FC København vs Vejle Boldklub Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Parken Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Superliga
FC København COP
3 Winner 0
Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub
Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 7 Relegation Round
Mohamed Elyounoussi - 31'
Viktor Bjarki Dadason - 73'
Jordan Larsson - 85' (P)
Goal
|

FC København vs Vejle Boldklub preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

FC København delivered a dominant performance, defeating Vejle Boldklub 3-0 in a one-sided affair. The home team struck first before halftime, leading 1-0 at the break, and piled on two more goals in the second half to seal a comfortable victory. Controlling 58% of possession against Vejle's 42%, FC København dictated the tempo throughout, rarely threatened by their opponents. No red cards disrupted proceedings, and the stronger side prevailed as anticipated. The result showed a significant 23.8% structural deviation in favor of the winners, yet remained fully aligned with market expectations. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with norms, reflecting a straightforward execution of their game plan. Without key disruptions or adjustments, the match unfolded predictably for the superior outfit.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed a significant 23.8% structural deviation favoring FC København.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments altered game dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion in proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Skytte
V. Skytte
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
O. Kronlykke
O. Kronlykke
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
S. Funder
S. Funder
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
F. Svendsen
F. Svendsen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.42
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.15
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
VS
Vejle Boldklub C. Nørgaard
C. Nørgaard
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: W
Randers FC Rank: W
Silkeborg IF Rank: W
Fredericia Rank: L
Odense BK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: L
FC København Rank: L
Fredericia Rank: D
Randers FC Rank: D
Odense BK Rank: D
Silkeborg IF Rank: D
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC København
76.24%
Draw
15.23%
Away Vejle Boldklub
8.53%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC København
-21.6%
Draw
+13.31%
Vejle Boldklub
+8.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.36
12.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC København
Vejle Boldklub
Power Score
27.36
12.02
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Vejle Boldklub — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC København Vejle Boldklub

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vejle Boldklub

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vejle Boldklub
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.72
15.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.83
51.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC København +3.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Vejle Boldklub -3.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Vejle Boldklub
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC København ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vejle Boldklub
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC København Vejle Boldklub
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC København Vejle Boldklub
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC København
Vejle Boldklub
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC København
vs
Vejle Boldklub
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC København Vejle Boldklub
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC København 0.45
Vejle Boldklub 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC København Vejle Boldklub
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC København 0.00
Vejle Boldklub 0.05
FC København
Vejle Boldklub
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 38'.
  • COP started the game with stronger pressure.
COP Pressure Vejle Boldklub Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 38' (98.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC København COP Home
19 matches
Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub Away
Match Record
15
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
15
Goals
47
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
47
+33
Goal Difference
-33
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:03:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Kotarski
Croatia
1 D. Kotarski
J. Suzuki
Substitution
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
P. Hatzidiakos
Greece
6 P. Hatzidiakos
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
M. López Lanfranco
Peru
15 M. López Lanfranco
J. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
11 J. Larsson
M. Madsen
Substitution
Denmark
21 M. Madsen
W. Clem
Denmark
36 W. Clem
M. Achouri
Substitution
Tunisia
30 M. Achouri
M. Elyounoussi
Norway
10 M. Elyounoussi
A. Cornelius
Substitution
Denmark
14 A. Cornelius
T. Haahr Jakobsen
Denmark
24 T. Haahr Jakobsen
C. Sørensen
Denmark
3 C. Sørensen
V. Jensen
Denmark
5 V. Jensen
T. Gundelund
Denmark
2 T. Gundelund
L. Flø Borregaard
Denmark
23 L. Flø Borregaard
M. Vestergård
Denmark
6 M. Vestergård
M. Enggård
Substitution
Denmark
30 M. Enggård
T. Bach
Denmark
16 T. Bach
A. Hjulsager
Substitution
Denmark
17 A. Hjulsager
C. Gammelgaard
Substitution
Denmark
7 C. Gammelgaard
W. Faghir
Substitution
Denmark
19 W. Faghir

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Parken
Capacity
38065
Attendance
20651
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Victor Skytte
Ole Kronlykke
Svend Funder
Frederik Svendsen

Statistics

Possession
COP
58%
Vejle Boldklub
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 3
60 Dangerous attacks 33
58 Possession 42
10 Corners 4
5 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

17 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0
96 Ball Safe 108
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
12 Throwins 20
15 Dribble Attempts 8
4 Goal Kicks 15
6 Successful Dribbles 3
2 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 0

Attacking

86 Attacks 47
11 Counter Attacks 6
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 80
19 Successful Long Passes 19
422 Successful Passes 289
494 Passes 363
39 Long Passes 47
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
21 Key Passes 3

Defensive

34 Duels Won 47
14 Interceptions 7
0 Saves 1
14 Tackles 21

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 14
12 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.79
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Defender
6.84
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
7.06
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
6.99
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta
Defender78'
6.19
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
6.8
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
7.08
44
Geovanni Vianney
Geovanni Vianney
Attacker86'
6.91
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Midfielder
6.89
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney
Midfielder63'
6.7
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri Midfielder
6.83
7
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson
Midfielder78'
6.74
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
6.91
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Attacker
7.22
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius Attacker
6.71
39
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
Attacker63'
6.76
Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

24
Tobias Haahr
Tobias Haahr Goalkeeper
2
Thomas Gundelund
Thomas Gundelund Defender
6.6
3
Christian Sørensen
Christian Sørensen Defender
6.7
5
Valdemar Lund
Valdemar Lund Defender
6.48
23
Lasse Flø
Lasse Flø Defender
6.73
6
Mike Vestergård
Mike Vestergård Midfielder
6.68
7
Christian Gammelgaard
Christian Gammelgaard Midfielder
6.88
36
Max Jensen
Max Jensen
Midfielder60'
6.41
16
T. Bach
T. Bach Midfielder
6.76
17
Andrew Hjulsager
Andrew Hjulsager Midfielder
6.8
21
Giorgi Tabatadze
Giorgi Tabatadze
Defender60'
6.34
30
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård Midfielder
6.56
32
Bismark Edjeodji
Bismark Edjeodji
Midfielder77'
6.5
19
Wahid Faghir
Wahid Faghir Attacker
6.61
9
Jelle Duin
Jelle Duin
Attacker60'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Zanka
Off the ball foul / 2nd Yellowcard
88'
Event
Geovanni Vianney → Jordan Larsson
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Jordan Larsson
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
85'
Event
Wahid Faghir
Penalty awarded
83'
Event
Aurélio Buta → Junnosuke Suzuki
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Viktor Claesson → Elias Achouri
8th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Bismark Edjeodji → Mads Enggård
6th Substitution
Event
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
73'
Event
Thomas Delaney → M. Madsen
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Viktor Bjarki Dadason → Andreas Cornelius
4th Substitution
63'
60'
Event
Max Jensen → Christian Gammelgaard
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Jelle Duin → Wahid Faghir
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Giorgi Tabatadze → Andrew Hjulsager
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
31'
12'
Event
Mads Enggård
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

FC København's 3-0 triumph over Vejle Boldklub underscored their status as the stronger team, with possession dominance and clinical finishing securing three points. The significant structural deviation highlighted an emphatic execution beyond baseline projections, while market alignment confirmed the predictability of the result. Lacking xG data limits deeper chance analysis, but efficiency in line with norms suggests effective play without waste. Free from red card interruptions or tactical shifts, this win bolsters FC København's momentum, positioning them favorably in the standings.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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