Albacete vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Carlos Belmonte Sun, 24 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Albacete ALB
3 Winner 1
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
Full Time Sun, 24 May 2:15 PM
Round 41 Regular Season
Lluís López - 56'
Pepe Sánchez - 37'
Jefté Betancor - 15'
Goal
|
Goal
Gorka Carrera - 53'

CONTEXT

Albacete hosted Real Sociedad II in a match that concluded with a 3-1 home victory. The hosts established a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime through effective finishing despite holding only 37 percent possession. Real Sociedad II controlled more of the ball at 63 percent but struggled to convert opportunities into goals before the break. In the second half Albacete added one more goal while the visitors responded with a single strike. No red cards were issued to either side and the stronger team according to pre-match assessment delivered the win. The result highlighted Albacete's clinical approach against a possession-dominant opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Albacete 3-1 Real Sociedad II. Albacete showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team assessment.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were provided for either team.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond standard goal scoring.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the match proceeded without dismissal effects.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. De Ena Wolf

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Fernández Pérez

1st Assistant

Spain

D. Fernández Correas

2nd Assistant

Spain

V. Broncano Suárez

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.1
Yellow cards / match 4.92
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.31
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
VS
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: 65 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 W
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Granada Rank: 63 W
Leganés Rank: 62 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: 58 D
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 L
Racing Santander Rank: 72 L
Ceuta Rank: 62 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Albacete
54.96%
Draw
23.53%
Away Real Sociedad II
21.51%

Movement

Changes since opening
Albacete
-42.9%
Draw
+21.61%
Real Sociedad II
+21.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.11
55.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
Power Score
68.11
55.68
League Position
10
15
Global Rank
256
492

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Albacete Real Sociedad II

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.92
23.17
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.17
58.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Albacete +3.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Sociedad II -3.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Albacete ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Albacete Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Albacete Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Albacete
vs
Real Sociedad II
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Albacete Real Sociedad II
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Albacete 0.56
Real Sociedad II 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Albacete Real Sociedad II
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Albacete 0.02
Real Sociedad II 0.08
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Real Sociedad II had peak pressure around 8'.
  • Real Sociedad II started the game with stronger pressure.
ALB Pressure Real Sociedad II Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Real Sociedad II reached the top pressure at 8' (95.44).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Albacete ALB Home
1 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:02:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Mariño Villar
Spain
1 D. Mariño Villar
L. Aguado Herrera
Spain
2 L. Aguado Herrera
J. Sánchez Martínez
Spain
23 (C) J. Sánchez Martínez
L. López Mármol
Spain
22 L. López Mármol
C. Neva Tey
Substitution
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
F. Gámez López
Substitution
Spain
15 F. Gámez López
J. Villar del Fraile
Substitution
Spain
18 J. Villar del Fraile
A. Pacheco Ruiz
Spain
6 A. Pacheco Ruiz
J. Gomez
United States
3 J. Gomez
V. San Bartolomé Prieto
Substitution
Spain
14 V. San Bartolomé Prieto
J. Betancor Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Betancor Sánchez
Pitch
A. Fraga Torres
Spain
1 A. Fraga Torres
U. Agote Aranburu
Substitution
Spain
23 (C) U. Agote Aranburu
I. Calderon
Substitution
Spain
37 I. Calderon
U. Ayo Larrañaga
Spain
39 U. Ayo Larrañaga
J. Garro
Spain
29 J. Garro
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
A. Marchal Garcia
Substitution
Spain
19 A. Marchal Garcia
A. Lebarbier Null
Substitution
France
6 A. Lebarbier Null
J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
Spain
21 J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
L. Astiazarán Escabias
Substitution
Spain
17 L. Astiazarán Escabias
G. Carrera Zarranz
Spain
18 G. Carrera Zarranz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 24, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Capacity :
17524
Attendance :
6293
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alonso De Ena Wolf
S. Fernández Pérez
Diego Fernández Correas
Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez

Statistics

Possession
ALB
43%
Real Sociedad II
57%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 4
36 Dangerous attacks 52
37 Possession 63
6 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

14 Goal Attempts 10
1 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Goal Kicks 14
62 Ball Safe 85
3 Assists 1
18 Throwins 23
7 Dribble Attempts 17
5 Successful Dribbles 6
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
71 Attacks 92

Possession

38 Successful Long Passes 26
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
237 Successful Passes 460
15 Key Passes 8
304 Passes 534
74 Long Passes 56
78 Successful Passes Percentage 86

Defensive

45 Duels Won 30
10 Interceptions 3
3 Saves 4
20 Tackles 6

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 6
20 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

13 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Diego Mariño
Diego Mariño Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado Defender
7.2
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
6.28
—
Carlos Neva
74'
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Defender
7.42
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez (C) Defender
7.55
3
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Midfielder
6.99
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco Midfielder
7.32
15
Fran Gámez
Fran Gámez Midfielder
8.41
5
Javi Moreno
Javi Moreno
Defender80'
6.69
18
Javi Villar
Javi Villar Midfielder
6.67
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio
Attacker60'
6.49
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor Attacker
7.37
20
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Attacker75'
6.74
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto Attacker
7.36
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez
Midfielder46'
6.72
Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga Goalkeeper
6.77
23
Unax Agote
Unax Agote (C) Defender
5.71
42
Pello Arana
Pello Arana
Defender84'
6.52
29
Jon Garro
Jon Garro Defender
6.46
37
Iker Calderon
Iker Calderon Defender
6.04
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita
Defender71'
6.83
39
Unax Larrañaga
Unax Larrañaga Defender
6.59
6
Alex Lebarbier
Alex Lebarbier Midfielder
6.97
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker71'
6.48
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
6.8
17
Lander Astiazaran
Lander Astiazaran Midfielder
6.53
26
Darío Ramírez
Darío Ramírez
Attacker63'
6.44
19
Alex Marchal
Alex Marchal Midfielder
6.72
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz
Attacker62'
6.58
21
Joni Eceiza
Joni Eceiza Midfielder
6.21
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
7.56

Events

2ND-HALF
84'
Event
Pello Arana → Unax Agote
10th Substitution
Event
Javi Moreno → Fran Gámez
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa → Jefté Betancor
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Fabio Garcia Moreno → Carlos Neva
7th Substitution
74'
71'
Event
Kazunari Kita → Iker Calderon
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Alex Lebarbier
6th Substitution
Event
Pepe Sánchez
Off the ball foul / 1st Yellowcard
68'
63'
Event
Darío Ramírez → Lander Astiazaran
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Dani Díaz → Alex Marchal
3rd Substitution
Event
Alex Rubio → Javi Villar
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Lluís López
Header / 4th Goal
56'
53'
Event
Gorka Carrera
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Ale Meléndez → Victor San Bartolome Prieto
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Pepe Sánchez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
Event
Jefté Betancor
Header / 1st Goal
15'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Pacheco's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Pacheco has a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio's right-footed shot is blocked.
84
Update Update
Pello Arana comes on for Unax Agote.
83
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio's right-footed shot is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Update Update
Javi Moreno comes on for Fran Gamez.
78
Attempt Attempt
Alex Rubio takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Lluis Lopez Marmol's header hits the post.
75
Substitution Substitution
Samuel Obeng is substituted off for Jefte Betancor Sanchez.
74
Update Update
Fabio Garcia replaces Carlos Neva.
72
Attempt Attempt
Jon Eceizabarrena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Update Update
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena replaces Alex Lebarbier.
71
Update Update
Kazunari Kita replaces Iker Calderon.
69
Attempt Attempt
Dani Diaz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Substitution Substitution
Dario Ramirez is substituted for Lander Astiazaran.
62
Update Update
Dani Diaz replaces Alex Marchal.
59
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Update Update
Alex Rubio comes on for Javi Villar.
58
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Lluis Lopez Marmol takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
53
Update Update
Gorka Carrera scores with a header.
52
Attempt Attempt
Jon Garro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Alejandro Melendez replaces Victor San Bartolomé.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jon Eceizabarrena takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Pepe Sanchez scores with a right-footed shot.
35
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran's left-footed shot is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Fran Gamez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Fran Gamez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Javi Villar takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Pacheco's header is saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Victor San Bartolomé takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera's right-footed shot is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a left-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera attempts a header but misses the shot.
15
Attempt Attempt
Jefte Betancor Sanchez takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jefte Betancor Sanchez scores to make it 1-0.
5
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera's header is saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Albacete secured a deserved 3-1 win over Real Sociedad II by capitalizing on early chances and maintaining composure after the interval. The halftime advantage of 2-0 allowed the hosts to manage the game effectively even with reduced ball possession. Real Sociedad II enjoyed greater control of the ball yet lacked the precision needed to threaten consistently. Albacete's clinical finishing proved decisive in turning limited opportunities into three goals. The absence of any dismissals kept the contest balanced throughout both halves. Overall the stronger side delivered a performance that matched expectations and produced a clear outcome on the day.

Albacete vs Real Sociedad II preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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