Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Sun, 3 May - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Bologna BOL
Versus
Cagliari CAG
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 10:30 AM
Round 35 Regular Season

Bologna vs Cagliari preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Bologna host Cagliari in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Domestically, Bologna sit 9th in the table while Cagliari are 16th. Power ranking favours Bologna by 7.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bologna possesses a 7.4-point power advantage with a score of 77.67 versus Cagliari's 70.3.
  • Form: Bologna shows stronger recent form at 16.78 against Cagliari's 13.39.
  • Squad: Bologna occupies 9th place in Serie A while Cagliari sits 16th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent from current fixture analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable owing to missing xG information.
  • xVariable: xG variables not accessible for Bologna or Cagliari here.
  • Market: Bologna 52.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Cagliari 19.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 83 L
Juventus Rank: 85 L
Lecce Rank: 68 W
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 81 L
Sassuolo Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Inter Rank: 90 L
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Sassuolo Rank: 75 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
Pisa Rank: 63 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 7 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
52.94%
Draw
27.32%
Away Cagliari
19.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.67
70.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Cagliari
Power Score
77.67
70.3
League Position
9
16
Global Rank
75
189

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Cagliari

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
31 matches
Cagliari CAG Away
Match Record
14
Wins
10
7
Draws
7
10
Losses
14
Goals
41
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
41
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:55:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
F. Ravaglia
Italy
13 F. Ravaglia
C. Lykogiannis
Greece
22 C. Lykogiannis
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
T. Heggem
Norway
14 T. Heggem
L. De Silvestri
Italy
29 L. De Silvestri
L. Ferguson
Scotland
19 L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
J. Miranda González
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
R. Orsolini
Italy
7 R. Orsolini
S. Castro
Argentina
9 S. Castro
J. Rowe
England
11 J. Rowe
E. Caprile
Italy
1 E. Caprile
A. Obert
Slovakia
33 A. Obert
A. Dossena
Italy
22 A. Dossena
Y. Mina González
Colombia
26 Y. Mina González
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
Portugal
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
G. Gaetano
Italy
10 G. Gaetano
M. Adopo
France
8 M. Adopo
M. Folorunsho
Italy
90 M. Folorunsho
A. Deiola
Italy
14 A. Deiola
S. Esposito
Italy
94 S. Esposito
S. Kılıçsoy
Türkiye
9 S. Kılıçsoy

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity
36532
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Domenico Fontemurato
Simone Biffi
Simone Galipò

Lineup

Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

13
Federico Ravaglia
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper
6.79
14
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.7
22
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender
6.81
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.83
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
6.8
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder
6.73
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
Lorenzo De Silvestri Midfielder
6.59
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Midfielder
7.09
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
6.97
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
6.88
11
Jonathan Rowe
Jonathan Rowe Attacker
6.8
Referee : Valerio Crezzini

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.91
22
Alberto Dossena
Alberto Dossena Defender
6.81
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Defender
6.89
32
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.6
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
6.83
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.68
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
6.82
14
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola Midfielder
6.73
9
Semih Kılıçsoy
Semih Kılıçsoy Attacker
6.66
90
Michael Folorunsho
Michael Folorunsho Attacker
6.57
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
7.18

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Bologna holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Bologna a 7.4-point edge. External projection is Bologna 52.9%, draw 27.3%, and Cagliari 19.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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