Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Balaídos Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Celta de Vigo CEL
Versus
Sevilla SEV
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Celta de Vigo welcome Sevilla to Estadio de Balaídos for a La Liga regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit sixth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy eleventh place. Celta hold a modest power advantage of 5.1 points with an overall rating of 79.75 against Sevilla's 74.66. Recent form shows the away side carrying stronger momentum at 28.22 compared to the home team's 18.44. Both clubs will look to exploit structural strengths in midfield control and defensive organisation. The match offers a platform for Celta to build on their higher league position while Sevilla aim to close the gap with improved results on the road. Tactical discipline and key individual contributions are expected to shape the outcome in this evenly balanced encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celta de Vigo hold a 5.1-point power advantage and sit five places above Sevilla in the league table.
  • Form: Sevilla enter with superior recent form scoring 28.22 compared to Celta de Vigo's 18.44.
  • Squad: Both squads feature balanced attacking and defensive units suited to a controlled league encounter.
  • Efficiency: Celta de Vigo demonstrate slightly higher overall efficiency metrics in domestic competition.
  • Transition: Sevilla show greater threat in transitional phases based on current seasonal patterns.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data remains limited yet both teams rely on standard delivery routines.
  • xVariable: Expected goal indicators point to a closely contested match with marginal home edge.
  • Market: Projection split: Celta de Vigo 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.8% (Δ+0%) | Sevilla 26.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
VS
Sevilla M. Almeyda
M. Almeyda
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: 77 D
Levante Rank: 75 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Elche Rank: 75 W
Villarreal Rank: 82 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 77 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 8 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celta de Vigo
44.52%
Draw
28.77%
Away Sevilla
26.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.75
74.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celta de Vigo
Sevilla
Power Score
79.75
74.66
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
61
119

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home
33 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
11
Wins
14
8
Draws
8
14
Losses
11
Goals
42
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
42
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T01:01:12+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Balaídos
Capacity :
25000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Ionuț Andrei Radu
Ionuț Andrei Radu Goalkeeper
1
Iván Villar Martínez
Iván Villar Martínez Goalkeeper
25
Marc Vicente Vidal Girona
Marc Vicente Vidal Girona Goalkeeper
20
Marcos Alonso Mendoza
Marcos Alonso Mendoza Defender
21
Mihailo Ristić
Mihailo Ristić Defender
2
Carl Starfelt
Carl Starfelt Defender
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Defender
3
Óscar Mingueza García
Óscar Mingueza García Defender
5
Sergio Carreira Vilariño
Sergio Carreira Vilariño Defender
14
Álvaro Núñez Cobo
Álvaro Núñez Cobo Defender
12
Manuel Fernández Arroyo
Manuel Fernández Arroyo Defender
17
Javier Rueda García
Javier Rueda García Defender
24
Carlos Domínguez Cáceres
Carlos Domínguez Cáceres Defender
29
Yoel Lago Amil
Yoel Lago Amil Defender
32
Javier Rodríguez Galiano
Javier Rodríguez Galiano Defender
15
Matías Vecino Falero
Matías Vecino Falero Midfielder
6
Moriba Kourouma Kourouma
Moriba Kourouma Kourouma Midfielder
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
16
Miguel Román González
Miguel Román González Midfielder
8
Fernando López González
Fernando López González Midfielder
10
Iago Aspas Juncal
Iago Aspas Juncal Attacker
11
Franco Emanuel Cervi
Franco Emanuel Cervi Attacker
7
Borja Iglesias Quintas
Borja Iglesias Quintas Attacker
9
Ferran Jutlgà Blanc
Ferran Jutlgà Blanc Attacker
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg Attacker
18
Pablo Durán Fernández
Pablo Durán Fernández Attacker
23
Hugo Álvarez Antúnez
Hugo Álvarez Antúnez Attacker
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Jones El-Abdellaoui Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Odisseas Vlachodimos
Odisseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
13
Ørjan Håskjold Nyland
Ørjan Håskjold Nyland Goalkeeper
3
César Azpilicueta Tanco
César Azpilicueta Tanco Defender
15
Fábio Rafael Rodrigues Cardoso
Fábio Rafael Rodrigues Cardoso Defender
23
Marcos do Nascimento Teixeira
Marcos do Nascimento Teixeira Defender
12
Gabriel Alonso Suazo Urbina
Gabriel Alonso Suazo Urbina Defender
22
Federico Gattoni
Federico Gattoni Defender
5
Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi Defender
16
Juan Luis Sánchez Velasco
Juan Luis Sánchez Velasco Defender
2
José Ángel Carmona Navarro
José Ángel Carmona Navarro Defender
4
Enrique Jesús Salas Valiente
Enrique Jesús Salas Valiente Defender
32
Andrés López Gallo
Andrés López Gallo Defender
36
Joaquín Martínez Gauna
Joaquín Martínez Gauna Defender
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow Midfielder
8
Joan Jordán Moreno
Joan Jordán Moreno Midfielder
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy Midfielder
18
Lucien Agoume
Lucien Agoume Midfielder
28
Manuel Bueno Sebastián
Manuel Bueno Sebastián Midfielder
24
Adnan Januzaj
Adnan Januzaj Attacker
10
Alexis Alejandro Sánchez Sánchez
Alexis Alejandro Sánchez Sánchez Attacker
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke Attacker
11
Ruben Vargas
Ruben Vargas Attacker
9
Akor Jerome Adams
Akor Jerome Adams Attacker
14
Gerard Fernández Castellano
Gerard Fernández Castellano Attacker
7
Isaac Romero Bernal
Isaac Romero Bernal Attacker
29
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celta de Vigo are positioned to dictate early tempo at home thanks to their league standing and power rating. Sevilla will counter with organised pressing and quick transitions to unsettle the hosts. Midfield battles and defensive resilience will likely decide key moments. Both teams possess the quality to create scoring opportunities yet neither has shown overwhelming dominance this season. Expect a measured contest where small tactical adjustments could prove decisive. Celta must convert home advantage into points while Sevilla seek to maintain their upward trajectory. The fixture promises competitive football with emphasis on structure and execution rather than open play.

Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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