Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne Sat, 23 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Standard Liège STL
Versus
Sporting Charleroi SPC
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 6:45 PM
Round 10 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Standard Liège welcomes Sporting Charleroi to Stade Maurice Dufrasne for a Conference League Play-off Group clash in the 2025/2026 Pro League season. The two sides arrive with nearly identical power ratings, yet Charleroi edges ahead by a slim 0.8-point margin. Home form sits at 20.39 while the visitors post 27.67, suggesting greater recent momentum for the away team. Venue familiarity offers Standard Liège a platform to dictate early tempo, but Charleroi’s slight overall edge could prove decisive in open exchanges. Limited underlying metrics leave set-piece and efficiency profiles reliant on proxy estimates, keeping tactical preparation somewhat opaque. Both clubs must navigate this fixture with an eye toward group positioning rather than domestic standings. The encounter promises a tight battle shaped by marginal differences in squad readiness and current rhythm.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Charleroi holds a marginal power advantage of 0.8 points over Standard Liège.
  • Form: Sporting Charleroi enters with a superior form score of 27.67 compared to Standard Liège's 20.39.
  • Squad: Both squads prepare for this encounter in the Pro League's Conference League Play-off Group.
  • Efficiency: Data on efficiency remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not specified in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on proxy data with low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power scores indicate a closely contested match with minimal advantage.
  • Market: Projection split: Standard Liège 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Charleroi 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Standard Liège Standard Liège
Standard Liège
VS
Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi
Sporting Charleroi
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: 70 D
Genk Rank: 77 D
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Antwerp Rank: 72 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Antwerp Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: 66 D
Westerlo Rank: 70 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 13 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Standard Liège
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sporting Charleroi
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.39
72.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Standard Liège
Sporting Charleroi
Power Score
71.39
72.14
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
172
154

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège Sporting Charleroi

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 49 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home
49 matches
Sporting Charleroi SPC Away
Match Record
25
Wins
11
13
Draws
13
11
Losses
25
Goals
76
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
76
+32
Goal Difference
-32

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T01:05:52+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 10 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Capacity :
27670
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

21
Lucas Pirard
Lucas Pirard Goalkeeper
35
Belmin Dizdarević
Belmin Dizdarević Goalkeeper
12
Matteo Godfroid
Matteo Godfroid Goalkeeper
1
Luke Epolo Matthieu
Luke Epolo Matthieu Goalkeeper
5
Boli Bolingoli Mbombo
Boli Bolingoli Mbombo Defender
15
Souleyman Doumbia
Souleyman Doumbia Defender
4
David Bates
David Bates Defender
24
Josué Homawoo
Josué Homawoo Defender
13
Marlon Fossey
Marlon Fossey Defender
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Defender
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Defender
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Defender
29
Daan Dierckx
Daan Dierckx Defender
22
Alexandro Calut
Alexandro Calut Defender
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Defender
53
Steeven Assengue
Steeven Assengue Defender
27
Mohammed El Hankouri
Mohammed El Hankouri Midfielder
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Midfielder
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Midfielder
80
Teddy Teuma
Teddy Teuma Midfielder
7
Tobias Mohr
Tobias Mohr Midfielder
8
Nayel Mehssatou Sepúlveda
Nayel Mehssatou Sepúlveda Midfielder
14
Léandre Filipe Kuavita
Léandre Filipe Kuavita Midfielder
95
Grejohn Kyei
Grejohn Kyei Attacker
9
Thomas Henry
Thomas Henry Attacker
10
Dennis Yerai Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Yerai Eckert Ayensa Attacker
59
Timothée NKada
Timothée NKada Attacker
17
Rafiki Said Ahamada
Rafiki Said Ahamada Attacker
11
Abid Adnane
Abid Adnane Attacker
19
René Mitongo Muteba
René Mitongo Muteba Attacker
26
Bernard Nguene
Bernard Nguene Attacker

Squad ▼

33
Théo Defourny
Théo Defourny Goalkeeper
30
Mohamed Kone
Mohamed Kone Goalkeeper
55
Martin Delavalée
Martin Delavalée Goalkeeper
60
Nicolas Closset
Nicolas Closset Goalkeeper
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Defender
23
Jules Gaudin
Jules Gaudin Defender
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Defender
24
Mardochee Nzita
Mardochee Nzita Defender
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Defender
95
Check keita
Check keita Defender
32
Mehdi Boukamir
Mehdi Boukamir Defender
50
Robin Denuit
Robin Denuit Defender
44
Massamba Sow
Massamba Sow Defender
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke Midfielder
5
E. Camara
E. Camara Midfielder
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Midfielder
22
Yacine Titraoui
Yacine Titraoui Midfielder
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi Midfielder
56
Amine Boukamir
Amine Boukamir Midfielder
51
Mory Kera
Mory Kera Midfielder
7
Isaac Mbenza
Isaac Mbenza Attacker
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Attacker
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Attacker
25
Antoine Colassin
Antoine Colassin Attacker
9
Filip Szymczak
Filip Szymczak Attacker
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Attacker
43
Quentin Benaets
Quentin Benaets Attacker

CONCLUSION

Standard Liège will look to exploit home conditions and crowd support to offset a narrow deficit in overall strength. Sporting Charleroi arrives carrying better recent rhythm and must convert that edge into sustained pressure. With efficiency and set-piece data limited, coaches will emphasize adaptability once play begins. The narrow power gap suggests neither side can afford lapses in concentration. Standard Liège needs to establish control early to blunt Charleroi’s transition threat. Charleroi, meanwhile, should seek to maintain composure and exploit any spaces left by an aggressive home approach. Ultimately the result may hinge on which team better manages the small margins visible in the underlying numbers. Both sides remain well positioned to influence their group standing through a positive outcome here.

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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