Akron vs Dinamo Moskva Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Samara Arena Mon, 13 Apr - 2:15 PM

Premier League

Akron Akron

Dinamo Moskva DMO

Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 2:15 PM

Round 24 Regular Season

Benchimol - 88' (P)

Stefan Loncar - 42'

K. Tyukavin - 90+5'

Arthur Gomes - 33'

Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu - 20' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Akron and Dinamo Moskva is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-3 to the visitors. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, with Dinamo Moskva asserting themselves as the stronger side and claiming all three points despite a relatively even contest on paper. Akron and Dinamo Moskva shared possession almost equally at 48% to 52%. With no expected goals data available, the efficiency shift stayed in line with the overall pattern of play. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection that favored Dinamo Moskva's quality ultimately prevailing, even as the score remained competitive following a 1-2 halftime scoreline. No red cards were shown to either team, allowing the match to flow without major disciplinary interruptions. Dinamo Moskva converted their slight territorial edge into a narrow but deserved victory, confirming their status as the more effective side across the full 90 minutes.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Dinamo Moskva showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

I. Kaplenkov

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Stipidi

1st Assistant

E. Bolkhovitin

2nd Assistant

M. Cheremnykh

4th Official

Z. Tedeev

P. Alpatov

1.17

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Akron

Draw

Dinamo Moskva

Team Power Ranking

14.4

28.88

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Akron

Dinamo Moskva

Power Score

14.4

28.88

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Akron — Opponent-weighted form score

Dinamo Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron Dinamo Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Akron

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Dinamo Moskva

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Dinamo Moskva

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

39.06

39.52

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

39.52

39.06

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Akron -0.05 Efficiency Index

Dinamo Moskva +0.05 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Akron

Dinamo Moskva

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Dinamo Moskva

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Akron Dinamo Moskva

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Akron Dinamo Moskva

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Akron

Dinamo Moskva

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Akron

Dinamo Moskva

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Akron Dinamo Moskva

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Akron Dinamo Moskva

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Akron

Dinamo Moskva

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

DMO had peak pressure around 99'.
DMO started the game with stronger pressure.

Akron Pressure DMO Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: DMO reached the top pressure at 99' (99.14).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home

3 matches

Dinamo Moskva DMO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:00:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

88 V. Gudiev

2 Y. Rocha Rodriguez

26 J. Pereira Escoval

19 M. Bokoev

21 R. Fernández Toro

6 M. Kuzmin

5 A. Đurasović

15 S. Loncar

71 D. Pestryakov

22 A. Dzyuba

91 M. Boldyrev

31 I. Leshchuk

7 D. Skopintsev

57 D. Loiola da Silva

55 M. Osipenko

2 N. Marichal

74 D. Fomin

60 T. Marinkin

11 A. Gomes Lourenço

21 A. Miranchuk

13 N. Ngamaleu

33 I. Sergeev

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 13, 2026, 02:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 24 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Samara Arena

Capacity :

44918

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Igor Kaplenkov

Aleksey Stipidi

Egor Bolkhovitin

Mikhail Cheremnykh

Statistics

Possession

Akron

50%

DMO

50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3

1 Big Chances Created 5

7 Shots 7

55 Dangerous attacks 51

48 Possession 52

7 Corners 8

9 Free kicks 11

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 6

20 Successful Headers 10

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

4 Successful Dribbles 5

21 Throwins 18

8 Dribble Attempts 10

2 Penalties 2

1 Assists 2

79 Ball Safe 71

2 Injuries 1

4 Substitutions 4

11 Goal Attempts 15

Attacking

88 Attacks 87

0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

71 Long Passes 70

360 Passes 389

34 Successful Long Passes 25

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

251 Successful Passes 286

70 Successful Passes Percentage 74

Defensive

21 Interceptions 11

42 Duels Won 35

4 Saves 3

9 Tackles 9

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 28

8 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

0 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Igor Kaplenkov

Manager ▼

Z. Tedeev Coach

Starting XI ▼

Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper

7.07

Yomar Rocha Defender

6.5

Benchimol

Attacker64'

6.75

Marat Bokoev Defender

6.99

Roberto Fernández Defender

6.7

Rodrigo Escoval Defender

6.38

Aleksa Djurasovic Midfielder

6.62

Khetag Khosonov

Midfielder64'

6.69

Maksim Kuzmin Midfielder

6.62

Nikita Bazilevskiy

Attacker76'

6.71

Stefan Loncar Midfielder

6.71

Artem Dzyuba Attacker

7.28

Dmitriy Pestryakov Attacker

6.87

Maksim Boldyrev Attacker

6.86

K. Arévalo

Attacker76'

6.82

Substitutes ▼

Khetag Khosonov

Midfielder64'

6.69

Benchimol

Attacker64'

6.75

K. Arévalo

Attacker76'

6.82

Nikita Bazilevskiy

Attacker76'

6.71

Bench ▼

Ignat Terekhovskiy Goalkeeper

6.56

Aleksandr Vasyutin Goalkeeper

6.29

Edgar Sevikyan Midfielder

6.66

Konstantin Maradishvili Midfielder

6.52

Denis Popenkov Midfielder

6.8

Arseniy Dmitriev Attacker

6.62

Referee : Igor Kaplenkov