Rijeka vs Gorica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion HNK Rijeka Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
1. HNL
Rijeka Rijeka
Versus
Gorica Gorica
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rijeka welcomes Gorica to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a 1. HNL regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts occupy fourth place domestically while the visitors sit eighth. A power advantage of 9.4 points tilts toward the home side according to underlying metrics. Rijeka carries a form score of 21.56 whereas Gorica registers 13.06. Both clubs enter without fresh outing details to shape immediate preparations. Venue familiarity could influence proceedings given the league setting. Rijeka operates as the stronger unit overall. Limited xG information restricts deeper set piece evaluation for either participant. The encounter unfolds under standard league conditions without knockout implications.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka occupies fourth place domestically while Gorica sits eighth in the standings.
  • Form: Rijeka records a form score of 21.56 against Gorica's mark of 13.06.
  • Squad: Rijeka stands as the stronger team with a power score of 71.01 versus 61.64.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics stay unavailable for assessment in this fixture.
  • Transition: Both sides lack recent outing data to evaluate transitional patterns.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: Power advantage stands at 9.4 points favoring the home team.
  • Market: Projection split: Rijeka 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Gorica 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rijeka R. Đalović
R. Đalović
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.09
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 D
Vukovar Rank: 57 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 64 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 71 D
Varaždin Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 82 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 62 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 W
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 4 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rijeka
0%
Draw
0%
Away Gorica
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.01
61.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rijeka
Gorica
Power Score
71.01
61.64
League Position
4
8
Global Rank
182
436

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Gorica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home
31 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
16
Wins
11
4
Draws
4
11
Losses
16
Goals
41
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
41
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T00:06:52+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity :
8279
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
David Samuel Nwolokor
David Samuel Nwolokor Goalkeeper
13
Martin Zlomislić
Martin Zlomislić Goalkeeper
99
Aleksa Todorović
Aleksa Todorović Goalkeeper
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
5
Mile Škorić
Mile Škorić Defender
45
Ante Majstorović
Ante Majstorović Defender
23
Justas Lasickas
Justas Lasickas Defender
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Defender
22
Ante Oreč
Ante Oreč Defender
51
Anel Husic
Anel Husic Defender
91
Noel Bodetic
Noel Bodetic Defender
28
Teo Barišić
Teo Barišić Defender
—
Roko Valinčić
Roko Valinčić Defender
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Midfielder
8
Dejan Petrovič
Dejan Petrovič Midfielder
20
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt Midfielder
26
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas Midfielder
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar Midfielder
10
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk Midfielder
—
Florent Shehu
Florent Shehu Midfielder
19
Samuele Vignato
Samuele Vignato Midfielder
24
Bruno Burčul
Bruno Burčul Midfielder
66
Branko Pavić
Branko Pavić Midfielder
70
Rajan Žlibanović
Rajan Žlibanović Midfielder
9
Duje Čop
Duje Čop Attacker
7
Tornike Morchiladze
Tornike Morchiladze Attacker
24
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi Attacker
11
Gabrijel Rukavina
Gabrijel Rukavina Attacker
77
Ante Matej Jurič
Ante Matej Jurič Attacker
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
—
Matej Momčilovski
Matej Momčilovski Attacker
25
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi Attacker
37
Cherno Saho
Cherno Saho Attacker

Squad ▼

30
Darijan Radelić Žarkov
Darijan Radelić Žarkov Goalkeeper
71
Davor Matijaš
Davor Matijaš Goalkeeper
1
Muhamed Šahinović
Muhamed Šahinović Goalkeeper
12
Tin Došen
Tin Došen Goalkeeper
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
4
Jakov Filipović
Jakov Filipović Defender
19
Marijan Čabraja
Marijan Čabraja Defender
22
Žan Trontelj
Žan Trontelj Defender
5
Mateo Leš
Mateo Leš Defender
32
Elvir Duraković
Elvir Duraković Defender
21
Hadji Issa Moustapha
Hadji Issa Moustapha Defender
33
Lovro Dukić
Lovro Dukić Defender
24
Domagoj Pavičić
Domagoj Pavičić Midfielder
18
Ivan Fiolić
Ivan Fiolić Midfielder
8
Iker Pozo La Rosa
Iker Pozo La Rosa Midfielder
10
Jurica Pršir
Jurica Pršir Midfielder
7
Ognjen Bakić
Ognjen Bakić Midfielder
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
14
Stjepan Kučiš
Stjepan Kučiš Midfielder
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Attacker
25
Bruno Bogojević
Bruno Bogojević Attacker
64
Theo Epailly
Theo Epailly Attacker
99
Medin Gashi
Medin Gashi Attacker
11
Sule Wisdom Aondowase
Sule Wisdom Aondowase Attacker
20
Luka Vrzić
Luka Vrzić Attacker

CONCLUSION

Rijeka enters this home fixture holding clear edges in league position and overall team strength. The hosts should control much of the play through superior power metrics and venue comfort. Gorica faces an uphill task given its lower standing and reduced form indicators. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for tactical adjustments on the day. Both teams will likely focus on structured build up given the absence of recent performance snapshots. Rijeka can leverage its domestic ranking to dictate tempo from the outset. Gorica must find ways to disrupt rhythm and create counter opportunities. The match promises a competitive league encounter shaped by positional differences and home dynamics.

Rijeka vs Gorica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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