+2'
Event
Iván Calero
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
90+1'
Event
Iván Calero
Card adjusted
Event
Capi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
88'
87'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Capi → Jefté Betancor
10th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Diego Collado → Víctor Moreno
9th Substitution
Event
Fran Gámez → Lorenzo Aguado
8th Substitution
72'
Event
Alex Rubio → Victor San Bartolome Prieto
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia → Pepe Sánchez
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Javi Moreno → Jonathan Gómez
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Lorenzo Aguado
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
60'
Event
Matia Barzic → Tomás Ribeiro
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Sergi Maestre → Nemanja Radoja
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro → Víctor García
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Rafa Tresaco → Rubén Sobrino
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jefté Betancor
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
29'
28'
Event
Víctor García
Handball / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Lorenzo Aguado
Penalty awarded
27'

Match Commentary

90
Red Card Red Card Important
Ivan Calero receives a red card.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Lucas Ribeiro Costa.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lucas Ribeiro Costa receives a yellow card.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
The VAR decision has cancelled the red card for Lucas Ribeiro Costa.
87
Update Update
Lucas Ribeiro Costa scores with a header.
84
Attempt Attempt
Homam Ahmed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Update Update
On Capi, off Jefte Betancor Sanchez.
77
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
75
Update Update
Diego Collado replaces Victor Moreno.
73
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Fran Gamez is on, and Lorenzo is off.
72
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Update Update
Dani Bernabeu comes on for Jonathan Gomez.
65
Update Update
Alex Rubio is on, and Victor San Bartolomé is off.
65
Update Update
Alex Rubio is on, and Victor San Bartolomé is off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Gomez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez's header is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Martin Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Update Update
Sergi Maestre replaces Nemanja Radoja.
60
Update Update
Matia Barzic comes on for Tomas Aresta Branco Machado Ribeiro.
57
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
56
Update Update
Lucas Ribeiro Costa comes on for Ruben Sobrino Pozuelo.
56
Update Update
Rafael Tresaco replaces Victor Garcia.
51
Attempt Attempt
Homam Ahmed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Victor Garcia's right-footed shot is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Victor San Bartolomé attempts a header but misses the shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Calero's right-footed shot is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Calero takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Victor San Bartolomé takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Lluis Lopez Marmol attempts a header but misses the shot.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
25
Attempt Attempt
Lorenzo's left-footed shot is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Sobrino Pozuelo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Albacete's 2-1 success highlights their tactical edge, overcoming possession disparity through clinical finishing and capitalizing on the opponent's red card. The minimal 3.9% deviation and true market alignment affirm a predictable yet resilient performance from the stronger team. Efficiency stayed on track, with the dismissal creating clear second-half distortion that favored the hosts. Absent xG data curbs chance quality analysis, but the halftime 1-0 lead and final margin reflect poised execution. Cultural Leonesa paid dearly for the numerical loss despite early dominance. This result strengthens Albacete's position, blending structure with opportunistic play.

Albacete vs Cultural Leonesa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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