Aberdeen vs Celtic Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Premiership
Celtic CELSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Aberdeen and Celtic has finished, with Celtic securing a 2-1 victory after the teams were deadlocked at 1-1 at half-time. This final result perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the visitors with a 58% win probability compared to Aberdeen's slim 18.9% chance. To claim all three points, Celtic produced a significant deviation in performance from the baseline, asserting their dominance as the stronger side. Celtic dictated the tempo throughout the contest, controlling a commanding 62% of the possession while restricting the hosts to just 38% of the ball. Although expected goals (xG) data was not available to precisely measure the quality of scoring chances created by either side, the overall efficiency shift for the match was entirely in line with historical metrics for both clubs. The fixture proceeded cleanly without any red cards to alter either team's tactical framework. Ultimately, Celtic utilized their overwhelming possession advantage to break the halftime tie. By cleanly executing in the second half, the visitors ensured the final outcome firmly matched the oddsmakers' pre-game predictions.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Celtic showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
N. Walsh
Other match officials
D. McFarlane
1st Assistant
C. Drummond
2nd Assistant
G. Soutar
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Aberdeen
CelticTeam Power Ranking
i
33.33
66.67
Aberdeen
CelticForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Aberdeen
Celtic

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Aberdeen ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Aberdeen
Aberdeen Celtic
Aberdeen Celtic
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Expected Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:23:39+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Events
CONCLUSION
Aberdeen vs Celtic preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary