Cremonese vs Torino Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giovanni Zini Sun, 19 Apr - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Cremonese USC
0 0
Torino TOR
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 10:30 AM
Round 33 Regular Season

Cremonese vs Torino preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

CONTEXT

In a gritty Serie A encounter at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremonese and Torino played out a tense 0-0 draw, extending their winless streaks in a match defined by defensive solidity over attacking flair. Cremonese dominated possession with 65% to Torino's 35%, peppering the away goal with efforts but lacking the cutting edge to break through. Torino, entering as the stronger team on paper, absorbed pressure masterfully, frustrating the hosts in both halves—the scoreline even at halftime with no goals conceded or scored. No red cards marred proceedings, ensuring a fair tactical duel without chaotic interruptions. The result marks a moderate 8.5% structural deviation favoring Torino, aligning with market expectations and maintaining efficiency in line with norms. Absent xG data, underlying chance creation remains opaque, yet Cremonese's control failed to yield rewards, underscoring Torino's pragmatic resilience in securing a valuable point on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.5% structural deviation favoring Torino.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without metrics provided.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Fabbri
M. Fabbri
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.72
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.03
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
G. Peretti
G. Peretti
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.72
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.03
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
M. Trinchieri
M. Trinchieri
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.72
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.03
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
A. Arena
A. Arena
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.72
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.03
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Cremonese M. Giampaolo
M. Giampaolo
VS
Torino R. D'Aversa
R. D'Aversa
0.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cagliari Rank: L
Bologna Rank: L
Parma Rank: W
Fiorentina Rank: L
Lecce Rank: L
AC Milan Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Pisa Rank: W
AC Milan Rank: L
Parma Rank: W
Napoli Rank: L
Lazio Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cremonese
4.44%
Draw
91.5%
Away Torino
4.06%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cremonese
-1.06%
Draw
+3.24%
Torino
-2.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.42
22.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cremonese
Torino
Power Score
14.42
22.69
League Position
17
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cremonese Opponent-weighted form score
Torino Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cremonese Torino

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Cremonese

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Torino

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cremonese ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Torino
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.85
14.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.57
24.85
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cremonese +1.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Torino -1.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cremonese
Torino
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cremonese ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Torino
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cremonese Torino
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cremonese Torino
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cremonese
Torino
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Cremonese
vs
Torino
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cremonese Torino
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cremonese Torino
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Cremonese
Torino
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USC had peak pressure around 56'.
  • USC started the game with stronger pressure.
USC Pressure TOR Pressure
Pressure Index: USC reached the top pressure at 56' (72.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cremonese USC Home
6 matches
Torino TOR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
3
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:01:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
E. Audero Mulyadi
Italy
1 E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Terracciano
Italy
24 F. Terracciano
F. Baschirotto
Italy
6 F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
Substitution
Italy
5 S. Luperto
G. Pezzella
Italy
3 G. Pezzella
R. Floriani
Substitution
Italy
22 R. Floriani
W. Bondo
France
38 W. Bondo
A. Grassi
Substitution
Italy
33 A. Grassi
J. Vandeputte
Substitution
Belgium
27 J. Vandeputte
F. Bonazzoli
Italy
90 F. Bonazzoli
A. Sanabria Ayala
Substitution
Paraguay
99 A. Sanabria Ayala
A. Paleari
Italy
1 A. Paleari
E. Ebosse
Cameroon
77 E. Ebosse
G. Maripán Loaysa
Substitution
Chile
13 G. Maripán Loaysa
S. Coco-Bassey Oubiña
Equatorial Guinea
23 S. Coco-Bassey Oubiña
Rafael Burguera
Substitution
Spain
33 Rafael Burguera
G. Gineitis
Lithuania
66 G. Gineitis
C. Casadei
Italy
22 C. Casadei
M. Pedersen
Norway
16 M. Pedersen
N. Vlašić
Substitution
Croatia
10 N. Vlašić
C. Adams
Scotland
19 C. Adams
G. Simeone
Substitution
Argentina
18 G. Simeone

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Capacity
16003
Attendance
12842
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Fabbri
Giorgio Peretti
Marco Trinchieri
Alberto Arena

Statistics

Possession
USC
62%
TOR
38%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 2
43 Dangerous attacks 22
65 Possession 35
6 Corners 1
12 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 1
11 Successful Headers 13
26 Throwins 22
6 Dribble Attempts 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 14
3 Goal Kicks 8
9 Goal Attempts 3
89 Ball Safe 82
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

109 Attacks 55
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 76
415 Successful Passes 212
493 Passes 278
59 Long Passes 51
25 Successful Long Passes 16
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
10 Key Passes 2

Defensive

12 Tackles 8
37 Duels Won 33
1 Saves 4
7 Interceptions 6

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 7
4 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI

1
Emil Audero
Emil Audero Goalkeeper
7.03
3
Giuseppe Pezzella
Giuseppe Pezzella Defender
6.68
5
Sebastiano Luperto
Sebastiano Luperto Defender
6.84
4
Tommaso Barbieri
Tommaso Barbieri
Defender84'
6.64
6
Federico Baschirotto
Federico Baschirotto Defender
6.81
24
Filippo Terracciano
Filippo Terracciano Defender
6.83
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Romano Floriani Mussolini Midfielder
6.56
7
Alessio Zerbin
Alessio Zerbin
Attacker60'
6.55
27
Jari Vandeputte
Jari Vandeputte Midfielder
6.88
77
David Okereke
David Okereke
Attacker60'
6.65
33
Alberto Grassi
Alberto Grassi Midfielder
6.63
32
Martín Payero
Martín Payero
Midfielder73'
6.6
38
Warren Bondo
Warren Bondo Midfielder
6.56
90
Federico Bonazzoli
Federico Bonazzoli Attacker
6.98
99
Antonio Sanabria
Antonio Sanabria Attacker
6.58
9
Milan Djuric
Milan Djuric
Attacker84'
6.57
Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI

1
Alberto Paleari
Alberto Paleari Goalkeeper
6.86
13
Guillermo Maripán
Guillermo Maripán Defender
6.88
35
Luca Marianucci
Luca Marianucci
Defender68'
6.94
23
Saúl Coco
Saúl Coco Defender
6.9
77
Enzo Ebosse
Enzo Ebosse Defender
6.15
16
Marcus Pedersen
Marcus Pedersen Midfielder
6.47
22
Cesare Casadei
Cesare Casadei Midfielder
6.77
33
Rafa Obrador
Rafa Obrador Midfielder
6.61
34
Cristiano Biraghi
Cristiano Biraghi
Defender76'
6.45
66
Gvidas Gineitis
Gvidas Gineitis Midfielder
6.76
10
Nikola Vlašić
Nikola Vlašić Attacker
7
14
Tino Anjorin
Tino Anjorin
Midfielder76'
6.53
18
Giovanni Simeone
Giovanni Simeone Attacker
6.89
92
Alieu Njie
Alieu Njie
Attacker68'
6.47
19
Ché Adams
Ché Adams Attacker
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Sandro Kulenovic Alieu Njie
10th Substitution
Event
Milan Djuric Antonio Sanabria
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Tommaso Barbieri Sebastiano Luperto
8th Substitution
84'
80'
Event
Enzo Ebosse
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
80'
Event
Alieu Njie
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Saúl Coco
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
76'
Event
Tino Anjorin Nikola Vlašić
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Cristiano Biraghi Rafa Obrador
7th Substitution
Event
Martín Payero Alberto Grassi
5th Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Alieu Njie Giovanni Simeone
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Luca Marianucci Guillermo Maripán
3rd Substitution
Event
Federico Baschirotto
Goal disallowed
64'
Event
David Okereke Jari Vandeputte
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Alessio Zerbin Romano Floriani Mussolini
2nd Substitution
60'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
David Okereke of Cremonese attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Alberto Paleari of Torino. The assist came from Martín Payero.
90
Update Update
Handball by Cristiano Biraghi for Torino.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Torino: Sandro Kulenovic replaces Alieu Njie due to injury.
90
Corner Corner
Torino wins a corner after Emil Audero concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box after a corner.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Torino after a concession by Emil Audero.
90
Attempt Attempt
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box to the left. Alessio Zerbin provided the assist.
90
Corner Corner
Sandro Kulenovic of Torino attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Emil Audero of Cremonese saves it in the right corner. The assist was provided by Tino Anjorin.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the score at Cremonese 0, Torino 0.
90
Corner Corner
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino missed a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
88
Update Update
Cremonese is called offside. Warren Bondo is the player in an offside position.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Alessio Zerbin of Cremonese.
86
Update Update
Enzo Ebosse from Torino won a free kick on the left wing.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Tommaso Barbieri replaces Sebastiano Luperto.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Tommaso Barbieri replaces Sebastiano Luperto.
84
Corner Corner
Milan Djuric of Cremonese attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Alberto Paleari of Torino. The assist came from Federico Bonazzoli, who delivered the cross.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alieu Njie of Torino receives a yellow card for a foul.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Alieu Njie of Torino.
80
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese won a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Enzo Ebosse of Torino receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Saúl Coco of Torino receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Update Update
Antonio Sanabria from Cremonese won a free kick on the right wing.
78
Update Update
Saúl Coco fouled a Torino player.
77
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Marcus Pedersen from Torino shot with his left foot from the right side of the box.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Torino: Cristiano Biraghi replaces Rafa Obrador.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Torino: Tino Anjorin replaces Nikola Vlasic.
76
Update Update
Alberto Paleari from Torino won a free kick in defense.
76
Update Update
Alberto Paleari from Torino won a free kick in defense.
75
Update Update
Luca Marianucci from Torino committed a foul.
75
Update Update
David Okereke of Cremonese won a free kick in the defensive area.
74
Corner Corner
Cremonese win a corner after Marcus Pedersen concedes.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Martín Payero replaces Alberto Grassi.
71
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Gvidas Gineitis of Torino.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Torino: Luca Marianucci replaces Guillermo Maripán.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Torino: Alieu Njie replaces Giovanni Simeone.
67
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes high and wide to the right. The assist came from David Okereke's cross.
64
Update Update
VAR decision: No goal. The match remains 0-0 between Cremonese and Torino.
61
Corner Corner
Goal! Cremonese leads 1-0 after Federico Baschirotto scores with a right-footed shot from close range following a corner.
61
Update Update
Alberto Grassi's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Alessio Zerbin's cross.
61
Update Update
VAR is checking a goal by Federico Baschirotto for Cremonese.
61
Update Update
Goal ruled out by VAR! Federico Baschirotto scores for Cremonese, but the goal is disallowed after a VAR review.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: David Okereke replaces Jari Vandeputte.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Alessio Zerbin replaces Romano Floriani Mussolini.
60
Corner Corner
Cremonese win a corner after Enzo Ebosse concedes.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Romano Floriani Mussolini of Cremonese.
59
Update Update
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino won a free kick in the attacking half.
58
Update Update
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino won a free kick in an attacking position.
57
Corner Corner
Cremonese wins a corner after a concession by Alberto Paleari.
56
Update Update
Warren Bondo from Cremonese commits a foul.
56
Update Update
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino won a free kick on the left wing.
54
Update Update
Warren Bondo from Cremonese won a free kick in an attacking position.
54
Update Update
Nikola Vlasic from Torino committed a foul.
52
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese shoots with his left foot from the left side of the box, but the ball goes high after the corner.
51
Corner Corner
Cremonese win a corner after Enzo Ebosse concedes.
51
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese shoots with his left foot from the left side of the box, but the ball goes high after a corner.
49
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese shot with his left foot from the right side of the box.
46
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese won a free kick in the defensive area.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Gvidas Gineitis of Torino.
45
Corner Corner
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Alberto Paleari from Torino. The assist comes from Jari Vandeputte.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Cremonese and Torino tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Cremonese and Torino.
44
Attempt Attempt
Federico Bonazzoli's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Alberto Grassi.
44
Update Update
Filippo Terracciano of Cremonese won a free kick in the attacking area.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Ché Adams - Torino.
42
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese took a left-footed shot from outside the box.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese.
41
Update Update
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino won a free kick in defense.
36
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese won a free kick on the left wing.
35
Update Update
Marcus Pedersen from Torino won a free kick in defense.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Giuseppe Pezzella of Cremonese.
29
Update Update
Antonio Sanabria of Cremonese won a free kick in an attacking position.
28
Corner Corner
Cremonese wins a corner after Guillermo Maripán concedes.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Cesare Casadei for Torino.
26
Update Update
Alberto Grassi of Cremonese won a free kick on the left wing.
26
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella of Cremonese won a free kick in defense.
23
Update Update
Handball by Romano Floriani Mussolini of Cremonese.
18
Update Update
Ché Adams of Torino is flagged for offside.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino has a shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
13
Update Update
Warren Bondo of Cremonese committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Gvidas Gineitis from Torino won a free kick in the attacking area.
12
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese won a free kick in defense.
12
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese won a free kick in defense.
11
Update Update
Enzo Ebosse fouled a Torino player.
10
Corner Corner
Cremonese win a corner after Guillermo Maripán concedes.
3
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto of Cremonese won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

This stalemate underscores Torino's tactical discipline against a possession-heavy Cremonese, who despite 65% ball control could not convert dominance into goals, highlighting wastefulness upfront. Torino's away point feels like a triumph for the stronger side, neutralizing threats effectively in a clean-sheet masterclass. The moderate deviation towards Torino reflects their strategic edge, with full market alignment validating pre-game assessments. Without xG insights, the draw's fairness hinges on observable control versus resilience, pointing to Cremonese's need for sharper finishing. Both teams depart with momentum tempered, Torino building quietly while Cremonese ponders missed opportunities in a balanced, uneventful affair.

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