AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
OPAP Arena Thu, 16 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
AEK Athens AEK
3 Winner 1
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Full Time Thu, 16 Apr 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 4
Zini - 51', 13'
Răzvan Marin - 36' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Isi Palazón - 60'

CONTEXT

AEK Athens welcomed Rayo Vallecano for the second leg of their knockout tie, trailing 0-3 from Rayo's first-leg home win. The home side asserted dominance early, surging to a 2-0 halftime lead with 64% possession and precise finishing. They added another goal for a 3-1 victory, but Rayo advanced on a 4-3 aggregate. No red cards disrupted play, allowing AEK's superior control to shine as the stronger team. Efficiency stayed in line with norms, though xG data was unavailable. The match showcased AEK's attacking intent in a high-stakes reversal attempt that fell just short.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: AEK Athens recorded a significant 54.1% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without supporting data.
  • Event impact: Knockout tie structure determined progression despite home win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Eskås

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Engan

1st Assistant

I. Bashevkin

2nd Assistant

S. Kringstad

4th Official

AEK Athens M. Nikolić
M. Nikolić
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano Rank: L
Celje Rank: L
Celje Rank: W
Universitatea Craiova Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: W
Fiorentina Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
AEK Athens Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: W
Drita Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Slovan Bratislava Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AEK Athens
45.93%
Draw
25.68%
Away Rayo Vallecano
28.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
AEK Athens
-51.96%
Draw
+23.76%
Rayo Vallecano
+28.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.74
27.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AEK Athens
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
35.74
27.41
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AEK Athens — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AEK Athens Rayo Vallecano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AEK Athens

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AEK Athens ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.06
29.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.86
39.06
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AEK Athens +0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Rayo Vallecano -0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AEK Athens
Rayo Vallecano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AEK Athens ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AEK Athens Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AEK Athens Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AEK Athens
Rayo Vallecano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AEK Athens
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AEK Athens Rayo Vallecano
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AEK Athens 0.26
Rayo Vallecano 0.67
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AEK Athens Rayo Vallecano
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AEK Athens 0.07
Rayo Vallecano 0.04
AEK Athens
Rayo Vallecano
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AEK had peak pressure around 55'.
  • RAY started the game with stronger pressure.
AEK Pressure RAY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AEK reached the top pressure at 55' (99.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AEK Athens AEK Home
1 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:01:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Strakosha
Albania
1 T. Strakosha
L. Rota
Greece
12 L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
Cameroon
2 H. Moukoudi
F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
Portugal
44 F. Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
S. Pilios
Substitution
Greece
3 S. Pilios
A. Koita
Mauritania
11 A. Koita
R. Marin
Romania
18 R. Marin
O. Pineda Alvarado
Mexico
13 O. Pineda Alvarado
D. Kutesa
Substitution
Switzerland
7 D. Kutesa
A. Cabaça
Substitution
Angola
90 A. Cabaça
B. Varga
Hungary
25 B. Varga
Pitch
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
Spain
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
L. Ramos Marchi
Substitution
Italy
5 L. Ramos Marchi
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
P. Ciss
Senegal
6 P. Ciss
U. López Cabrera
Substitution
Spain
17 U. López Cabrera
Á. García Rivera
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. García Rivera
I. Palazón Camacho
Substitution
Spain
7 I. Palazón Camacho
Ilias Chakkour
Substitution
Morocco
12 Ilias Chakkour
J. De Frutos Sebastián
Spain
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 4
Stadium :
OPAP Arena
Capacity :
32500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Espen Eskås
Jan Erik Engan
Isaak Bashevkin
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Statistics

Possession
AEK
62%
RAY
38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
7 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 3
80 Dangerous attacks 15
64 Possession 36
8 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 11
21 Throwins 20
27 Dribble Attempts 13
18 Successful Dribbles 6
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
2 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2
17 Goal Attempts 9
1 Penalties 0
65 Ball Safe 79
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

134 Attacks 63
5 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 64
46 Long Passes 62
27 Successful Long Passes 21
374 Passes 232
300 Successful Passes 148
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
17 Key Passes 6

Defensive

12 Tackles 21
8 Interceptions 17
3 Saves 5

Build-up

39 Total Crosses 4
13 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

15 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

1
Thomas Strakosha
Thomas Strakosha Goalkeeper
6.66
2
Harold Moukoudi
Harold Moukoudi Defender
6.67
3
Stavros Pilios
Stavros Pilios Defender
6.69
37
Roberto Pereyra
Roberto Pereyra
Midfielder85'
6.56
12
Lazaros Rota
Lazaros Rota Defender
6.78
44
Filipe Relvas
Filipe Relvas Defender
6.73
7
Dereck Kutesa
Dereck Kutesa Midfielder
6.95
19
Niclas Eliasson
Niclas Eliasson
Midfielder71'
6.95
11
Aboubakary Koita
Aboubakary Koita Midfielder
6.95
13
Orbelín Pineda
Orbelín Pineda Midfielder
6.95
18
Răzvan Marin
Răzvan Marin Midfielder
6.99
25
Barnabás Varga
Barnabás Varga Attacker
7.11
90
Zini
Zini Attacker
2
6.56
8
Mijat Gacinovic
Mijat Gacinovic
Midfielder77'
6.78
Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.8
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.95
5
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe Defender
7.04
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz
Midfielder55'
6.88
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.31
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7.02
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Midfielder
6.89
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy
Defender80'
6.49
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder
7.1
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski
Attacker46'
7.03
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
7.3
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
Midfielder55'
6.77
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García Midfielder
7.44
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino
Defender27'
7.02
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.98

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Pedro Díaz
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Aboubakary Koita
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Roberto Pereyra → Stavros Pilios
8th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
Nobel Mendy → Isi Palazón
7th Substitution
Event
Mijat Gacinovic → Zini
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Niclas Eliasson → Dereck Kutesa
5th Substitution
71'
60'
Event
Isi Palazón
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
55'
Event
Pedro Díaz → Luiz Felipe
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Óscar Valentín → Unai López
4th Substitution
Event
Zini
Header / 2nd Goal
51'
46'
Event
Alexandre Zurawski → Ilias Akhomach
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Unai López
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Răzvan Marin
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
36'
Event
Barnabás Varga
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
30'
27'
Event
Alfonso Espino → Álvaro García
1st Substitution
19'
Event
Ilias Akhomach
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Zini
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Mijat Gacinovic concedes.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Alemão of Rayo Vallecano.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
90
Update Update
Harold Moukoudi from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Lazaros Rota from AEK Athens wins a free kick on the right wing.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Díaz of Rayo Vallecano.
90
Update Update
Lazaros Rota from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano hits the left post with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with AEK Athens winning 3-1 against Rayo Vallecano.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Alemão of Rayo Vallecano.
86
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
85
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano.
85
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Barnabás Varga's header from the center of the box is saved in the top right corner by Augusto Batalla. The cross was assisted by Niclas Eliasson.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Roberto Pereyra comes on for Stavros Pilios.
85
Attempt Attempt
Orbelín Pineda's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Lazaros Rota provided the assist.
84
Update Update
Niclas Eliasson of AEK Athens wins a free kick on the right wing.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Pep Chavarría of Rayo Vallecano.
84
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
82
Corner Corner
Harold Moukoudi's header from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Augusto Batalla. The attempt was assisted by Razvan Marin's cross.
82
Attempt Attempt
Harold Moukoudi's header from the center of the box is saved.
81
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Florian Lejeune concedes.
81
Corner Corner
Florian Lejeune's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Thomas Strakosha.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Nobel Mendy comes on for Isi Palazón.
79
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the attacking half.
79
Update Update
Foul by Filipe Relvas of AEK Athens.
78
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Stavros Pilios concedes.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Mijat Gacinovic comes on for Zine.
74
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Pedro Díaz concedes.
73
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick on the left wing.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AEK Athens: Niclas Eliasson comes on for Dereck Kutesa.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Harold Moukoudi of AEK Athens.
70
Update Update
Zine's header from close range is blocked. Barnabás Varga provided the assist with a cross.
68
Update Update
Foul by Jorge de Frutos of Rayo Vallecano.
68
Update Update
Foul by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
68
Update Update
Stavros Pilios from AEK Athens wins a free kick on the left wing.
68
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Attempt Attempt
Andrei Ratiu's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Jorge de Frutos provided the assist.
66
Attempt Attempt
Zine from AEK Athens misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from very close range.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
64
Update Update
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Harold Moukoudi of AEK Athens.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Isi Palazón scores for Rayo Vallecano with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Pedro Díaz. The score is now AEK Athens 3, Rayo Vallecano 1.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano.
59
Update Update
Lazaros Rota from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
56
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
56
Corner Corner
Zine from AEK Athens misses an attempt with a header from close range, sending it high and wide to the right. The chance was assisted by Razvan Marin, who delivered a cross after a corner.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Óscar Valentín comes on for Unai López.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pedro Díaz comes on for Luiz Felipe due to an injury.
54
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Luiz Felipe from Rayo Vallecano.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! AEK Athens 3, Rayo Vallecano 0. Zine scores for AEK Athens with a header from the center of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Dereck Kutesa.
50
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
50
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
49
Attempt Attempt
Razvan Marin from AEK Athens misses a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, sending the ball to the left. The assist came from Lazaros Rota.
47
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it too high from a direct free kick.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Luiz Felipe of Rayo Vallecano.
46
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Augusto Batalla concedes.
45
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Augusto Batalla concedes.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
First half ends with AEK Athens leading Rayo Vallecano 2-0.
45
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Zine of AEK Athens.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Ilias Akhomach of Rayo Vallecano.
45
Update Update
Stavros Pilios from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at AEK Athens 2, Rayo Vallecano 0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemão comes on for Ilias Akhomach.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Unai López of Rayo Vallecano.
44
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Unai López of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
43
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Dereck Kutesa provided the assist.
41
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Harold Moukoudi of AEK Athens.
40
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Pathé Ciss concedes.
39
Update Update
Barnabás Varga from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
38
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
38
Update Update
Dereck Kutesa of AEK Athens is caught offside.
37
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Zine of AEK Athens.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Razvan Marin scores for AEK Athens with a right-footed shot into the top left corner. The match remains 2-0.
34
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
34
Update Update
AEK Athens is awarded a penalty after Aboubakary Koïta is fouled in the penalty area.
33
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Barnabás Varga's header from the center of the box is saved in the top left corner by Augusto Batalla.
32
Update Update
Orbelín Pineda from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the attacking half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens receives a yellow card for a foul.
30
Update Update
Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens.
30
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Dereck Kutesa from AEK Athens has a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the bottom left corner by Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano. The assist came from Zine.
29
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Zine of AEK Athens.
28
Attempt Attempt
Razvan Marin's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Augusto Batalla.
26
Corner Corner
Harold Moukoudi from AEK Athens misses a header from the center of the box after a corner.
25
Corner Corner
AEK Athens win a corner after Luiz Felipe concedes.
23
Attempt Attempt
Aboubakary Koïta's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
22
Corner Corner
AEK Athens wins a corner after Andrei Ratiu concedes.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card.
16
Update Update
Foul by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
16
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano misses a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the right. The assist came from Álvaro García's cross.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! AEK Athens leads Rayo Vallecano 1-0. Zine scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Stavros Pilios.
12
Corner Corner
Barnabás Varga of AEK Athens misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it too high. The chance was set up by Lazaros Rota, who provided a cross after a corner.
11
Update Update
Aboubakary Koïta from AEK Athens wins a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
10
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
7
Attempt Attempt
Álvaro García's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Thomas Strakosha. The attempt was assisted by Jorge de Frutos.
6
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Isi Palazón's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Andrei Ratiu from Rayo Vallecano has a left-footed shot from very close range that goes to the left.
5
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Razvan Marin of AEK Athens.
3
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Florian Lejeune from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from outside the box following a direct free kick.
3
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the attacking half.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Aboubakary Koïta of AEK Athens.
2
Update Update
Florian Lejeune from Rayo Vallecano wins a free kick in the defensive half.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Razvan Marin of AEK Athens.

CONCLUSION

AEK Athens produced a dominant display, securing a 3-1 home win with commanding possession and early goals, yet Rayo Vallecano progressed 4-3 on aggregate from their first-leg lead. As the stronger team, AEK's performance featured significant structural deviation and steady efficiency, consistent with market views. The absence of xG limits deeper analysis, but clear superiority in open play was evident. This result highlights knockout football's unforgiving nature, where a match triumph couldn't erase prior shortcomings. Rayo's defensive resolve in the second leg sealed their advancement.

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