Girona vs Elche Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Girona GIR
1 – 1
Elche ELC
Full Time Sat, 23 May 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Arnau Martínez - 48'
Goal
|
Goal
Álvaro Rodríguez - 39'

CONTEXT

Girona hosted Elche in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw. Elche took the lead in the first half to lead 0-1 at the interval. Girona held 57 percent possession compared to Elche's 43 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. The stronger team Girona was unable to secure a victory despite the home advantage. The final scoreline reflected a balanced contest where both teams found the net once. Moderate deviation was noted in the outcome relative to pre-match indicators for the home side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate deviation of 11.7 percent occurred for Girona.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data was unavailable to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to null values.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 result produced a balanced final outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards created no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Hernández Hernández

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Naranjo Pérez

1st Assistant

Spain

M. Cerdán Aguilar

2nd Assistant

Spain

F. Bueno Prieto

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.04
Yellow cards / match 4.14
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.29
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 79 D
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 79 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Getafe Rank: 76 W
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Girona
7.2%
Draw
88.34%
Away Elche
4.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.33
62.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Girona
Elche
Power Score
75.33
62.69
League Position
18
16
Global Rank
108
119

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Girona Elche

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Girona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Elche

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Girona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elche
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Girona Elche
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Girona Elche
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Girona
Elche
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Girona
vs
Elche
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Girona Elche
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Girona 0.00
Elche 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Girona Elche
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Girona 0.00
Elche 0.00
Girona
Elche
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GIR had peak pressure around 100'.
  • GIR started the game with stronger pressure.
GIR Pressure ELC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GIR reached the top pressure at 100' (83.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Girona GIR Home
22 matches
Elche ELC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
11
6
Draws
6
11
Losses
5
Goals
18
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
18
-11
Goal Difference
+11

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T18:30:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
P. Gazzaniga
Argentina
13 P. Gazzaniga
A. Martinez
Substitution
Spain
4 A. Martinez
D. López Silva
Substitution
Spain
5 D. López Silva
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
Brazil
12 V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
A. Moreno Lopera
Spain
24 A. Moreno Lopera
I. Martín Núñez
Spain
23 I. Martín Núñez
A. Witsel
Substitution
Belgium
20 A. Witsel
A. Ounahi
Morocco
18 A. Ounahi
B. Gil Salvatierra
Substitution
Spain
21 B. Gil Salvatierra
V. Tsygankov
Ukraine
15 V. Tsygankov
J. Roca Casals
Substitution
Spain
3 J. Roca Casals
Pitch
M. Dituro
Argentina
1 M. Dituro
P. Bigas Rigo
Spain
6 P. Bigas Rigo
D. Affengruber
Austria
22 D. Affengruber
V. Chust García
Spain
23 V. Chust García
G. Karabinaite
Substitution
Spain
11 G. Karabinaite
G. Villar del Fraile
Substitution
Spain
12 G. Villar del Fraile
M. Aguado Pallares
Spain
8 M. Aguado Pallares
A. Febas Pérez
Substitution
Spain
14 A. Febas Pérez
A. Sangaré Traoré
Substitution
Spain
42 A. Sangaré Traoré
?. Rodríguez Muñoz
Substitution
Uruguay
20 ?. Rodríguez Muñoz
J. Morente Oliva
Spain
15 J. Morente Oliva

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Capacity :
14624
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
José Enrique Naranjo Pérez
Marcos Cerdán Aguilar
Fernando Bueno Prieto

Statistics

Possession
GIR
55%
ELC
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 0
46 Dangerous attacks 39
57 Possession 43
2 Corners 1
20 Free kicks 20
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
3 Goal Attempts 2
61 Ball Safe 56
19 Throwins 24
17 Successful Headers 14
7 Goal Kicks 6
14 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Successful Dribbles 3
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
0 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
86 Attacks 95

Possession

25 Successful Long Passes 27
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
419 Passes 327
57 Long Passes 75
82 Successful Passes Percentage 71
343 Successful Passes 233
6 Key Passes 2

Defensive

14 Tackles 20
55 Duels Won 58
4 Interceptions 10
0 Saves 6

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 3
19 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
20 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Defender
6.91
2
Hugo Rincón
Hugo Rincón
Defender58'
6.64
5
David López
David López Defender
6.36
11
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar
Midfielder77'
6.77
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Defender
6.9
24
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno Defender
6.68
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
7.28
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
6.83
8
Fran Beltrán
Fran Beltrán
Midfielder58'
6.68
23
Iván Martín
Iván Martín Midfielder
6.82
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Attacker
6.6
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri
Midfielder67'
6.72
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
7.16
21
Bryan Gil
Bryan Gil Attacker
6.61
7
Cristhian Stuani
Cristhian Stuani
Attacker58'
6.7
Referee : Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.08
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
6.86
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
6.91
23
Víctor Chust
Víctor Chust Defender
6.77
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
6.82
11
Germán Valera
Germán Valera Midfielder
6.99
21
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot
Defender90'
6.62
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Midfielder
6.8
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa
Defender75'
6.8
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
7.02
39
Héctor Fort
Héctor Fort
Defender84'
6.67
42
Buba Sangaré
Buba Sangaré Midfielder
6.44
18
John Donald
John Donald
Defender46'
6.46
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente Attacker
6.74
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.88
9
André Silva
André Silva
Attacker75'
6.88

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Léo Pétrot → Germán Valera
10th Substitution
Event
Thomas Lemar
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
85'
85'
Event
Marc Aguado
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Germán Valera
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Héctor Fort → Aleix Febas
9th Substitution
Event
Claudio Echeverri
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Thomas Lemar → David López
8th Substitution
77'
75'
Event
Adrià Pedrosa → Gonzalo Villar
6th Substitution
75'
Event
André Silva → Álvaro Rodríguez
7th Substitution
Event
Claudio Echeverri → Joel Roca
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Vitor Reis
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Cristhian Stuani → Bryan Gil
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Fran Beltrán → Axel Witsel
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Hugo Rincón → Arnau Martínez
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Arnau Martínez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
47'
Event
David Affengruber
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
John Donald → Buba Sangaré
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Bryan Gil
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
39'
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
7'
Event
Buba Sangaré
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Leo Petrot is substituted for German Valera.
90
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ricardo Stuani's header is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ricardo Stuani's header is saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Rincon takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marc Aguado Pallares receives a yellow card.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
German Valera receives a yellow card.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Lemar receives a yellow card.
84
Update Update
Hector Fort comes on for Aleix Febas.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Claudio Echeverri receives a yellow card.
80
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Lemar takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Thomas Lemar comes on for David Lopez Silva.
75
Update Update
Andre Silva is on, and Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz is off.
75
Update Update
Adria Giner Pedrosa comes on for Gonzalo Villar.
74
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ricardo Stuani takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Update Update
Claudio Echeverri comes on for Joel Roca Casals.
62
Attempt Attempt
German Valera takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vitor Reis receives a yellow card.
58
Update Update
Ricard Artero Ruiz is on, and Arnau Martinez is off.
58
Update Update
Francisco Beltran replaces Axel Witsel.
58
Update Update
Christian Ricardo Stuani replaces Bryan Gil Salvatierra.
51
Attempt Attempt
Joel Roca Casals takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Arnau Martinez scores, making it 1-1.
48
Attempt Attempt
Arnau Martinez scores with a right-footed shot.
48
Attempt Attempt
Azzedine Ounahi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Affengruber receives a yellow card.
46
Substitution Substitution
John Nwankwo Donald is substituted for Buba Sangare.
45
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Gil Salvatierra takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bryan Gil Salvatierra receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz scores, making it 0-1.
39
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Daniel Rodriguez Munoz takes a left-footed shot and scores.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Buba Sangare receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Girona and Elche highlighted a competitive encounter where the visitors struck first before the hosts responded. Possession favored Girona yet failed to translate into a winning margin. Both teams demonstrated resilience in maintaining their defensive structures after the halftime break. The lack of disciplinary incidents allowed uninterrupted play throughout the ninety minutes. Overall the result underscored the challenges faced by the stronger side in converting territorial dominance into goals. This outcome leaves both clubs with points to reflect upon in their respective campaigns.

Girona vs Elche preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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