Aalesund vs Brann Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Color Line Stadion Wed, 20 May - 6:00 PM

Eliteserien

Aalesund Aalesund

Brann SKB

Full Time Wed, 20 May 6:00 PM

Round 8 Regular Season

Henrik Melland - 90+4'

Marcus Haagensen Reed - 26'

Noah Holm - 68'

CONTEXT

Aalesund defeated Brann by a final score of 2-1. The home side led 1-0 at halftime after an early goal. Brann held 58 percent possession while Aalesund managed 42 percent. Despite Brann being the stronger team on paper the result favored Aalesund. No red cards were shown to either side so both teams completed the match with eleven players. The deviation from expected patterns measured 4.8 percent and was classified as minimal with the deviation linked to Aalesund. The outcome remained consistent with available alignment metrics throughout the contest.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Final score: Aalesund 2-1 Brann. Aalesund showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because expected goals data was unavailable.
Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the result matched recorded indicators.
xG expectations: xG expectations remained unassessed due to the lack of expected goals figures.
Event impact: Event impact followed normal patterns without notable disruptions to the scoreline.
Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent because no red cards were issued during the match.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

J. Haugen

Norway 25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Langseth

1st Assistant

Norway

I. Tariq

2nd Assistant

Norway

T. Halsen

4th Official

Norway

K. Rekdal

F. Alexandersson

0.75

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 6 - 13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Aalesund

95.23%

Draw

4.58%

Brann

0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening

Aalesund

+1.86%

Draw

-1.83%

Brann

-0.02%

Team Power Ranking

45.78

68.61

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Aalesund

Brann

Power Score

45.78

68.61

League Position

Global Rank

897

242

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score

Brann — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aalesund Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

62.26

24.91

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.91

62.26

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Aalesund +3.79 Efficiency Index

Brann -3.79 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Aalesund

Brann

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Aalesund ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Aalesund Brann

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Aalesund Brann

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Aalesund

Brann

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Aalesund

Brann

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Aalesund Brann

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Aalesund Brann

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Aalesund

Brann

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SKB had peak pressure around 24'.
SKB started the game with stronger pressure.

Aalesund Pressure SKB Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 24' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aalesund Aalesund Home

26 matches

Brann SKB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-12

Goal Difference

+12

Data last updated: 2026-05-21T00:01:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2

Match Formation 4-3-3

1 K. Klaesson

2 M. Andersen

4 S. Haram

5 A. Hammer Kjelsen

3 O. Gudmundsson

14 U. Nwokoma

21 M. Christensen

18 E. Hagen

15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch

39 K. Lonnebu

27 M. Haagensen Reed

12 S. Nilsen

17 J. Soltvedt

20 V. Winger Dragsnes

23 T. Pedersen

2 M. Hellan

10 K. Ingason

25 N. Jensen Wassberg

16 K. Eriksen

7 J. Thorsteinsson

29 N. Holm

14 U. Mathisen

General Information

Date & Time :

May 20, 2026, 06:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Color Line Stadion

Capacity :

10778

Attendance :

5003

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Jørgen Haugen

Runar Langseth

Imran Tariq

Torgeir Halsen

Statistics

Possession

Aalesund

48%

SKB

52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 0

9 Shots 4

43 Dangerous attacks 69

42 Possession 58

4 Corners 7

15 Free kicks 17

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5

1 Hit Woodwork 1

17 Successful Dribbles 3

20 Throwins 25

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18

9 Goal Kicks 12

27 Dribble Attempts 17

0 Assists 1

63 Ball Safe 79

1 Injuries 0

11 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

116 Attacks 104

8 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

60 Long Passes 62

73 Successful Passes Percentage 78

328 Passes 459

26 Successful Long Passes 17

43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27

240 Successful Passes 356

16 Key Passes 10

Defensive

28 Tackles 17

20 Interceptions 19

75 Duels Won 58

3 Saves 3

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 30

3 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

17 Fouls 15

1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Jørgen Haugen

Manager ▼

K. Rekdal Coach

Starting XI ▼

Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper

Marius Andresen Defender

Kristoffer Nessø

Midfielder27'

Ólafur Guðmundsson Defender

Simen Haram Defender

Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Defender

Uba Charles Defender

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Midfielder

Davíð Snær Jóhannsson

Midfielder74'

Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder

Mathias Christensen Midfielder

Henrik Melland

Midfielder74'

Marcus Haagensen Reed Attacker

E. Myrlid

Attacker87'

Kristian Lonebu Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Kristoffer Nessø

Midfielder27'

Davíð Snær Jóhannsson

Midfielder74'

Henrik Melland

Midfielder74'

E. Myrlid

Attacker87'

Bench ▼

Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen Goalkeeper

J. Ørsahl Defender

E. Engqvist Defender

Hakon Butli Hammer Midfielder

I. Djantou Attacker

Referee : Jørgen Haugen