Bologna vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Roma
ROM
Bologna vs Roma preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Bologna faced Roma at home in a Serie A encounter that concluded 0-2 in Roma's favor. Despite Bologna holding 60% possession, Roma struck twice in the first half to establish a 0-2 halftime lead, which they defended resolutely. No goals came after the break, with no red cards or major tactical shifts noted. Roma, pre-identified as the stronger side, showcased superior efficiency in converting limited opportunities, while Bologna's dominance in ball control yielded no tangible threat. The result reflected minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, aligning closely with pre-match evaluations. Efficiency remained consistent throughout, underscoring Roma's pragmatic approach against Bologna's possession-heavy style. This outcome highlights Roma's resilience away from home.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Match showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% in Roma's favor.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
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xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as fully achieved.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded metrics.
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Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced proceedings.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the final scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bologna
Roma
Team Power Ranking
i
22.22
24.1
Bologna
Roma
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Bologna
Roma
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bologna
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bologna
⚠ Proxy
Bologna
Roma
Bologna
Roma
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Bologna
Bologna
Roma
Bologna
Roma
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOL had peak pressure around 96'.
- ROM started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:13+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Bologna
vs
Cagliari
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 10:30 AM
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Roma
vs
Fiorentina
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 6:45 PM
Venue: Stadio Olimpico
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Manager ▼
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Events
CONCLUSION
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Match Commentary