Albacete vs Las Palmas Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Carlos Belmonte Mon, 16 Mar - 7:30 PM

La Liga 2

Albacete ALB

Las Palmas LPA

Full Time Mon, 16 Mar 7:30 PM

Jefté Betancor - 90+5' (P)

Samuel Obeng Gyabaa - 90+11'

Taisei Miyashiro - 6'

CONTEXT

The match between Albacete and Las Palmas has finished, with Albacete securing a 2-1 victory. Las Palmas initially took control of the scoreboard, leading 1-0 at half-time, but the hosts mounted a successful second-half comeback to claim the win. Before kick-off, the betting markets slightly favored the visitors, giving Las Palmas a 36.9% chance of winning compared to Albacete's 32.8% probability, with a draw set at 30.3%. Consequently, the final result was not aligned with the pre-match market. The home victory represented a significant deviation of 67.2% in favor of Albacete, who ultimately proved to be the stronger team on the day. Las Palmas dictated much of the tempo, holding 58% possession compared to Albacete's 42%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined whether the outcome was consistent with xG. However, the overall efficiency shift for the match was in line with expectations. Finally, the fixture progressed without any major disciplinary disruptions or match-altering dismissals, as zero red cards were issued to either side.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Albacete showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

M. Pérez Hernández

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0.52

League Avg 15.79

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0.12

League Avg 3.66

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0.17

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0.24

A. González Fernández

L. García Fernández

1.55

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 4 - 10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Albacete

32.83%

Draw

30.28%

Las Palmas

36.89%

Team Power Ranking

64.29

61.63

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Albacete

Las Palmas

Power Score

64.29

61.63

League Position

Global Rank

324

211

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score

Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Las Palmas

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Las Palmas

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

50.00

18.02

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

18.02

50.00

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Albacete +3.23 Efficiency Index

Las Palmas -3.23 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Albacete

Las Palmas

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Las Palmas

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Albacete Las Palmas

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Albacete Las Palmas

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Albacete

Las Palmas

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home

21 matches

Las Palmas LPA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-03-17T12:54:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

13 (C) R. Lizoáin Cruz

2 L. Aguado Herrera

24 J. Vallejo Lázaro

23 J. Sánchez Martínez

21 C. Neva Tey

3 J. Gomez

7 J. Rodríguez Díaz

8 M. Fernández Figueira

6 A. Pacheco Ruiz

11 V. Valverde da Silva

19 A. Rubio Roldan

1 D. Horkaš

5 E. Clemente Maza

3 M. Marmol Medina

6 S. Barcia Laranxeira

17 V. Álvarez Rozada

22 P. García Mejías

20 (C) K. Rodríguez Concepción

12 E. Loiodice

14 M. Fuster Lázaro

18 T. Miyashiro

10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time

Mar 16, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Stadium

Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Capacity

17524

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

S. Rebollo Merino

Gonzalo López De La Llave

Francisco Javier Expósito Jaramillo

Statistics

Possession

ALB

45%

LPA

55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1

2 Big Chances Created 3

8 Shots 3

40 Dangerous attacks 29

42 Possession 58

4 Corners 2

8 Free kicks 17

3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

22 Throwins 22

5 Goal Kicks 11

0 Assists 1

6 Successful Dribbles 5

46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

13 Dribble Attempts 11

5 Substitutions 5

74 Ball Safe 100

1 Injuries 1

13 Goal Attempts 7

1 Penalties 0

Attacking

104 Attacks 110

1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

50 Long Passes 47

424 Passes 606

334 Successful Passes 508

46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26

79 Successful Passes Percentage 84

23 Successful Long Passes 12

10 Key Passes 8

Defensive

15 Interceptions 6

13 Tackles 12

3 Saves 3

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 5

5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

17 Fouls 7

3 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Manager ▼

A. González Fernández Coach

Starting XI ▼

Raúl Lizoain (C) Goalkeeper

6.78

Lorenzo Aguado Defender

6.33

Fran Gámez

Defender76'

6.94

Jonathan Gómez Defender

7.2

Carlos Neva Defender

6.53

Pepe Sánchez Defender

6.78

Jesús Vallejo Defender

6.41

Antonio Pacheco Midfielder

7.64

Antonio Puertas Midfielder

6.84

Martín Fernández Midfielder

6.54

Jefté Betancor

Attacker83'

7.15

Victor Valverde Midfielder

6.23

José Carlos Lazo

Attacker46'

6.87

Alex Rubio Attacker

6.71

Samuel Obeng Gyabaa

Attacker76'

7.16

Substitutes ▼

Mario Ramos Fernández Goalkeeper

Javi Moreno Defender

6.49

Lluís López Defender

Daniel Bernabéu Garcia Defender

Ale Meléndez Midfielder

Javi Villar Midfielder

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández