Akron vs Rostov Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Mon, 11 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Akron Akron
1 Winner 3
Rostov FCR
Full Time Mon, 11 May 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season
Oumar Sako - 42' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Viktor Melekhin - 45+2'
Mohammad Mohebi - 39'
Kirill Shchetinin - 21'

CONTEXT

Akron hosted Rostov in a match that saw the visitors triumph 1-3. The first half exploded with goals as Akron scored once but conceded three, leading to a 1-3 halftime scoreline. Despite Akron controlling 59% possession overall, Rostov demonstrated superior clinical finishing to secure the win. The second half was goalless, with Akron unable to break down Rostov's resolute defense despite their territorial dominance. No red cards were issued, allowing continuous play without major interruptions. Rostov, identified as the stronger team beforehand, capitalized on their opportunities efficiently. This result underscores Rostov's effectiveness in transition and set-piece execution against Akron's possession-based approach, marking a comprehensive away victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rostov recorded a significant structural deviation of 100% in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the final score.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

P. Shadykhanov

Russia
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Bolotenkov

1st Assistant

Russia

A. Ermilov

2nd Assistant

Russia

A. Mashlyakevich

4th Official

Russia

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 25.81
Yellow cards / match 3.7
Red cards / match 0.23
Penalties / match 0.61
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
VS
Rostov J. Alba Cabello
J. Alba Cabello
0.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
Rubin Kazan Rank: 61 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 71 L
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Orenburg Rank: 53 L
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Sochi Rank: 53 L
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akron
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rostov
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.62
61.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akron
Rostov
Power Score
54.62
61.45
League Position
13
10
Global Rank
662
450

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Rostov — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron Rostov

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rostov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rostov
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.61
41.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.10
31.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Akron -1.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Rostov +1.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Rostov
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rostov
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Akron Rostov
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Akron Rostov
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Rostov
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Akron
vs
Rostov
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Akron Rostov
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Akron 0.30
Rostov 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Akron Rostov
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Akron 0.08
Rostov 0.02
Akron
Rostov
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Akron had peak pressure around 45'.
  • Akron started the game with stronger pressure.
Akron Pressure FCR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Akron reached the top pressure at 45' (77.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home
3 matches
Rostov FCR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
5
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:02:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
V. Gudiev
Russia
88 V. Gudiev
I. Nedelcearu
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
J. Pereira Escoval
Substitution
Portugal
26 J. Pereira Escoval
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
K. Khosonov
Substitution
Russia
80 K. Khosonov
I. Đakovac
Substitution
Serbia
35 I. Đakovac
R. Fernández Toro
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
A. Dmitriev
Substitution
Russia
69 A. Dmitriev
G. Benchimol Tavares
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
M. Boldyrev
Substitution
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
Pitch
R. Yatimov
Tajikistan
1 R. Yatimov
I. Vakhaniya
Russia
40 I. Vakhaniya
O. Sako
Ivory Coast
3 O. Sako
D. Chistyakov
Russia
78 D. Chistyakov
V. Melekhin
Russia
4 V. Melekhin
A. Langovich
Russia
87 A. Langovich
A. Mironov
Substitution
Russia
8 A. Mironov
K. Shchetinin
Substitution
Russia
10 K. Shchetinin
I. Komarov
Substitution
Russia
62 I. Komarov
M. Mohebi
Substitution
Iran
9 M. Mohebi
T. Suleymanov
Substitution
Russia
99 T. Suleymanov

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Samara Arena
Capacity :
44918
Attendance :
3879
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andrey Bolotenkov
Aleksey Ermilov
Aleksandr Mashlyakevich
Pavel Shadykhanov

Statistics

Possession
Akron
55%
FCR
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 3
10 Shots 7
53 Dangerous attacks 37
59 Possession 41
5 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
1 Successful Dribbles 8
31 Successful Headers 25
35 Throwins 18
13 Dribble Attempts 14
5 Goal Kicks 8
0 Assists 1
14 Goal Attempts 10
0 Hit Woodwork 1
97 Ball Safe 77
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 4

Attacking

108 Attacks 73
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

398 Passes 284
79 Long Passes 83
28 Successful Long Passes 30
279 Successful Passes 172
70 Successful Passes Percentage 61
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

9 Tackles 21
6 Interceptions 12
4 Saves 10
51 Duels Won 67

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 11
8 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov

Starting XI ▼

88
Vitaliy Gudiev
Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
26
Rodrigo Escoval
Rodrigo Escoval Defender
2
Yomar Rocha
Yomar Rocha
Defender46'
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Midfielder
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar
Midfielder57'
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Midfielder
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov Midfielder
10
K. Arévalo
K. Arévalo
Attacker67'
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Attacker
69
Arseniy Dmitriev
Arseniy Dmitriev Attacker
8
Konstantin Maradishvili
Konstantin Maradishvili
Midfielder46'
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Attacker
23
Kristijan Bistrovic
Kristijan Bistrovic
Midfielder67'
Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov

Starting XI ▼

1
Rustam Yatimov
Rustam Yatimov Goalkeeper
3
Oumar Sako
Oumar Sako Defender
4
Viktor Melekhin
Viktor Melekhin Defender
40
Ilya Vakhania
Ilya Vakhania Defender
78
Dmitriy Chistyakov
Dmitriy Chistyakov Defender
87
Andrey Langovich
Andrey Langovich Defender
8
Aleksey Mironov
Aleksey Mironov Midfielder
18
Konstantin Kuchaev
Konstantin Kuchaev
Midfielder90+3'
10
Kirill Shchetinin
Kirill Shchetinin Midfielder
67
German Ignatov
German Ignatov
Defender73'
62
Ivan Komarov
Ivan Komarov Midfielder
5
Danila Prokhin
Danila Prokhin
Defender56'
9
Mohammad Mohebi
Mohammad Mohebi Attacker
69
Egor Golenkov
Egor Golenkov
Attacker56'
99
Timur Suleymanov
Timur Suleymanov Attacker
7
Ronaldo
Ronaldo
Attacker73'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Stefan Loncar
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Konstantin Kuchaev → Aleksey Mironov
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Ilya Vakhania
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Aleksey Mironov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
73'
Event
Ronaldo → Timur Suleymanov
9th Substitution
73'
Event
German Ignatov → Kirill Shchetinin
8th Substitution
Event
K. Arévalo → Khetag Khosonov
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Kristijan Bistrovic → Maksim Boldyrev
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Stefan Loncar → Ifet Djakovac
5th Substitution
57'
56'
Event
Egor Golenkov → Mohammad Mohebi
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Danila Prokhin → Ivan Komarov
4th Substitution
Event
Konstantin Maradishvili → Arseniy Dmitriev
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Yomar Rocha → Rodrigo Escoval
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Viktor Melekhin
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Oumar Sako
Header / 1st Own Goal
42'
39'
Event
Mohammad Mohebi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Kirill Shchetinin
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Loncar's header is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Arevalo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Konstantin Kuchaev replaces Alexey Mironov.
90
Attempt Attempt
Konstantin Kuchaev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Marat Bokoev's right-footed shot is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Marat Bokoev's header is saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Attempt Attempt
Egor Golenkov takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Dmitriy Pestryakov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Dmitriy Pestryakov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos is on, and Timur Suleymanov is off.
73
Update Update
German Ignatov replaces Kirill Shchetinin.
68
Substitution Substitution
Kevin Arevalo is substituted for Khetag Khosonov.
68
Update Update
Kristijan Bistrovic comes on for Maxim Dmitrievich Boldyrev.
56
Update Update
Egor Golenkov comes on for Mohammad Mohebi.
56
Update Update
Danila Prokhin is on, and Ivan Komarov is off.
56
Substitution Substitution
Stefan Loncar is substituted for Ifet Djakovac.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ifet Djakovac takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Timur Suleymanov takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
Yomar Rocha comes on for Joao Escoval.
46
Update Update
Konstantin Maradishvili is on, and Arseny Dmitriev is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Melekhin scores with a right-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Melekhin scores with a right-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Melekhin scores with a right-footed shot.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Oumar Sako makes it 1-2.
42
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal! Mohammad Mohebi takes a right-footed shot that finds the back of the net.
38
Attempt Attempt
Gilson Tavares takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
30
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Komarov takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
30
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Komarov takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Ifet Djakovac takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Mohammad Mohebi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Kirill Shchetinin scores with a right-footed shot.
18
Attempt Attempt
Alexey Mironov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Alexey Mironov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Andrey Langovich's right-footed shot is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Maxim Dmitrievich Boldyrev takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Pavel Shadykhanov.
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammad Mohebi with his left foot is saved.

CONCLUSION

Rostov's 1-3 victory over Akron exemplifies how quality trumps quantity in chance creation, as they overcame lower possession to win convincingly. The halftime 1-3 lead proved decisive, with a solid defensive second half sealing the points. Akron's 59% possession failed to yield goals post-interval, highlighting Rostov's tactical discipline. As the stronger team, Rostov met expectations through efficient play, avoiding disruptions like red cards. This performance boosts Rostov's standing, while Akron must refine their conversion rate. Overall, the result reflects Rostov's maturity in high-stakes encounters.

Akron vs Rostov preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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