AGF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Vejlby Stadion Sun, 3 May - 4:00 PM
Superliga
AGF AGF
Versus
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 4:00 PM
Round 8 Championship Round

AGF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

AGF host Sønderjyske Fodbold in Superliga (Championship Round) at Vejlby Stadion. Domestically, AGF sit 2th in the table while Sønderjyske Fodbold are 6th. Power ranking favours AGF by 9.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AGF ranks 2nd in the league, six places above Sønderjyske at 6th, with a 9.1-point power advantage.
  • Form: AGF's form score of 20.06 significantly outpaces Sønderjyske's 11.72.
  • Squad: AGF's squad power score of 70.48 exceeds Sønderjyske's 61.36, indicating greater overall quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable; AGF's power edge implies superior transition play.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: AGF 63.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21% (Δ+0%) | Sønderjyske Fodbold 15.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
VS
Sønderjyske Fodbold T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 D
FC Midtjylland Rank: 78 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 64 L
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 L
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 13 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AGF
63.87%
Draw
21.03%
Away Sønderjyske Fodbold
15.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.48
61.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AGF
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Power Score
70.48
61.36
League Position
2
6
Global Rank
186
432

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AGF — Opponent-weighted form score
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AGF Sønderjyske Fodbold

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 44 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AGF AGF Home
44 matches
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Away
Match Record
19
Wins
12
13
Draws
13
12
Losses
19
Goals
66
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
66
+15
Goal Difference
-15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:57:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Hansen
1 J. Hansen
F. Beijmo
2 F. Beijmo
H. Dalsgaard
3 H. Dalsgaard
E. Kahl
19 E. Kahl
G. Links
11 G. Links
M. Knudsen
4 M. Knudsen
K. Yakob
17 K. Yakob
J. Andersen
26 J. Andersen
T. Kristensen
31 T. Kristensen
K. Malt Arnstad
10 K. Malt Arnstad
P. Mortensen
9 P. Mortensen
N. Flø
1 N. Flø
C. Duru
23 C. Duru
S. Sylvest Wæver
3 S. Sylvest Wæver
M. Soulas
12 M. Soulas
A. Oggesen
22 A. Oggesen
T. Sommer
26 T. Sommer
R. Vinderslev
6 R. Vinderslev
O. Hyseni
24 O. Hyseni
S. Haidara
31 S. Haidara
S. Emini
7 S. Emini
M. Hoppe
9 M. Hoppe

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
Capacity
11500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Victor Skytte
Ole Kronlykke
Jacob Karlsen
Frederik Svendsen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Jesper Hansen
Jesper Hansen Goalkeeper
6.92
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
7.35
10
Kristian Arnstad
Kristian Arnstad Midfielder
7.26
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Midfielder
6.63
31
Tobias Bech
Tobias Bech Midfielder
7.21
9
Patrick Mortensen
Patrick Mortensen Centre Forward
6.77
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo Right Back
7.23
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
Henrik Dalsgaard Centre Back
6.83
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Central Midfield
7
17
Kevin Yakob
Kevin Yakob Central Midfield
6.84
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Left Back
6.95
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
N. Flø
N. Flø Goalkeeper
6.54
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe Centre Forward
6.77
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Right Wing
6.66
24
O. Hyseni
O. Hyseni Left Wing
6.77
26
T. Sommer
T. Sommer Defensive Midfield
7.06
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver Left Back
6.58
6
R. Vinderslev
R. Vinderslev Defensive Midfield
6.7
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Right Back
7.05
22
A. Oggesen
A. Oggesen Right Back
6.81
23
E. Duru
E. Duru Left Back
6.48
31
M. Haidara
M. Haidara Attacking Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

AGF enters this home fixture with every analytical advantage, from superior league standing and power metrics to stronger form, making them heavy favorites against a Sønderjyske side struggling for consistency. The 9.1-point power gap underscores AGF's ability to dominate possession and create chances, while home support at Vejlby Stadion amplifies their edge. Lacking granular set-piece insights, the focus shifts to AGF's efficiency in open play and transitions to secure vital points in the Championship Round. Sønderjyske must defy projections through defensive resilience, but historical trends favor the hosts prevailing comfortably.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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