Akron vs Dynamo Makhachkala Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 2:30 PM
Premier League
Akron Akron
1 – 1
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala
Full Time Thu, 23 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 26 Regular Season
Roberto Fernández - 9'
Goal
|
Goal
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad - 75'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Akron 1–1 Dynamo Makhachkala. The match ended in a draw. Dynamo Makhachkala showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The draw showed a significant 100% deviation with Dynamo Makhachkala underperforming as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Ivanov

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

V. Petrosyan

1st Assistant

D. Malikov

2nd Assistant

I. Kaplenkov

4th Official

Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
VS
Dynamo Makhachkala V. Evseev
V. Evseev
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: L
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: L
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: D
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: D
CSKA Moskva Rank: L
Orenburg Rank: W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akron
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Makhachkala
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.69
17.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akron
Dynamo Makhachkala
Power Score
14.69
17.36
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron Dynamo Makhachkala

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Makhachkala

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.87
30.46
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.46
35.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Akron +0.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Makhachkala -0.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Dynamo Makhachkala
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Makhachkala
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Akron Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Akron Dynamo Makhachkala
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Dynamo Makhachkala
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Akron
vs
Dynamo Makhachkala
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Akron Dynamo Makhachkala
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Akron 0.28
Dynamo Makhachkala 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Akron Dynamo Makhachkala
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Akron 0.01
Dynamo Makhachkala 0.02
Akron
Dynamo Makhachkala
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Akron had peak pressure around 10'.
  • Akron started the game with stronger pressure.
Akron Pressure Dynamo Makhachkala Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Akron reached the top pressure at 10' (93.93).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home
3 matches
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-24T00:01:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
V. Gudiev
Russia
88 V. Gudiev
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
J. Pereira Escoval
Portugal
26 J. Pereira Escoval
I. Nedelcearu
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
R. Fernández Toro
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
S. Loncar
Montenegro
15 S. Loncar
A. Đurasović
Substitution
Serbia
5 A. Đurasović
M. Kuzmin
Substitution
Russia
6 M. Kuzmin
G. Benchimol Tavares
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
A. Dzyuba
Russia
22 A. Dzyuba
M. Boldyrev
Substitution
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
Pitch
D. Volk
Russia
27 D. Volk
J. Tabidze
Georgia
5 J. Tabidze
I. Akhmedov
43 I. Akhmedov
A. Alarcón Mendoza
Colombia
24 A. Alarcón Mendoza
T. Sundukov
Russia
77 T. Sundukov
H. Mastouri
Substitution
Tunisia
7 H. Mastouri
H. Eddine Mrezigue
Algeria
16 H. Eddine Mrezigue
N. Glushkov
Russia
47 N. Glushkov
M. Hosseinnezhad Mahaleh kolaei
Iran
10 M. Hosseinnezhad Mahaleh kolaei
G. Agalarov
Substitution
Russia
25 G. Agalarov
V. Pinto Domingos
Angola
11 V. Pinto Domingos

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 23, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Samara Arena
Capacity :
44918
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sergey Ivanov
Varantso Petrosyan
Dmitri Malikov
Igor Kaplenkov

Statistics

Possession
Akron
47%
Dynamo Makhachkala
53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 7
50 Dangerous attacks 69
46 Possession 54
5 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

10 Dribble Attempts 11
5 Successful Dribbles 7
1 Assists 0
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
14 Throwins 23
27 Successful Headers 16
8 Goal Kicks 6
1 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Substitutions 2
2 Injuries 2
13 Goal Attempts 12
94 Ball Safe 75

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
94 Attacks 108

Possession

68 Successful Passes Percentage 73
233 Successful Passes 306
343 Passes 419
85 Long Passes 68
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26
33 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

50 Duels Won 51
4 Saves 8
7 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 12

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Sergey Ivanov

Starting XI ▼

88
Vitaliy Gudiev
Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper
7.09
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Defender
6.74
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
6.53
26
Rodrigo Escoval
Rodrigo Escoval Defender
6.38
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
6.85
5
Aleksa Djurasovic
Aleksa Djurasovic Midfielder
6.59
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov
Midfielder82'
6.65
6
Maksim Kuzmin
Maksim Kuzmin Midfielder
6.63
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac
Midfielder46'
6.64
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar Midfielder
6.74
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Attacker
6.79
22
Artem Dzyuba
Artem Dzyuba Attacker
7.26
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Attacker
6.84
10
K. Arévalo
K. Arévalo
Attacker82'
6.77
Referee : Sergey Ivanov

Starting XI ▼

27
David Volk
David Volk Goalkeeper
6.65
5
Jemal Tabidze
Jemal Tabidze Defender
6.66
24
Andrés Alarcón
Andrés Alarcón Defender
6.59
43
Ilyas Akhmedov
Ilyas Akhmedov Defender
6.39
77
Temirkan Sundukov
Temirkan Sundukov Defender
6.6
7
Hazem Mastouri
Hazem Mastouri Midfielder
6.77
72
Aleksandr Sandrachuk
Aleksandr Sandrachuk
Defender82'
6.27
10
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad Midfielder
6.83
16
Houssem Mrezigue
Houssem Mrezigue Midfielder
6.97
47
Nikita Glushkov
Nikita Glushkov Midfielder
6.67
11
Miro
Miro Attacker
6.62
25
Gamid Agalarov
Gamid Agalarov Attacker
6.7
71
Jan Dapo
Jan Dapo
Defender64'
6.47

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Vadim Evseev
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
K. Arévalo → Maksim Boldyrev
3rd Substitution
82'
Event
Khetag Khosonov → Aleksa Djurasovic
4th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Aleksandr Sandrachuk → Hazem Mastouri
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
69'
Event
Temirkan Sundukov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
64'
Event
Jan Dapo → Gamid Agalarov
2nd Substitution
Event
Ifet Djakovac → Maksim Kuzmin
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Roberto Fernández
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

CONCLUSION

Akron's 1-1 draw against Dynamo Makhachkala highlights their grit and organization, especially after leading 1-0 at halftime. Despite Dynamo's higher possession and status as the stronger team, Akron's backline held firm, forcing a share of the spoils. This outcome marks a notable upset in structure, with Dynamo failing to capitalize on their advantages. The absence of red cards ensured a fair contest, and efficiency stayed consistent. For Akron, it's a morale-boosting point; for Dynamo, a reminder to sharpen finishing. Both sides showed merit, but Akron's resilience defined the result in this even affair.

Akron vs Dynamo Makhachkala preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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