Südtirol vs Bari 1908 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Marco Druso Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Südtirol SUD
Versus
Bari 1908 BAR
KICKOFF : Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Final Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Südtirol welcomes Bari 1908 to Stadio Marco Druso for the decisive second leg of the Serie B Relegation Play-offs Final. With power scores tightly matched at 51.47 for the hosts and 51.37 for the visitors, Südtirol holds a marginal 0.1-point advantage, marking them as the slightly stronger side. Bari enters with superior recent form, boasting a 16.78 score compared to Südtirol's 7.11, reflecting their momentum from earlier rounds. Both teams finished low in the standings, Südtirol in 16th and Bari in 17th, making this clash a high-stakes battle for survival. Lacking detailed efficiency metrics or set-piece data due to unavailable xG, the focus shifts to overall structure and transitions. Home advantage could prove pivotal in this two-legged tie's conclusion, where defensive solidity and quick counters might define the outcome. Fans anticipate a tense affair as neither side concedes easily in knockout scenarios.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Power scores show Südtirol slightly ahead at 51.47 versus Bari's 51.37.
  • Form: Bari demonstrates stronger recent form with a 16.78 score against Südtirol's 7.11.
  • Squad: Südtirol finished 16th and Bari 17th in the Serie B standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unspecified in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data without xG details.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Südtirol 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Bari 1908 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Südtirol F. Castori
F. Castori
VS
Bari 1908 M. Longo
M. Longo
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: 51 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 D
Sampdoria Rank: 53 L
Mantova Rank: 52 L
Spezia Rank: 52 L
Modena Rank: 56 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Südtirol Rank: 51 D
Catanzaro Rank: 61 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 49 W
Avellino Rank: 52 L
Venezia Rank: 71 L
Monza Rank: 66 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Südtirol
0%
Draw
0%
Away Bari 1908
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.47
51.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Südtirol
Bari 1908
Power Score
51.47
51.37
League Position
16
17
Global Rank
749
751

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Südtirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Südtirol Bari 1908

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Südtirol SUD Home
10 matches
Bari 1908 BAR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
4
Goals
8
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
8
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:12:22+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 22, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium :
Stadio Marco Druso
Capacity :
5539
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Alessio Cragno
Alessio Cragno Goalkeeper
1
Daniele Borra
Daniele Borra Goalkeeper
31
Marius Adamonis
Marius Adamonis Goalkeeper
62
Daniel Theiner
Daniel Theiner Goalkeeper
34
Frédéric Veseli
Frédéric Veseli Defender
5
Andrea Masiello
Andrea Masiello Defender
19
Nicola Pietrangeli
Nicola Pietrangeli Defender
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
Hamza El Kaouakibi Defender
24
Simone Davì
Simone Davì Defender
28
Raphael Kofler
Raphael Kofler Defender
23
Federico Davi
Federico Davi Defender
3
Filipe Bordon
Filipe Bordon Defender
4
Davide Mancini
Davide Mancini Defender
79
Salvatore Molina
Salvatore Molina Midfielder
14
Mamadou Coulibaly
Mamadou Coulibaly Midfielder
89
Domen Črnigoj
Domen Črnigoj Midfielder
17
Daniele Casiraghi
Daniele Casiraghi Midfielder
21
Fabian Tait
Fabian Tait Midfielder
7
Karim Zedadka
Karim Zedadka Midfielder
18
Simone Tronchin
Simone Tronchin Midfielder
26
Marco Frigerio
Marco Frigerio Midfielder
6
Jacopo Martini
Jacopo Martini Midfielder
90
Raphael Odogwu
Raphael Odogwu Attacker
9
Emanuele Pecorino
Emanuele Pecorino Attacker
11
Riccardo Tonin
Riccardo Tonin Attacker
33
Silvio Merkaj
Silvio Merkaj Attacker
99
Simone Verdi
Simone Verdi Coach

Squad ▼

31
Michele Cerofolini
Michele Cerofolini Goalkeeper
12
Davide Marfella
Davide Marfella Goalkeeper
1
Marco Pissardo
Marco Pissardo Goalkeeper
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Dimitrios Nikolaou Defender
13
Valerio Mantovani
Valerio Mantovani Defender
25
Raffaele Pucino
Raffaele Pucino Defender
24
Lorenzo Dickmann
Lorenzo Dickmann Defender
51
Andrea Cistana
Andrea Cistana Defender
3
Riccardo Burgio
Riccardo Burgio Defender
26
Cas Odenthal
Cas Odenthal Defender
93
Emile Dorval
Emile Dorval Defender
30
Balla Moussa Manè
Balla Moussa Manè Defender
37
Giacomo Stabile
Giacomo Stabile Defender
29
Matthias Verreth
Matthias Verreth Midfielder
10
Nicola Bellomo
Nicola Bellomo Midfielder
18
Giulio Maggiore
Giulio Maggiore Midfielder
7
Giuseppe Sibilli
Giuseppe Sibilli Midfielder
28
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Midfielder
19
Tomás Lago Pontes Esteves
Tomás Lago Pontes Esteves Midfielder
27
Matthias Braunöder
Matthias Braunöder Midfielder
5
Ebrima Darboe
Ebrima Darboe Midfielder
80
Federico Artioli
Federico Artioli Midfielder
20
Nicolò Cavuoti
Nicolò Cavuoti Midfielder
8
Riccardo Pagano
Riccardo Pagano Midfielder
66
Daouda Traoré
Daouda Traoré Midfielder
9
Christian Gytkjær
Christian Gytkjær Attacker
11
Gabriele Moncini
Gabriele Moncini Attacker
21
Anthony Partipilo
Anthony Partipilo Attacker
90
Marvin Cuni
Marvin Cuni Attacker
17
Emanuele Rao
Emanuele Rao Attacker
49
Giacomo De Pieri
Giacomo De Pieri Attacker

CONCLUSION

This second-leg showdown pits two evenly matched sides in a relegation scrap, with Südtirol's home edge clashing against Bari's hotter form. Expect a cautious approach, emphasizing structure over flair given the sparse advanced stats. Südtirol's faint power lead might tip scales if they capitalize on venue familiarity, yet Bari's momentum demands respect. Without set-piece or efficiency edges, transitions and squad resilience will decide progression. A draw could force penalties, heightening drama in this Serie B finale. Victory here secures top-flight status for the winner.

Südtirol vs Bari 1908 preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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