Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Thu, 21 May - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Gent GNT
0 0
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
Full Time Thu, 21 May 6:30 PM
Round 9 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Gent 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise. The match ended in a draw. Union Saint-Gilloise showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Gent 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine alignment with the result.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Null xG values prevented specific expectations from being evaluated.
  • Event impact: The match proceeded without major events influencing the final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in zero distortion to the game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Vergoote

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Seeldraeyers

1st Assistant

Belgium

M. Tiesters

2nd Assistant

Belgium

M. Ledda

4th Official

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.79
Yellow cards / match 3.31
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.32
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.04
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 D
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 87 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 86 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 77 L
Anderlecht Rank: 74 W
Gent Rank: 72 D
Club Brugge Rank: 87 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
4.06%
Draw
91.5%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
4.44%

Movement

Changes since opening
Gent
-0.01%
Draw
+0.51%
Union Saint-Gilloise
-0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.01
84.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
72.01
84.83
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
162
34

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Gent Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Union Saint-Gilloise

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Gent

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Union Saint-Gilloise

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gent ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Union Saint-Gilloise
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.26
33.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.98
23.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gent -1.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise +1.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gent ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Union Saint-Gilloise
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gent Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gent Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Gent
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gent Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gent Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USG had peak pressure around 22'.
  • GNT started the game with stronger pressure.
GNT Pressure USG Pressure
Pressure Index: USG reached the top pressure at 22' (95.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
13 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
0
Goals
8
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
8
-12
Goal Difference
+12

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:03:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Roef
Belgium
33 D. Roef
J. Duverne
Haiti
29 J. Duverne
D. Hashioka
Japan
4 D. Hashioka
S. Van der Heyden
Belgium
44 S. Van der Heyden
T. Alves Araújo
Substitution
Portugal
20 T. Alves Araújo
L. da Silva Lopes
Portugal
22 L. da Silva Lopes
T. De Vlieger
Belgium
27 T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper
Substitution
Belgium
17 M. Delorge-Knieper
M. Skóraś
Poland
8 M. Skóraś
A. Kanga
Substitution
France
7 A. Kanga
B. Goore
Substitution
45 B. Goore
Pitch
K. Scherpen
Netherlands
37 K. Scherpen
F. Leysen
Belgium
48 F. Leysen
C. Burgess
England
16 C. Burgess
K. Mac Allister
Argentina
5 K. Mac Allister
O. Niang
Substitution
Senegal
22 O. Niang
A. Zorgane
Algeria
8 A. Zorgane
K. Van de Perre
Belgium
6 K. Van de Perre
A. Khalaili
Substitution
Israel
25 A. Khalaili
A. El Hadj
Substitution
Belgium
10 A. El Hadj
B. Zeneli
Substitution
Sweden
23 B. Zeneli
K. Rodríguez Cortéz
Substitution
Ecuador
13 K. Rodríguez Cortéz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 21, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 9 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Planet Group Arena
Capacity :
20185
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jasper Vergoote
Michele Seeldraeyers
Martijn Tiesters
Massimiliano Ledda

Statistics

Possession
GNT
47%
USG
53%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 5
34 Dangerous attacks 67
46 Possession 54
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 7
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

3 Injuries 1
5 Goal Attempts 12
67 Ball Safe 58
10 Goal Kicks 8
1 Penalties 0
11 Throwins 23
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80
8 Successful Dribbles 4
16 Dribble Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 2
99 Attacks 105

Possession

76 Long Passes 46
7 Key Passes 12
85 Successful Passes Percentage 86
451 Passes 549
383 Successful Passes 470
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
45 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

8 Saves 1
14 Interceptions 8
7 Tackles 16
37 Duels Won 41

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 16
9 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Jasper Vergoote

Starting XI

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Defender
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Defender
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert
Defender84'
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Defender
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Defender
17
Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge Midfielder
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong
Midfielder84'
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Midfielder
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Midfielder
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
75
Ibrahima Cissé
Ibrahima Cissé
Attacker71'
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Attacker
45
Hyllarion Goore
Hyllarion Goore Attacker
11
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Attacker53'
Referee : Jasper Vergoote

Starting XI

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister Defender
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess Defender
48
Fedde Leysen
Fedde Leysen Defender
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Midfielder
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Midfielder
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang Midfielder
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith
Midfielder62'
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
27
Louis Patris
Louis Patris
Defender82'
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Attacker
30
Raul Florucz
Raul Florucz
Attacker89'
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez Attacker
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic
Attacker62'
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli Attacker
7
Mohammed Fuseini
Mohammed Fuseini
Attacker62'

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Raul Florucz Anouar Ait El Hadj
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Mateo Biondic
Goal disallowed
Event
Matties Volckaert Tiago Araújo
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Hyun-seok Hong Mathias Delorge
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
83'
82'
Event
Louis Patris Anan Khalaili
6th Substitution
Event
Ibrahima Cissé Wilfried Kanga
5th Substitution
71'
62'
Event
Mateo Biondic Kevin Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Mohammed Fuseini Besfort Zeneli
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Guilherme Smith Ousseynou Niang
4th Substitution
Event
Michal Skoras
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Siebe Van der Heyden
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Momodou Lamin Sonko Hyllarion Goore
1st Substitution
53'
1ST-HALF
Event
Wilfried Kanga
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Event
Wilfried Kanga
GoalkeeperSave
6'

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
Raul Alexander Florucz comes on for Anouar Ait El Hadj.
86
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic scores with a right-footed shot.
86
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Mateo Biondic.
84
Update Update
Matties Volckaert comes on for Tiago Araujo.
84
Update Update
Hong Hyun Seok replaces Mathias Delorge-Knieper.
83
Attempt Attempt
Mohammed Fuseini's right-footed shot is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Fuseini with his right foot is saved.
78
Attempt Attempt
Momodou Sonko's right-footed shot is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic takes a shot with his head but misses.
62
Update Update
Mateo Biondic comes on for Kevin Rodriguez.
62
Update Update
Mohammed Fuseini comes on for Besfort Zeneli.
62
Substitution Substitution
Guilherme Smith is substituted for Ousseynou Niang.
53
Update Update
Momodou Sonko is on, and Hyllarion Goore is off.
48
Attempt Attempt
Tibe De Vlieger takes a header but misses the shot.
48
Attempt Attempt
Tibe De Vlieger takes a header shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Michal Skoras takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wilfried Kanga Aka receives a yellow card.
39
Attempt Attempt
Christian Burgess attempts a header but misses the shot.
37
Attempt Attempt
Anouar Ait El Hadj takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Anan Khalaili's left-footed shot is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Besfort Zeneli takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Rodriguez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Daiki Hashioka takes a header shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Fedde Leysen's header is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Christian Burgess's header is saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Besfort Zeneli's right-footed shot is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Adem Zorgane takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Da Silva Lopes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Da Silva Lopes attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Wilfried Kanga Aka takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Wilfried Kanga Aka takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jasper Vergoote.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Gent 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise. Structural assessment: Union Saint-Gilloise exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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