Elfsborg vs Mjällby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Thu, 21 May - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
1 – 1
Mjällby Mjällby
Full Time Thu, 21 May 5:00 PM
Round 15 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Elfsborg hosted Mjällby in a tightly contested fixture that finished 1-1. The home side struck first to lead 1-0 at halftime before the visitors responded with an equalizer in the second period. Mjällby controlled more of the ball with 57 percent possession while Elfsborg held 43 percent. No red cards were shown to players from either team during the ninety minutes. Mjällby entered as the stronger side yet could not claim victory on the day. The significant deviation attached to the away team reflected their inability to convert territorial advantage into a winning margin. Both sides displayed moments of quality but ultimately settled for a share of the points after a balanced encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mjällby showed a significant structural deviation from pre-match projections during the match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the performances delivered by both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals information remained unavailable so alignment with the 1-1 score could not be checked.
  • Market alignment: The final result demonstrated no market alignment because of the large deviation recorded.
  • xG expectations: Without xG figures available expectations could not be measured against the 1-1 outcome.
  • Event impact: The draw carried notable event impact after Elfsborg led 1-0 at the interval.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred so no distortion from dismissals affected the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Aganovic

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Leek

1st Assistant

Sweden

J. Dahl

2nd Assistant

Sweden

O. Johnson

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.99
Yellow cards / match 3.26
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.18
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.63
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 45 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 50 W
AIK Rank: 57 D
Kalmar Rank: 50 L
Djurgården Rank: 65 W
Degerfors Rank: 48 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 59 L
Degerfors Rank: 49 W
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
GAIS Rank: 61 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 50 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 6 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
43.79%
Draw
28.3%
Away Mjällby
27.91%

Movement

Changes since opening
Elfsborg
+39.35%
Draw
-63.2%
Mjällby
+23.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.94
69.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
Mjällby
Power Score
57.94
69.04
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
548
227

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg Mjällby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.93
22.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.19
35.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg +1.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Mjällby -1.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Mjällby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg Mjällby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg Mjällby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
Mjällby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
Mjällby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg Mjällby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.27
Mjällby 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg Mjällby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.03
Mjällby 0.02
Elfsborg
Mjällby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Mjällby had peak pressure around 52'.
  • ELF started the game with stronger pressure.
ELF Pressure Mjällby Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Mjällby reached the top pressure at 52' (82.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
22 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
10
Wins
6
6
Draws
6
6
Losses
10
Goals
35
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
35
+9
Goal Difference
-9

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:01:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
R. Wallinder
Sweden
13 R. Wallinder
L. Tidstrand
Sweden
27 L. Tidstrand
L. Svanberg
Substitution
Sweden
2 L. Svanberg
T. Miettinen
Finland
33 T. Miettinen
R. Leandersson
Substitution
39 R. Leandersson
L. Malachowski Thorell
Sweden
6 L. Malachowski Thorell
J. Gustavsson
Sweden
22 J. Gustavsson
W. Granath
Substitution
Sweden
14 W. Granath
B. Bang-Kittilsen
Substitution
Norway
15 B. Bang-Kittilsen
J. Bergström
Sweden
18 J. Bergström
J. Kjaer
Substitution
Denmark
10 J. Kjaer

General Information

Date & Time :
May 21, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Borås Arena
Capacity :
17800
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Adi Aganovic
Pär Leek
Jonas Dahl
Oscar Johnson

Statistics

Possession
ELF
47%
Mjällby
53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
13 Shots 11
49 Dangerous attacks 33
43 Possession 57
4 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Injuries 1
68 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
15 Throwins 17
11 Goal Kicks 10
1 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
25 Dribble Attempts 16
17 Successful Dribbles 8
9 Goal Attempts 6
73 Ball Safe 79
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

102 Attacks 104
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 88
325 Successful Passes 476
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
25 Successful Long Passes 27
404 Passes 540
57 Long Passes 53
10 Key Passes 10

Defensive

27 Tackles 15
2 Saves 3
66 Duels Won 44
8 Interceptions 5

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 10
5 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

10 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed Defender
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari
Defender84'
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara
Midfielder65'
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck Midfielder
16
A. Hellemaa
A. Hellemaa
Midfielder73'
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli Attacker
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson
Attacker65'
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman Attacker
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler
Attacker84'
Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
3
Christian Tchouante
Christian Tchouante
Defender63'
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Defender
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Midfielder
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
21
Ibrahim Adewale
Ibrahim Adewale
Attacker84'
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Midfielder
39
Romeo Leandersson
Romeo Leandersson Midfielder
23
Á. Samuelsen
Á. Samuelsen
Attacker56'
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder84'
15
Bork Bang-Kittilsen
Bork Bang-Kittilsen Attacker
8
T. Helge
T. Helge
Midfielder63'
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Tony Miettinen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Ibrahim Adewale
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
F. Ihler → Leo Östman
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Ibrahim Buhari → Rufai Mohammed
8th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Olle Lindberg → Jeppe Kjær
10th Substitution
84'
Event
Ibrahim Adewale → Villiam Granath
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Karl Marius Aksum
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
A. Hellemaa → Julius Beck
6th Substitution
73'
Event
M. Kamara → Simon Hedlund
4th Substitution
65'
Event
A. Sigurpálsson → Arbër Zeneli
5th Substitution
65'
63'
Event
T. Helge → Bork Bang-Kittilsen
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Christian Tchouante → Ludvig Svanberg
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Á. Samuelsen → Romeo Leandersson
1st Substitution
49'
Event
Jeppe Kjær
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Jeppe Kjær
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Arbër Zeneli
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'
Event
Leo Östman
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Holmen takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Ihler takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Update Update
Ibrahim Adewale comes on for Villiam Granath.
84
Update Update
Olle Lindberg comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
84
Update Update
Frederik Ihler comes on for Leo Ostman.
83
Attempt Attempt
Christian Tchouante takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Attempt Attempt
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Aki Samuelsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Update Update
Altti Hellemaa is on, and Julius Beck is off.
65
Update Update
Ari Sigurpalsson is on, and Arber Zeneli is off.
65
Update Update
Momoh Kamara comes on for Simon Hedlund.
63
Update Update
Christian Tchouante replaces Ludvig Svanberg.
63
Update Update
Teo Helge is on, and Bork Classonn Bang-Kittilsen is off.
56
Update Update
Aki Samuelsen is on, and Romeo Leandersson is off.
53
Attempt Attempt
Rufai Mohammed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Niklas Hult takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jeppe Kjaer scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jeppe Kjaer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jeppe Kjaer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Bork Classonn Bang-Kittilsen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Arber Zeneli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Simon Hedlund's left-footed shot is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Tony Miettinen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ludvig Svanberg receives a yellow card.
11
Attempt Attempt
Leo Ostman's right-footed shot is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Leo Ostman with his right foot results in a goal.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Leo Ostman with his right foot results in a goal.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw leaves both Elfsborg and Mjällby with a single point from an even contest marked by contrasting halves. Elfsborg defended their early advantage until Mjällby found the necessary response after the break. Possession favored the visitors yet failed to translate into three points. The absence of any red cards kept the game at eleven versus eleven throughout. Significant deviation for Mjällby underscored how their stronger billing did not produce a victory. Efficiency remained consistent with the level each team showed on the day. Overall the result highlights the competitive nature of the fixture and sets up further intrigue for upcoming matches between these sides.

Elfsborg vs Mjällby preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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