Cultural Leonesa vs FC Andorra Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sun, 29 Mar - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
0 Winner 4
FC Andorra AND
Full Time Sun, 29 Mar 2:15 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Lautaro de León - 5'
Marc Doménech - 32'
Manu Nieto - 79'
Yeray Cabanzón - 83'

CONTEXT

The match between Cultural Leonesa and FC Andorra has finished, with the visiting side securing a resounding 4-0 full-time victory. FC Andorra established their dominance early, taking a comfortable 2-0 lead into the halftime break before doubling their advantage in the second half. This outcome defied the pre-match betting market, which favored Cultural Leonesa with a 41.2% win probability compared to FC Andorra's 29.9%. Consequently, the result represents a significant deviation from expectations. FC Andorra overcame a 70.1% deviation percentage to claim the victory, meaning the final outcome was not aligned with the initial market predictions. Despite the lopsided scoreline, Cultural Leonesa actually edged the possession battle with 52% of the ball, leaving FC Andorra with 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the result was consistent with the underlying chance quality. However, the overall efficiency shift was in line with general expectations based on the final output. Furthermore, the match was contested cleanly without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Andorra showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.09
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Leganés Rank: 66 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 60 D
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 65 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Córdoba Rank: 61 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 70 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
41.17%
Draw
28.95%
Away FC Andorra
29.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.72
55.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
Power Score
53.72
55.7
League Position
22
13
Global Rank
543
464

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa FC Andorra

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Andorra
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.56
26.04
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.04
23.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cultural Leonesa -0.25 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Andorra +0.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Andorra
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cultural Leonesa FC Andorra
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa FC Andorra
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
2 matches
FC Andorra AND Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
5
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-30T00:00:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
V. García Hernández
Substitution
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
Peru Rodriguez
Substitution
Spain
2 Peru Rodriguez
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
Spain
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
R. Hinojo Estrada
Spain
21 R. Hinojo Estrada
N. Radoja
Serbia
22 N. Radoja
I. Calero Ruiz
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
L. Ribeiro Costa
Substitution
Brazil
15 L. Ribeiro Costa
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
H. Ahmed
Substitution
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
D. Collado Raya
Substitution
Spain
7 D. Collado Raya
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
M. Vilà García
Substitution
Spain
20 M. Vilà García
D. Alende López
Spain
23 D. Alende López
G. Alonso Moreno
Spain
4 G. Alonso Moreno
T. Carrique
France
17 T. Carrique
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
T. Le Normand
France
24 T. Le Normand
A. García Lopéz
Substitution
Spain
16 A. García Lopéz
J. Cerdà Amengual
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
L. De León Billar
Substitution
Uruguay
11 L. De León Billar

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 29, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity
13346
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández
Gonzalo López De La Llave
S. Rebollo Merino
Ignacio de Santisteban Adame

Statistics

Possession
Cultural Leonesa
51%
AND
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
3 Big Chances Created 6
2 Shots 4
45 Dangerous attacks 30
52 Possession 48
1 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

12 Dribble Attempts 13
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
1 Penalties 0
2 Injuries 0
75 Ball Safe 75
5 Substitutions 5
7 Goal Kicks 6
4 Successful Dribbles 5
0 Assists 4
27 Throwins 17
1 Hit Woodwork 0
7 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 2
117 Attacks 85

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 82
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
355 Successful Passes 344
19 Successful Long Passes 23
6 Key Passes 10
437 Passes 418
47 Long Passes 63

Defensive

2 Interceptions 6
15 Tackles 10
3 Saves 6

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 9
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
2
Peru Rodríguez
Peru Rodríguez Defender
5
Quique Fornos
Quique Fornos
Defender46'
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo Defender
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino
Attacker66'
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Defender
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Midfielder
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno
Midfielder46'
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro Midfielder
9
Manu Justo
Manu Justo
Attacker76'
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja Midfielder
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado Attacker
14
Bicho
Bicho
Midfielder57'
Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso Defender
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique Defender
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà Defender
19
Imanol García de Albéniz
Imanol García de Albéniz
Defender72'
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende Defender
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman
Midfielder84'
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
24
Théo Le Normand
Théo Le Normand Midfielder
11
Lautaro de León
Lautaro de León Attacker
3
Yeray Cabanzón
Yeray Cabanzón
Attacker72'
16
Jastin Garcia
Jastin Garcia Attacker
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker60'
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
2
Álex Petxarroman
Álex Petxarroman
Defender84'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Matia Barzic
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
7th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Iván Calero
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
84'
Event
Efe Akman → Dani Villahermosa
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Álex Petxarroman → Josep Cerdà
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Yeray Cabanzón
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
Event
Manu Nieto
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Manu Justo → Lucas Ribeiro
8th Substitution
76'
72'
Event
Imanol García de Albéniz → Martí Vilà
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Yeray Cabanzón → Lautaro de León
7th Substitution
Event
Rubén Sobrino → Víctor García
5th Substitution
66'
60'
Event
Manu Nieto → Jastin Garcia
4th Substitution
Event
Bicho → Diego Collado
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Quique Fornos → Peru Rodríguez
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Víctor Moreno → Homam Al-Amin
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Martí Vilà
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45'
Event
6th Yellowcard
45'
37'
Event
Diego Alende
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
GoalkeeperSave
35'
32'
Event
Marc Doménech
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
5'
Event
Lautaro de León
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Andorra exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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