Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Sat, 23 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
4 Winner 0
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Full Time Sat, 23 May 3:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Jean-Pierre Nsame - 55', 32'
Juergen Elitim - 49'
Kacper Chodyna - 39'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Legia Warszawa delivered a dominant performance to defeat Motor Lublin 4-0 at home. The hosts established a 2-0 lead by halftime and extended their advantage with two more goals after the break. Legia controlled 57 percent of possession while Motor Lublin managed 43 percent but created little threat. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The stronger team lived up to expectations by securing a clean-sheet victory. The outcome reflected Legia’s superiority from start to finish.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Legia Warszawa 4-0 Motor Lublin. Legia Warszawa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with established performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with pre-match market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were recorded to evaluate performance expectations.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered the flow or outcome of the match.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured the result faced no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Przybył

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Kupsik

1st Assistant

Poland

M. Kosarzecki

2nd Assistant

Poland

P. Wrzeszczyński

4th Official

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.3
Yellow cards / match 3.82
Red cards / match 0.22
Penalties / match 0.23
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
1.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 59 W
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 L
Katowice Rank: 66 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Legia Warszawa
62.49%
Draw
21.12%
Away Motor Lublin
16.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
Legia Warszawa
-34.5%
Draw
+18.75%
Motor Lublin
+15.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.11
59.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
Power Score
67.11
59.58
League Position
6
12
Global Rank
277
502

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.42
28.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.84
38.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Legia Warszawa +0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
Motor Lublin -0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Legia Warszawa
vs
Motor Lublin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Legia Warszawa 0.23
Motor Lublin 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Motor Lublin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Legia Warszawa 0.00
Motor Lublin 0.05
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Legia Warszawa had peak pressure around 42'.
  • Motor Lublin started the game with stronger pressure.
Legia Warszawa Pressure Motor Lublin Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Legia Warszawa reached the top pressure at 42' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
3 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
9
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:02:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Hindrich
Substitution
Romania
89 O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski
Poland
91 K. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak
Poland
8 R. Augustyniak
J. Leszczyński
Substitution
Poland
56 J. Leszczyński
K. Chodyna
Poland
11 K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
Poland
67 B. Kapustka
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
Colombia
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
R. Nascimento Vinagre
Substitution
Portugal
19 R. Nascimento Vinagre
J. Żewłakow
Substitution
Poland
20 J. Żewłakow
J. Nsamé
Substitution
Cameroon
18 J. Nsamé
R. Adamski
Poland
9 R. Adamski
Pitch
G. Tratnik
Slovenia
33 G. Tratnik
F. Luberecki
Poland
24 F. Luberecki
A. Najemski
Substitution
Poland
18 A. Najemski
M. Bartoš
Slovakia
39 M. Bartoš
T. Christensen
Denmark
29 T. Christensen
S. Samper Montaña
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Samper Montaña
F. Costa Conceição
Substitution
Portugal
11 F. Costa Conceição
B. Wolski
Poland
68 B. Wolski
K. Karasek
Substitution
Poland
10 K. Karasek
M. Ndiaye
Substitution
Senegal
30 M. Ndiaye
K. Czubak
Poland
9 K. Czubak

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity :
31800
Attendance :
27432
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jarosław Przybył
Adam Kupsik
Maciej Kosarzecki
Paweł Wrzeszczyński

Statistics

Possession
Legia Warszawa
58%
Motor Lublin
42%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 7
78 Dangerous attacks 48
57 Possession 43
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 7
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
14 Throwins 11
25 Dribble Attempts 10
12 Successful Dribbles 6
15 Goal Attempts 9
78 Ball Safe 75
0 Injuries 1
3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
122 Attacks 78

Possession

57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
28 Successful Long Passes 10
394 Successful Passes 258
49 Long Passes 33
452 Passes 334
87 Successful Passes Percentage 77
10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

9 Tackles 17
5 Saves 6
44 Duels Won 45
13 Interceptions 7

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 1
19 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
1
Kacper Tobiasz
Kacper Tobiasz
Goalkeeper85'
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Defender
56
Jan Leszczyński
Jan Leszczyński Defender
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov
Defender46'
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Defender
11
Kacper Chodyna
Kacper Chodyna Midfielder
19
Rúben Vinagre
Rúben Vinagre Midfielder
55
Artur Jedrzejczyk
Artur Jedrzejczyk
Defender78'
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Midfielder
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Midfielder
9
Rafal Adamski
Rafal Adamski Attacker
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Jean-Pierre Nsame Attacker
2
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović
Attacker70'
20
Jakub Zewlakow
Jakub Zewlakow Attacker
99
Samuel Kovacik
Samuel Kovacik
Attacker70'
Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

33
Gasper Tratnik
Gasper Tratnik Goalkeeper
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Defender
42
Bright Ede
Bright Ede
Defender74'
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
29
Thomas Santos
Thomas Santos Defender
39
Marek Bartos
Marek Bartos Defender
6
Sergi Samper
Sergi Samper Midfielder
21
Jakub Labojko
Jakub Labojko
Midfielder54'
10
Kacper Karasek
Kacper Karasek Midfielder
8
Mathieu Scalet
Mathieu Scalet
Midfielder54'
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo Midfielder
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven
Midfielder54'
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
28
Pawel Stolarski
Pawel Stolarski
Defender66'
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kacper Tobiasz → Otto Hindrich
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Artur Jedrzejczyk → Rúben Vinagre
9th Substitution
78'
74'
Event
Bright Ede → Arkadiusz Najemski
8th Substitution
Event
Samuel Kovacik → Jakub Zewlakow
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Mileta Rajović → Jean-Pierre Nsame
7th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Pawel Stolarski → Mbaye Ndiaye
5th Substitution
Event
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
55'
54'
Event
Jakub Labojko → Sergi Samper
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Bradly van Hoeven → Fábio Ronaldo
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Marek Bartos
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
54'
Event
Mathieu Scalet → Kacper Karasek
4th Substitution
Event
Juergen Elitim
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
49'
Event
Radovan Pankov → Jan Leszczyński
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Kacper Chodyna
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
39'
Event
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Header / 1st Goal
32'
30'
Event
Mbaye Ndiaye
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rafal Augustyniak
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Kovacik takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
85
Update Update
Kacper Tobiasz is on, and Otto Hindrich is off.
80
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Wolski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Artur Jedrzejczyk comes on for Ruben Vinagre.
74
Substitution Substitution
Bright Ede is substituted for Arkadiusz Najemski.
73
Attempt Attempt
Radovan Pankov takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Chodyna takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Samuel Kovacik replaces Jakub Zewlakow.
70
Update Update
Mileta Rajovic comes on for Jean Pierre Nsame.
69
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Pawel Stolarski is on, and Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye is off.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jean Pierre Nsame scores with a left-footed shot.
54
Update Update
Bradly van Hoeven is on, and Fabio Ronaldo is off.
54
Update Update
Jakub Labojko comes on for Sergi Samper Montana.
54
Update Update
Mathieu Scalet is on, and Kacper Karasek is off.
53
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Vinagre takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Zewlakow takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Juergen Elitim takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
47
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Wolski takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Radovan Pankov is on, and Jan Leszczynski is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Juergen Elitim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Adamski's right-footed shot is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Jan Leszczynski's header is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Chodyna takes a right-footed shot and scores.
38
Attempt Attempt
Jan Leszczynski attempts a header but misses the shot.
38
Attempt Attempt
Jakub Zewlakow takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Karasek takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Karasek has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Karol Czubak takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
32
Update Update
Jean Pierre Nsame scores with a header.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Vinagre takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Juergen Elitim takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Samper Montana's right-footed shot is saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Marek Kristian Bartos takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafal Augustyniak receives a yellow card.
3
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Ronaldo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa’s 4-0 triumph over Motor Lublin showcased clear superiority across both halves. The home side converted early pressure into a 2-0 halftime advantage and added further goals without reply. Possession dominance at 57 percent allowed sustained control while limiting Motor Lublin’s opportunities. With no red cards issued the contest remained balanced in discipline. The victory reinforced Legia’s status as the stronger side and delivered a comprehensive result. Motor Lublin struggled to respond effectively throughout the ninety minutes.

Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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