OH Leuven vs Genk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion Sat, 23 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
OH Leuven OHL
Versus
Genk GNK
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 6:45 PM
Round 10 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

The Pro League Conference League Play-off Group delivers an engaging fixture when OH Leuven hosts Genk at the King Power at Den Dreef Stadion during the 2025/2026 campaign. Genk arrives as the stronger side according to power metrics that place them 11.4 points ahead of their hosts. Recent form trends also tilt toward the visitors who post a higher score than the home side. Venue conditions at Den Dreef typically reward organized pressing and quick transitions. Both clubs operate within the same domestic structure yet display contrasting styles on the pitch. Limited historical data for this specific grouping adds an element of unpredictability to proceedings. Players will need to adapt quickly to the demands of the play-off environment. Overall the contest promises tactical discipline alongside moments of individual quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Genk holds an 11.4 point power advantage over OH Leuven in this encounter.
  • Form: Genk enters with a superior form score of 16.39 compared to OH Leuven's 11.
  • Squad: Squad compositions reflect typical lineups for the Pro League sides without major reported absences.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency ratings are not provided in the current dataset for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis lacks specific metrics at this stage.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence levels with proxy metrics applied for both OH Leuven and Genk.
  • xVariable: The power advantage of 11.4 points serves as a key variable favoring Genk.
  • Market: Baseline split: OH Leuven 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Genk 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
VS
Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 D
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 68 D
Standard Liège Rank: 71 D
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 70 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home OH Leuven
0%
Draw
0%
Away Genk
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.61
76.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
OH Leuven
Genk
Power Score
65.61
76.96
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
312
89

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) OH Leuven Genk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

OH Leuven OHL Home
21 matches
Genk GNK Away
Match Record
3
Wins
13
5
Draws
5
13
Losses
3
Goals
21
Goals Scored
45
45
Goals Conceded
21
-24
Goal Difference
+24

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T01:05:56+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 10 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Capacity :
10020
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

16
Maxence Andre Prévôt
Maxence Andre Prévôt Goalkeeper
1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
61
Owen Jochmans
Owen Jochmans Goalkeeper
95
Théo Radelet
Théo Radelet Goalkeeper
3
Noë Dussenne
Noë Dussenne Defender
77
Thibault Vlietinck
Thibault Vlietinck Defender
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Defender
27
Óscar Gil Regaño
Óscar Gil Regaño Defender
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Defender
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Defender
15
Viktor Damjanić
Viktor Damjanić Defender
63
Moyé Christ Souanga
Moyé Christ Souanga Defender
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku Defender
4
Birger Verstraete
Birger Verstraete Midfielder
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder
33
Mathieu Maertens
Mathieu Maertens Midfielder
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Midfielder
24
Łukasz Łakomy
Łukasz Łakomy Midfielder
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha Midfielder
48
Bryang Kayo
Bryang Kayo Midfielder
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Midfielder
7
Thibaud Verlinden
Thibaud Verlinden Attacker
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Attacker
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Attacker
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Attacker
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Attacker
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
Hendrik Van Crombrugge Goalkeeper
26
Tobias Okiki Lawal
Tobias Okiki Lawal Goalkeeper
71
Brent Stevens
Brent Stevens Goalkeeper
28
Lucca Kiaba Mounganga
Lucca Kiaba Mounganga Goalkeeper
97
Emile Doucouré
Emile Doucouré Goalkeeper
18
Joris Kayembe Ditu
Joris Kayembe Ditu Defender
3
Mujaid Sadick Aliu
Mujaid Sadick Aliu Defender
27
Ken Nkuba Tshiend
Ken Nkuba Tshiend Defender
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Defender
19
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz Defender
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
Josue Ndenge Kongolo Defender
34
Adrián José Palacios Hernández
Adrián José Palacios Hernández Defender
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Defender
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen Midfielder
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Midfielder
24
Nikolas Sattlberger
Nikolas Sattlberger Midfielder
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Midfielder
20
Konstantinos Karetsas
Konstantinos Karetsas Midfielder
56
August De Wannemacker
August De Wannemacker Midfielder
10
Junya Ito
Junya Ito Attacker
14
Yira Collins Sor
Yira Collins Sor Attacker
99
Jusef Erabi
Jusef Erabi Attacker
7
Jarne Steuckers
Jarne Steuckers Attacker
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
Ayumu Yokoyama Attacker
29
Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola Attacker
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Attacker
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Attacker

CONCLUSION

Genk carries greater overall momentum into this play-off fixture and will look to control proceedings from the outset. OH Leuven can draw confidence from home surroundings and will aim to disrupt rhythm through compact defensive blocks. Tactical adjustments during the match could prove decisive given the narrow margins expected. Both teams must manage energy levels carefully across the full ninety minutes. Creative sparks from midfield areas may unlock opportunities against organized defenses. The encounter should showcase disciplined structure alongside opportunistic forward play. Ultimately the visitors start as slight favorites yet the home side retains every chance to claim a positive result on familiar turf.

OH Leuven vs Genk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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