Aalesund vs KFUM Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Color Line Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM

Eliteserien

Aalesund Aalesund

2 – 2

KFUM KFUM

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 3:00 PM

Round 4 Regular Season

I. Djantou - 88'

Henrik Melland - 16'

Håkon Helland Hoseth - 63'

Simen Hestnes - 12'

CONTEXT

The match between Aalesund and KFUM is now finished, ending in a 2-2 draw. The teams were level at 1-1 by half-time, and neither side could find a decisive goal in the second period despite several opportunities. Pre-match expectations positioned Aalesund as narrow favourites, yet the outcome represented a significant deviation that favoured KFUM, who were rated the stronger team overall. Possession was closely contested at 53 percent for the home side and 47 percent for the visitors, with no red cards or major disciplinary incidents affecting the flow. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, though the final result did not align with the pre-match projection. Without available xG data it is difficult to quantify chance quality, but the shared points reflected a competitive contest in which KFUM successfully claimed a result few had anticipated. This draw underlines their resilience away from home against a side expected to prevail.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: KFUM showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Huru Kellerhals

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Nebben

1st Assistant

E. Helgerud

2nd Assistant

S. Kringstad

4th Official

K. Rekdal

J. Moesgaard

0.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.56

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Aalesund

37.02%

Draw

27.36%

KFUM

35.62%

Movement

Changes since opening

Aalesund

+32.09%

Draw

-62.77%

KFUM

+30.69%

Team Power Ranking

9.26

12.29

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Aalesund

KFUM

Power Score

9.26

12.29

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score

KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aalesund KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy KFUM

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.79

40.96

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

40.96

31.79

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Aalesund -0.94 Efficiency Index

KFUM +0.94 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Aalesund

KFUM

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy KFUM

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Aalesund KFUM

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Aalesund KFUM

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Aalesund

KFUM

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Aalesund

KFUM

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Aalesund KFUM

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Aalesund KFUM

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Aalesund

KFUM

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

KFUM had peak pressure around 6'.
KFUM started the game with stronger pressure.

Aalesund Pressure KFUM Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: KFUM reached the top pressure at 6' (89.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aalesund Aalesund Home

0 matches

KFUM KFUM Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:07:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

1 K. Klaesson

14 U. Nwokoma

45 P. Aukland

5 A. Hammer Kjelsen

3 O. Gudmundsson

16 J. Ørsal

11 D. Jóhannsson

21 M. Christensen

18 E. Hagen

8 H. Molvær Melland

39 K. Lonnebu

25 H. Grøntvedt Jensen

16 J. Lange Hjorth

19 E. Franke Saunes

5 F. Berglie

2 D. Schneider

21 S. Sjøkvist

23 M. Wolff Eikrem

7 R. Rasch

8 S. Hestnes

9 M. Vinjor

17 T. Haltvik

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 03:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 4 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Color Line Stadion

Capacity :

10778

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Dag Roger Nebben

Edvard Helgerud

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Statistics

Possession

Aalesund

53%

KFUM

47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

2 Big Chances Created 1

14 Shots 17

57 Dangerous attacks 45

53 Possession 47

8 Corners 3

10 Free kicks 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

26 Throwins 16

10 Goal Kicks 3

2 Assists 1

5 Substitutions 5

21 Dribble Attempts 7

24 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

5 Successful Dribbles 2

1 Injuries 2

6 Goal Attempts 13

86 Ball Safe 83

0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

3 Counter Attacks 3

136 Attacks 97

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

9 Key Passes 12

78 Successful Passes Percentage 74

39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 25

508 Passes 452

398 Successful Passes 334

66 Long Passes 77

26 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

4 Interceptions 10

5 Saves 2

16 Tackles 22

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 18

3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

12 Fouls 10

4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Manager ▼

K. Rekdal Coach

Starting XI ▼

Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper

Ólafur Guðmundsson Defender

Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Defender

Uba Charles Defender

Kristoffer Nessø

Midfielder75'

J. Ørsahl Defender

Philip Sandvik Aukland Defender

I. Djantou

Attacker81'

Henrik Melland Midfielder

Hakon Butli Hammer

Midfielder90+5'

Davíð Snær Jóhannsson Midfielder

E. Myrlid

Attacker75'

Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder

Mathias Christensen Midfielder

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch

Midfielder76'

Kristian Lonebu Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Kristoffer Nessø

Midfielder75'

E. Myrlid

Attacker75'

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch

Midfielder76'

I. Djantou

Attacker81'

Hakon Butli Hammer

Midfielder90+5'

Bench ▼

Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen Goalkeeper

Marius Andresen Defender

Simen Haram Defender

E. Engqvist Defender

Referee : Mischa Huru Kellerhals