AC Milan vs Udinese Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Udinese UDISTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between AC Milan and Udinese is now finished, with the full-time score ending 0-3 to the visitors. Udinese took a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and added a third goal after the interval, securing a straightforward victory despite AC Milan being regarded as the stronger team beforehand. Pre-match expectations carried only minimal deviation, with Udinese the side that exceeded projections by a small margin of 2.4 percent. AC Milan dominated possession at 63 percent to 37 percent but could not convert their territorial advantage into chances. No xG data was available to measure shot quality, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection. No red cards were shown to either side, and there were no disruptive events that altered the flow. Udinese's clinical finishing proved decisive in a result that aligned fully with anticipated patterns.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Udinese showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
M. Marchetti
Other match officials
D. Imperiale
1st Assistant
D. Fontemurato
2nd Assistant
Giuseppe Mucera
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
AC Milan
UdineseTeam Power Ranking
i
32.69
22.14
AC Milan
UdineseForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
AC Milan
Udinese

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
AC Milan ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
AC Milan ⚠ Proxy
AC Milan Udinese
AC Milan Udinese
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
AC Milan
AC Milan Udinese


AC Milan Udinese


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- MIL had peak pressure around 72'.
- UDI started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:09:41+00:00
STARTING XI
AC Milan
Udinese






















































General Information
Next Match

AC Milan
vs

Hellas Verona
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Udinese
vs

Parma
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Dacia Arena
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
AC MilanManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼







UdineseManager ▼

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Events
CONCLUSION
AC Milan vs Udinese preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary