Start vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Sparebanken Sør Arena Wed, 20 May - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Start Start
1 Winner 4
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Full Time Wed, 20 May 4:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
H. Lorentzen - 45+7' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Håkon Evjen - 87'
Sondre Auklend - 44'
Fredrik Sjøvold - 24'
Ousmane Diallo Toure 37' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Start hosted Bodø / Glimt in a fixture that concluded with a 1-4 result for the visitors. The halftime score was recorded at 1-2. Bodø / Glimt controlled the game with 78 percent possession while Start managed 22 percent. A red card to the home side occurred during the contest and contributed to adjustments in the second half. The stronger team Bodø / Glimt secured the win in line with pre-match expectations. A significant deviation of 27 percent was noted for the away side. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns and the outcome aligned with available market indicators. Expected goals figures were not recorded for either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant 27 percent deviation was recorded for Bodø / Glimt.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not recorded for this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were available for analysis.
  • Event impact: The away side converted dominance into a 1-4 victory.
  • Red card distortion: A home red card altered dynamics in the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Lien

Norway 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Jaeger

1st Assistant

Norway

I. Jahr

2nd Assistant

Norway

J. Haga

4th Official

Norway

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.52
Yellow cards / match 3.22
Red cards / match 0.14
Penalties / match 0.24
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
VS
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
0.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 79 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
HamKam Rank: 60 L
Molde Rank: 66 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: 69 W
Molde Rank: 65 L
Start Rank: 49 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 W
Aalesund Rank: 45 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 59 D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Start
11.11%
Draw
15.85%
Away Bodø / Glimt
73.04%

Movement

Changes since opening
Start
+10.87%
Draw
+13.93%
Bodø / Glimt
-24.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.67
82.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Start
Bodø / Glimt
Power Score
47.67
82.43
League Position
16
3
Global Rank
801
48

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Start — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Start Bodø / Glimt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Start

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Start ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.00
31.99
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.99
45.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Start +1.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -1.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Start
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Start ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Start Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Start Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Start
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Start
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Start Bodø / Glimt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Start 0.50
Bodø / Glimt 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Start Bodø / Glimt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Start 0.03
Bodø / Glimt 0.06
Start
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 11'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
Start Pressure BOD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 11' (92.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Start Start Home
14 matches
Bodø / Glimt BOD Away
Match Record
5
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
17
-12
Goal Difference
+12

Data last updated: 2026-05-21T00:01:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Larsen
Denmark
1 J. Larsen
O. Toure
Norway
27 O. Toure
O. Jebali
Tunisia
5 O. Jebali
J. Norheim
Norway
6 J. Norheim
A. Ujkani
Substitution
Norway
3 A. Ujkani
T. Strannegard
Sweden
16 T. Strannegard
S. Mvoue
Substitution
Cameroon
10 S. Mvoue
E. Segberg
Substitution
Norway
23 E. Segberg
M. Ugland
Norway
18 M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen
Substitution
Norway
20 H. Lorentzen
J. Cornelius
Substitution
17 J. Cornelius
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
I. Määttä
Substitution
Norway
25 I. Määttä
J. Maurstad Gundersen
Substitution
Norway
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
S. Auklend
Substitution
Norway
8 S. Auklend
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
Norway
19 S. Brunstad Fet
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
A. Helmersen
Norway
21 A. Helmersen
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg

General Information

Date & Time :
May 20, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Sparebanken Sør Arena
Capacity :
14563
Attendance :
10494
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Aleksander Jaeger
Ivar Michael Jahr
Jørgen Haga
Marius Lien

Statistics

Possession
Start
28%
BOD
72%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 7
18 Dangerous attacks 119
22 Possession 78
1 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 7
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

7 Dribble Attempts 12
16 Throwins 16
0 Assists 3
13 Goal Kicks 4
2 Successful Dribbles 1
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 8
63 Ball Safe 58
4 Goal Attempts 13
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

67 Attacks 163

Possession

60 Successful Passes Percentage 90
217 Passes 745
4 Key Passes 13
23 Successful Long Passes 38
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
64 Long Passes 65
131 Successful Passes 670

Defensive

15 Tackles 12
39 Duels Won 40
3 Saves 1
8 Interceptions 5

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 11
4 Total Crosses 31

Discipline

7 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
3
A. Ujkani
A. Ujkani Defender
13
S. Griesbeck
S. Griesbeck
Midfielder77'
5
O. Jebali
O. Jebali Defender
6
John Norheim
John Norheim Defender
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Defender
27
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Ousmane Diallo Toure Defender
10
S. Mvoué
S. Mvoué Midfielder
14
Markus Soomets
Markus Soomets
Midfielder60'
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland Midfielder
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
37
Filip Strømland Lien
Filip Strømland Lien
Midfielder86'
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Attacker
22
J. Ampofo
J. Ampofo
Attacker60'
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen Attacker
2
F. Pålerud
F. Pålerud
Defender46'
Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Defender
2
Villads Nielsen
Villads Nielsen
Defender77'
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä Defender
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan
Defender67'
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen
Midfielder66'
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Attacker81'
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen
Attacker77'
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Håkon Evjen
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Filip Strømland Lien → Erlend Segberg
10th Substitution
86'
81'
Event
Mikkel Bro Hansen → Jens Petter Hauge
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Patrick Berg
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
S. Griesbeck → A. Ujkani
7th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Ola Brynhildsen → Ole Didrik Blomberg
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Villads Nielsen → Jostein Gundersen
8th Substitution
67'
Event
Fredrik Bjørkan → Isak Dybvik Määttä
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Håkon Evjen → Sondre Auklend
4th Substitution
Event
J. Ampofo → J. Cornelius
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Markus Soomets → S. Mvoué
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Azar Karadas
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
53'
Event
F. Pålerud → H. Lorentzen
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
H. Lorentzen
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
45+7'
Event
O. Jebali
Goal awarded
45+6'
44'
Event
Sondre Auklend
Goal awarded
44'
Event
Sondre Auklend
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
37'
24'
Event
Fredrik Sjøvold
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt maintained control throughout after establishing a halftime lead of 1-2. Their 78 percent possession share limited Start to minimal opportunities and the single red card issued to the home team further restricted options after the interval. The 1-4 scoreline reflected the away side's ability to capitalize on territorial advantages without reliance on external factors. Structural elements showed a clear deviation favoring the stronger team yet efficiency stayed aligned with baseline measures. Absence of expected goals data prevented deeper metric comparison but the result remained consistent with pre-match positioning. The red card introduced measurable distortion that shaped second-half proceedings and contributed to the final margin.

Start vs Bodø / Glimt preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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