Varaždin vs Istra 1961 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
1. HNL
Varaždin Varaždin
Versus
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Varaždin host Istra 1961 in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Domestically, Varaždin sit 3th in the table while Istra 1961 are 5th. Power ranking favours Varaždin by 2.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Varaždin hold a +2.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Varaždin sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Varaždin show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Varaždin have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Varaždin carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Varaždin hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Varaždin 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Istra 1961 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Varaždin N. Šafarić
N. Šafarić
VS
Istra 1961 G. Tomić
G. Tomić
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.09
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Rijeka Rank: 70 W
Osijek Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
Osijek Rank: 63 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 12 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Varaždin
0%
Draw
0%
Away Istra 1961
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.21
63.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Varaždin
Istra 1961
Power Score
66.21
63.64
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
296
372

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Varaždin Opponent-weighted form score
Istra 1961 Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Varaždin Istra 1961

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Varaždin Varaždin Home
33 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 Away
Match Record
10
Wins
11
12
Draws
12
11
Losses
10
Goals
30
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
30
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T00:06:56+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Capacity :
10800
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Oliver Zelenika
Oliver Zelenika Goalkeeper
33
Josip Silić
Josip Silić Goalkeeper
14
Roberto Punčec
Roberto Punčec Defender
12
Petar Bočkaj
Petar Bočkaj Defender
44
Mateo Barać
Mateo Barać Defender
23
Frane Maglica
Frane Maglica Defender
25
Antonio Boršić
Antonio Boršić Defender
20
Gregor Sikošek
Gregor Sikošek Defender
13
Mario Mladenovski
Mario Mladenovski Defender
4
Luka Škaričić
Luka Škaričić Defender
16
Novak Tepšić
Novak Tepšić Defender
30
Luka Posinković
Luka Posinković Defender
29
Domagoj Begonja
Domagoj Begonja Defender
2
Sven Lesjak
Sven Lesjak Defender
6
David Puclin
David Puclin Midfielder
24
Mario Marina
Mario Marina Midfielder
27
Aleksa Latković
Aleksa Latković Midfielder
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Tomislav Duvnjak Midfielder
15
Silvio Ilinkovic
Silvio Ilinkovic Midfielder
22
Luka Mamić
Luka Mamić Midfielder
17
Ivan Mamut
Ivan Mamut Attacker
7
Matej Vuk
Matej Vuk Attacker
9
Stipe Jurić
Stipe Jurić Attacker
38
Iuri António Teixeira Tavares
Iuri António Teixeira Tavares Attacker
28
Ivan Canjuga
Ivan Canjuga Attacker

Squad

1
Franko Kolić
Franko Kolić Goalkeeper
40
Jan Paus-Kunšt
Jan Paus-Kunšt Goalkeeper
26
Marcel Heister
Marcel Heister Defender
97
Advan Kadušić
Advan Kadušić Defender
16
Samuli Miettinen
Samuli Miettinen Defender
3
Mohamed Nasraoui
Mohamed Nasraoui Defender
44
Rene Hrvatin
Rene Hrvatin Defender
Diego Rossi
Diego Rossi Defender
13
Niko Šepić
Niko Šepić Defender
24
Filip Taraba
Filip Taraba Defender
38
Raul Kumar
Raul Kumar Defender
5
Josip Radošević
Josip Radošević Midfielder
23
Leo Štulac
Leo Štulac Midfielder
10
Stjepan Lončar
Stjepan Lončar Midfielder
8
Antonio Mauric
Antonio Mauric Midfielder
25
Gustavo Albarracín
Gustavo Albarracín Midfielder
20
Dukan Ahmeti
Dukan Ahmeti Midfielder
18
Israel Isaac Ayuma
Israel Isaac Ayuma Midfielder
9
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Attacker
11
Silvio Goričan
Silvio Goričan Attacker
17
Emil Frederiksen
Emil Frederiksen Attacker
7
Vinko Rozić
Vinko Rozić Attacker
29
Allen Obando
Allen Obando Attacker
77
Charles Adah Agada
Charles Adah Agada Attacker
32
Dominik Celija
Dominik Celija Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Varaždin holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Varaždin a 2.6-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Varaždin vs Istra 1961 preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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