Brøndby IF vs Nordsjælland Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Brøndby Stadion Today - 5:00 PM
Superliga
Brøndby IF BIF
1 – 1
Nordsjælland FCN
Full Time Today 5:00 PM
Round 8 Championship Round
Marko Divkovic - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Prince Amoako Junior - 60'
|
Red Card Alexander Lind 40'

Brøndby IF vs Nordsjælland preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Brøndby IF and Nordsjælland delivered a dramatic 1-1 draw in the Danish Superliga, with the first half ending 0-0 despite Brøndby's 54% possession dominance. The hosts pressed but lacked finishing edge early on. The second half ignited when Nordsjælland received a red card, reducing them to 10 players and shifting momentum. Brøndby capitalized to take the lead, yet Nordsjælland's resilience shone through with a late equalizer, salvaging a point. Considered the stronger team pre-match, Nordsjælland defied expectations in a result marked by significant structural deviation of 76.1%. Home advantage and numerical superiority did not yield a win for Brøndby, highlighting defensive solidity from the visitors. Possession stats underscored Brøndby's control, but efficiency decided the stalemate.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited 76.1% structural deviation, significant for Nordsjælland.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: Red card to Nordsjælland altered second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion identified as key second-half adjustment.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Maae
J. Maae
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
S. Aagerup
S. Aagerup
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
VS
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 59 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 78 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 L
AGF Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
AGF Rank: 70 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
AGF Rank: 70 D
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 61 W
39
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
39 - 15 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brøndby IF
42.86%
Draw
23.87%
Away Nordsjælland
33.26%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brøndby IF
+32.43%
Draw
-58.48%
Nordsjælland
+26.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.09
66.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brøndby IF
Nordsjælland
Power Score
65.09
66.49
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
324
281

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brøndby IF Nordsjælland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nordsjælland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brøndby IF Nordsjælland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brøndby IF Nordsjælland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brøndby IF
Nordsjælland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brøndby IF
vs
Nordsjælland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brøndby IF Nordsjælland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brøndby IF 0.00
Nordsjælland 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brøndby IF Nordsjælland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brøndby IF 0.00
Nordsjælland 0.00
Brøndby IF
Nordsjælland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIF had peak pressure around 94'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
BIF Pressure FCN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 94' (75.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brøndby IF BIF Home
70 matches
Nordsjælland FCN Away
Match Record
39
Wins
16
15
Draws
15
16
Losses
39
Goals
132
Goals Scored
81
81
Goals Conceded
132
+51
Goal Difference
-51
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T17:01:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
J. Vanlerberghe
Substitution
Belgium
30 J. Vanlerberghe
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
R. Canut Pedersen
37 R. Canut Pedersen
S. Fukuda
Substitution
Japan
19 S. Fukuda
B. Slisz
Poland
99 B. Slisz
D. Wass
Substitution
Denmark
10 D. Wass
M. Divković
Croatia
24 M. Divković
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
J. Brøchner Ambæk
Substitution
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
N. Vallys
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
A. Hansen
Denmark
13 A. Hansen
C. Yirenkyi
36 C. Yirenkyi
T. Salquist
Denmark
3 T. Salquist
P. Ankersen
Denmark
2 P. Ankersen
R. Norheim
Substitution
Norway
23 R. Norheim
M. Brink Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Brink Christensen
J. Meltofte Janssen
18 J. Meltofte Janssen
J. Lähteenmäki
Substitution
Finland
25 J. Lähteenmäki
P. Amoako Junior
Substitution
10 P. Amoako Junior
I. Adel
Substitution
Egypt
14 I. Adel
A. Rasmussen
Denmark
11 A. Rasmussen

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium
Brøndby Stadion
Capacity
29000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jens Maae
Deniz Yurdakul
Sebastian Friis Aagerup
Deniz Yurdakul

Statistics

Possession
BIF
53%
FCN
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
15 Shots 10
72 Dangerous attacks 51
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

28 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
14 Throwins 12
8 Goal Kicks 14
18 Dribble Attempts 29
5 Successful Dribbles 15
13 Ball Safe 17
2 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

102 Attacks 70
4 Counter Attacks 4
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

21 Successful Long Passes 23
464 Passes 410
33 Long Passes 55
12 Key Passes 5
404 Successful Passes 334
87 Successful Passes Percentage 81
64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

23 Tackles 16
50 Duels Won 63
17 Interceptions 14
3 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 0
27 Total Crosses 1

Discipline

22 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.11
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
7
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
6.75
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen
Defender46'
6.83
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen Defender
6.76
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Midfielder
6.87
23
Mayckel Lahdo
Mayckel Lahdo
Attacker61'
6.57
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda Midfielder
6.9
17
Emmanuel Dennis
Emmanuel Dennis
Attacker66'
6.76
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic Midfielder
6.92
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
7.08
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Attacker
7.12
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Attacker
6.78
36
Viggo Poulsen
Viggo Poulsen
Midfielder82'
6.56
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
6.87
22
Ousmane Sow
Ousmane Sow
Midfielder82'
6.47
Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.1
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.04
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Defender
6.77
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
7.09
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
6.73
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder87'
6.62
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
6.98
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
6.68
45
Noah Markmann
Noah Markmann
Defender73'
6.72
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.78
32
Victor Gustafsen
Victor Gustafsen
Defender87'
6.5
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.86
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene
Attacker73'
6.82
11
Alexander Lind
Alexander Lind Attacker
6.92
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.68
37
Mamadou Sadio
Mamadou Sadio
Attacker65'
6.91

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Emmanuel Dennis
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Marko Divkovic
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
89'
87'
Event
Victor Gustafsen → Juho Lähteenmäki
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Malte Heyde → Mark Brink
10th Substitution
Event
Ousmane Sow → Jacob Ambaek
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Viggo Poulsen → Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Luis Binks
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
73'
Event
Noah Markmann → Runar Norheim
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Levy Nene → Prince Amoako Junior
6th Substitution
Event
Emmanuel Dennis → Sho Fukuda
4th Substitution
66'
65'
Event
Mamadou Sadio → Ibrahim Adel
3rd Substitution
Event
Mayckel Lahdo → Daniel Wass
2nd Substitution
61'
60'
Event
Prince Amoako Junior
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Oliver Villadsen → Jordi Vanlerberghe
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Alexander Lind
Foul / 1st Redcard
39'
Event
Alexander Lind
Card adjusted
Event
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
29'
Event
Prince Amoako Junior
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION

This 1-1 draw underscores Nordsjælland's grit, earning a point despite a red card and pre-match stronger status. Brøndby's possession edge failed to convert into victory, exposing finishing woes. The significant deviation highlights how the red card distorted proceedings, preventing a clearer outcome. For Brøndby, it's a missed chance at home; for Nordsjælland, a testament to character. Both sides gain momentum points, but the stalemate reflects balanced quality amid disruption.

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