Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Gradski vrt Fri, 22 May - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Osijek Osijek
2 Winner 0
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
Full Time Fri, 22 May 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Miloš Jovičić - 62'
Nail Omerovic - 55'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Osijek hosted Slaven Koprivnica in a league encounter that concluded with a 2-0 home victory. The first half ended level at 0-0 with both sides unable to break the deadlock before the interval. Osijek controlled 53 percent of possession compared to 47 percent for the visitors yet required second half breakthroughs to secure the points. No red cards were issued to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side Osijek delivered the expected result against their opponents. The match remained competitive until the later stages when the home side found the net twice. Overall play reflected standard patterns without major interruptions or disciplinary interventions. The final scoreline stood at 2-0 in favor of Osijek.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Osijek 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica. Osijek showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team performance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted standard match progression.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred resulting in zero distortion to dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Crnojević

Croatia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Mihalj

1st Assistant

Croatia

D. Kolarević

2nd Assistant

Croatia

M. Majstrović

4th Official

Croatia

League averages

1. HNL Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.85
Yellow cards / match 3.3
Red cards / match 0.08
Penalties / match 0.35
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 62 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 73 W
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 82 L
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 73 D
28
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
28 - 17 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Osijek
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.55
60.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
62.55
60.94
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
408
459

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osijek Slaven Koprivnica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Osijek

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Osijek ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.00
23.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.83
50.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Osijek +2.61 Efficiency Index
vs
Slaven Koprivnica -2.61 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Osijek ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Osijek
vs
Slaven Koprivnica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Osijek 0.48
Slaven Koprivnica 0.42
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Osijek Slaven Koprivnica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Osijek 0.00
Slaven Koprivnica 0.04
Osijek
Slaven Koprivnica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Osijek had peak pressure around 12'.
  • Osijek started the game with stronger pressure.
Osijek Pressure Slaven Koprivnica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Osijek reached the top pressure at 12' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osijek Osijek Home
70 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
28
Wins
25
17
Draws
17
25
Losses
28
Goals
95
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
95
+21
Goal Difference
-21

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T00:00:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Grahovac
12 M. Grahovac
N. Omerović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 N. Omerović
I. Kolarik
49 I. Kolarik
R. Jurišić
Croatia
22 R. Jurišić
D. Bukvić
Croatia
39 D. Bukvić
V. Bubanja
Montenegro
21 V. Bubanja
L. Vrbančić
Substitution
Croatia
23 L. Vrbančić
S. Akere
Substitution
Nigeria
57 S. Akere
N. Farkaš
Substitution
18 N. Farkaš
M. Jovičić
Substitution
98 M. Jovičić
A. Jakupovic
Substitution
Austria
17 A. Jakupovic
Pitch
I. Čović
Croatia
32 I. Čović
D. Kovačić
Croatia
4 D. Kovačić
M. Lešković
Substitution
Croatia
13 M. Lešković
V. Međimorec
Substitution
Croatia
2 V. Međimorec
K. Išasegi
Croatia
33 K. Išasegi
L. Bošnjak
Substitution
Croatia
24 L. Bošnjak
L. Crepulja
Croatia
21 L. Crepulja
I. Ćubelić
Croatia
15 I. Ćubelić
F. Krušelj
Croatia
18 F. Krušelj
I. Nestorovski
Substitution
Macedonia
90 I. Nestorovski
L. Ratshukudu
Substitution
Botswana
14 L. Ratshukudu

General Information

Date & Time :
May 22, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Gradski vrt
Capacity :
1000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marko Crnojević
Ivan Mihalj
Dario Kolarević
Marino Majstrović

Statistics

Possession
Osijek
53%
Slaven Koprivnica
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
50 Dangerous attacks 24
53 Possession 47
16 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 19

Match Overview

9 Successful Dribbles 11
16 Throwins 7
21 Dribble Attempts 23
5 Substitutions 5
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48
9 Goal Kicks 6
2 Assists 0

Attacking

63 Attacks 61
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

20 Key Passes 5
433 Passes 407
48 Long Passes 38
27 Successful Long Passes 16
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
356 Successful Passes 333
82 Successful Passes Percentage 82

Defensive

20 Tackles 28
57 Duels Won 72
2 Saves 7
12 Interceptions 11

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2
31 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

19 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

12
Matej Grahovac
Matej Grahovac Goalkeeper
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Defender
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Defender
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Defender
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Defender
18
Niko Farkas
Niko Farkas Midfielder
48
Jona Jezic
Jona Jezic
Midfielder77'
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Midfielder
23
Luka Vrbancic
Luka Vrbancic Midfielder
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Midfielder67'
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere Midfielder
47
David Kalem
David Kalem
Defender21'
98
Miloš Jovičić
Miloš Jovičić Midfielder
5
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj
Defender78'
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Attacker
46
Ivan Barić
Ivan Barić
Attacker67'
Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

32
Mateusz Stolarski
Mateusz Stolarski Goalkeeper
2
Vinko Medjimorec
Vinko Medjimorec Defender
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar
Attacker61'
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
13
Marko Leskovic
Marko Leskovic Defender
5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Zvonimir Katalinic
Defender73'
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Midfielder
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
24
Leon Bošnjak
Leon Bošnjak Midfielder
26
Gabrijel Sivalec
Gabrijel Sivalec
Attacker61'
33
Karlo Isasegi
Karlo Isasegi Midfielder
14
Losika Ratshukudu
Losika Ratshukudu Attacker
8
Leon Geci
Leon Geci
Midfielder86'
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski Attacker
16
Luka Curkovic
Luka Curkovic
Defender86'

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Luka Curkovic → Ilija Nestorovski
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Leon Geci → Losika Ratshukudu
10th Substitution
Event
Jon Mersinaj → Miloš Jovičić
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Jona Jezic → Niko Farkas
7th Substitution
77'
73'
Event
Zvonimir Katalinic → Marko Leskovic
6th Substitution
Event
Ivan Barić → Arnel Jakupovic
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Oleksandr Petrusenko → Luka Vrbancic
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Miloš Jovičić
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
61'
Event
Gabrijel Sivalec → Leon Bošnjak
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Filip Mažar → Vinko Medjimorec
2nd Substitution
Event
Nail Omerovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
55'
1ST-HALF
Event
David Kalem → Samuel Akere
1st Substitution
21'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Luka Curkovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Filip Mazar takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Ivano Kolarik's header is saved.
86
Substitution Substitution
Leon Geci is substituted off for Losika Ratshukudu.
86
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Update Update
Luka Curkovic is on, and Ilja Nestorovski is off.
84
Attempt Attempt
Jona Jezic's left-footed shot is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jona Jezic's header is saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Baric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Jon Mersinaj replaces Milos Jovicic.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jon Mersinaj comes on for Milos Jovicic.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski's left-footed shot is blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Ljuban Crepulja takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Update Update
Zvonimir Katalinic replaces Marko Leskovic.
67
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Baric is substituted for Arnel Jakupovic.
67
Update Update
Oleksandr Petrusenko replaces Luka Vrbancic.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Milos Jovicic scores, making it 2-0.
62
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic scores with a right-footed shot.
61
Update Update
Filip Mazar is on, and Vinko Medimorec is off.
61
Update Update
Gabrijel Sivalec comes on for Leon Bosnjak.
59
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Cubelic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic scores with a right-footed shot.
50
Update Update
Ivano Kolarik's header is blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Nail Omerovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Losika Ratshukudu's right-footed shot is blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Niko Farkas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Update Update
Ivano Kolarik takes a header, but it goes wide.
41
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic's left-footed shot is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Luka Vrbancic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Niko Farkas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Cubelic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski's left-footed shot is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Kovacic's right-footed shot is saved.
21
Update Update
David Kalem is on, and Samuel Akere is off.
14
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja attempts a header but misses the shot.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Bukvic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Vladan Bubanja attempts a header but misses the shot.
8
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Roko Jurisic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Arnel Jakupovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Milos Jovicic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Osijek completed a straightforward 2-0 win over Slaven Koprivnica after a goalless opening period. Possession favored the hosts slightly yet the decisive goals arrived after halftime. The absence of disciplinary actions allowed both teams to maintain full squads on the pitch. Osijek demonstrated control consistent with their status as the stronger side. The clean sheet and narrow margin reflected efficient finishing in the second half. Slaven Koprivnica competed evenly in the early stages but could not prevent the eventual outcome. This result reinforces Osijek home strength in the fixture. The game followed expected patterns without notable interruptions or adjustments needed.

Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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