Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Livyy Bereh Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0 – 0
Karpaty Karpaty
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 24 Regular Season

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Karpaty Lviv played out a cautious 0-0 draw in a match defined by defensive solidity and few clear chances. The game was level at halftime with no goals, reflecting the full-time stalemate. Home side Epitsentr Dunayivtsi managed 44% possession, while visitors Karpaty controlled 56% of the ball but failed to convert their edge into goals. Considered the stronger team, Karpaty pressed without breakthrough, as both defenses stood firm. No red cards were shown, and there were no notable second-half tactical adjustments. The result highlights a balanced encounter where neither side could impose dominance, ending in a fair share of points. This outcome showed moderate structural deviation primarily for Karpaty.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 9.7% structural deviation attributed to Karpaty.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No key events or adjustments influenced the match result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Kutsev
V. Kutsev
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
I. Stashuk
I. Stashuk
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
K. Zabroda
K. Zabroda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.75
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.82
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi S. Nahornyak
S. Nahornyak
VS
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: W
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oleksandria Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
SK Poltava Rank: W
Kudrivka Rank: D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4.85%
Draw
90.3%
Away Karpaty
4.85%

Movement

Changes since opening
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
-1.2%
Draw
+3.91%
Karpaty
-2.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.25
26.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
Power Score
22.25
26.59
League Position
11
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Karpaty

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Karpaty

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Karpaty
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
8.86
16.96
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.96
8.86
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -0.82 Efficiency Index
vs
Karpaty +0.82 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Karpaty
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Karpaty
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Karpaty
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
vs
Karpaty
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Karpaty
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.05
Karpaty 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Karpaty
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.00
Karpaty 0.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Karpaty had peak pressure around 13'.
  • Karpaty started the game with stronger pressure.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Pressure Karpaty Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Karpaty reached the top pressure at 13' (54.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Home
1 matches
Karpaty Karpaty Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:02:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Bilyk
Ukraine
31 O. Bilyk
I. Kyryukhantsev
Ukraine
70 I. Kyryukhantsev
V. Moroz
Ukraine
4 V. Moroz
N. Coch Montaña
Spain
77 N. Coch Montaña
O. Klymets
Ukraine
97 O. Klymets
J. Ceberio Amonarriz
Spain
39 J. Ceberio Amonarriz
M. Myronyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
8 M. Myronyuk
C. Rojas Mosquera
Spain
99 C. Rojas Mosquera
K. Kovalets
Substitution
Ukraine
6 K. Kovalets
J. Cifuentes Xalmet
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Cifuentes Xalmet
V. Sydun
Substitution
Ukraine
20 V. Sydun
N. Domchak
Ukraine
1 N. Domchak
R. Lyakh
Ukraine
73 R. Lyakh
V. Kholod
Ukraine
44 V. Kholod
V. Baboglo
Moldova
4 V. Baboglo
O. Sych
Substitution
Ukraine
77 O. Sych
M. Sapuga
Substitution
Ukraine
20 M. Sapuga
Y. Kostenko
Substitution
Ukraine
26 Y. Kostenko
A. Shakh
Substitution
Ukraine
33 A. Shakh
A. Chachua
Ukraine
8 A. Chachua
X. Alkain Mitxelena
Spain
70 X. Alkain Mitxelena
B. Faal
Substitution
Gambia
99 B. Faal

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Livyy Bereh
Capacity
40003
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valentin Kutsev
Igor Stashuk
Klym Zabroda

Statistics

Possession
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
45%
Karpaty
55%

Top Statistics

1 Shots 3
38 Dangerous attacks 50
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 5
7 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 5
4 Substitutions 6

Attacking

61 Attacks 80

Defensive

4 Saves 1

Discipline

11 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

31
Oleg Bilyk
Oleg Bilyk Goalkeeper
6.26
4
Vladyslav Moroz
Vladyslav Moroz Defender
6.25
70
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
Ihor Kyriukhantsev Defender
6.34
77
Nil Coch
Nil Coch Defender
6.41
97
Oleksandr Klymets
Oleksandr Klymets Defender
6.24
6
Kyrylo Kovalets
Kyrylo Kovalets Midfielder
4.83
5
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Midfielder70'
6.47
8
Mykola Myronyuk
Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder
6.51
28
Andriy Lipovuz
Andriy Lipovuz
Midfielder90+1'
6.47
9
Joaquinete
Joaquinete Midfielder
6.65
21
Vladyslav Supryaga
Vladyslav Supryaga
Attacker70'
6.68
20
Vadym Sydun
Vadym Sydun Midfielder
6.49
7
Andriy Matkevych
Andriy Matkevych
Attacker90+4'
6.49
39
Jon Ceberio
Jon Ceberio Midfielder
6.53
99
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas Midfielder
6.62
Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

1
Nazar Domchak
Nazar Domchak Goalkeeper
6.64
4
Vladyslav Baboglo
Vladyslav Baboglo Defender
6.53
44
Vitaliy Kholod
Vitaliy Kholod Defender
6.17
73
Rostyslav Lyakh
Rostyslav Lyakh Defender
6.22
77
Oleksiy Sych
Oleksiy Sych Defender
6.43
3
Volodymyr Adamyuk
Volodymyr Adamyuk
Defender76'
6.38
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
Ambrosiy Chachua Midfielder
6.46
20
Marko Sapuga
Marko Sapuga Midfielder
6.62
18
Eriki
Eriki
Midfielder63'
6.52
26
Yan Kostenko
Yan Kostenko Midfielder
6.55
7
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Midfielder87'
6.59
33
Artur Shakh
Artur Shakh Midfielder
6.45
15
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Midfielder63'
6.5
70
Xeber Alkain
Xeber Alkain Midfielder
6.79
99
Baboucarr Faal
Baboucarr Faal Attacker
6.56
19
Yaroslav Karabin
Yaroslav Karabin
Midfielder87'
6.47

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Andriy Matkevych → Vadym Sydun
9th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Andriy Lipovuz → Mykola Myronyuk
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Yevhen Zaporozhets
2nd Yellowcard
90'
87'
Event
Yaroslav Karabin → Baboucarr Faal
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Paulo Vitor → Yan Kostenko
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Volodymyr Adamyuk → Oleksiy Sych
5th Substitution
Event
Vladyslav Supryaga → Joaquinete
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Yevhen Zaporozhets → Kyrylo Kovalets
4th Substitution
70'
63'
Event
Eriki → Marko Sapuga
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Valentyn Rubchynskyi → Artur Shakh
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Rostyslav Lyakh
1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Karpaty underscores a tactical battle where defenses prevailed over attacks. Karpaty, despite higher possession and stronger billing, could not capitalize, aligning with a market that anticipated parity. Moderate deviation for Karpaty suggests slight underperformance relative to structure, but efficiency stayed on track. Without xG data, deeper chance analysis is limited, yet the clean sheet for both reflects disciplined play. This result provides each team a point, setting up intriguing prospects in their campaigns ahead.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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