GAIS vs Hammarby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Wed, 20 May - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
GAIS GAIS
2 Winner 0
Hammarby HAM
Full Time Wed, 20 May 5:00 PM
Round 15 Regular Season
S. Salter - 81'
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson - 26'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Hampus Skoglund 71'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. GAIS 2–0 Hammarby. The result saw GAIS take the points. GAIS showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 36%–64%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: GAIS 2-0 Hammarby. GAIS showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Al Hakim

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Wilde

1st Assistant

Sweden

A. Spahić

2nd Assistant

Sweden

G. Maqedonci

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.7
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.07
Penalties / match 0.18
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
VS
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 D
Häcken Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 63 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Djurgården Rank: 65 D
Halmstad Rank: 46 D
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home GAIS
29.86%
Draw
27.87%
Away Hammarby
42.27%

Movement

Changes since opening
GAIS
-68.03%
Draw
+25.95%
Hammarby
+42.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.62
68.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
GAIS
Hammarby
Power Score
60.62
68.56
League Position
7
2
Global Rank
469
245

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) GAIS Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
49.31
30.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.08
49.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
GAIS +1.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Hammarby -1.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Hammarby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
GAIS Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
GAIS Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
GAIS
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
GAIS Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
GAIS 0.46
Hammarby 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
GAIS Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
GAIS 0.00
Hammarby 0.06
GAIS
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 49'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
GAIS Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 49' (85.87).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

GAIS GAIS Home
12 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
5
Goals
20
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
20
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-21T00:02:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Krasniqi
Sweden
1 M. Krasniqi
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
O. Ågren
Sweden
4 O. Ågren
M. de Brienne
Canada
2 M. de Brienne
W. Milovanovic
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
J. Åberg
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
R. Þorkelsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
M. Andersson
Substitution
Sweden
16 M. Andersson
S. Salter
Substitution
Canada
20 S. Salter
R. Niklasson Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson

General Information

Date & Time :
May 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mohammed Al Hakim
Robin Wilde
Almira Spahić
Granit Maqedonci

Statistics

Possession
GAIS
41%
HAM
59%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 11
35 Dangerous attacks 45
36 Possession 64
2 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

15 Dribble Attempts 21
62 Ball Safe 74
11 Goal Kicks 6
13 Throwins 23
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 24
8 Successful Dribbles 5
10 Goal Attempts 12
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

95 Attacks 119
3 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

11 Key Passes 8
75 Long Passes 45
25 Successful Long Passes 18
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
264 Successful Passes 564
364 Passes 653
73 Successful Passes Percentage 86

Defensive

19 Interceptions 11
27 Tackles 17
61 Duels Won 52
3 Saves 5

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 17
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne Defender
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Defender
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman
Defender80'
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej
Defender87'
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker74'
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson Attacker
25
Jonas Lindberg
Jonas Lindberg
Midfielder80'
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
21
S. Ekong
S. Ekong
Attacker86'
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson
Defender74'
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Midfielder
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker84'
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder63'
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré Attacker
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara
Midfielder63'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Robin Frej → Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
10th Substitution
87'
Event
S. Ekong → S. Salter
9th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Paulos Abraham
8th Substitution
Event
S. Salter
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
Filip Beckman → Joackim Åberg
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Jonas Lindberg → M. Andersson
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Oscar Pettersson → Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
5th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Noah Persson → Frederik Winther
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Frank Junior Adjei
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Hampus Skoglund
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Joackim Åberg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
63'
Event
Nahir Besara → Elohim Kaboré
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Montader Madjed
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Oskar Ågren
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
26'
24'
Event
Hampus Skoglund
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Fofana takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Fofana's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Update Update
Robin Sixten Frej is on, and Robert Frosti Thorkelsson is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Vasic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Shalom Ekong is on, and Samuel Salter is off.
84
Update Update
Nikola Vasic comes on for Paulos Abraham.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Samuel Salter scores, making it 2-0.
81
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter scores with a left-footed shot.
81
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter scores with a left-footed shot.
80
Update Update
Jonas Lindberg comes on for Max Andersson.
80
Update Update
Filip Beckman replaces Joackim Aberg.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oscar Pettersson comes on for Rasmus Johansson.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oscar Pettersson comes on for Rasmus Johansson.
74
Update Update
Oliver Hagen is on, and Frederik Franck Winther is off.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hampus Skoglund receives a second yellow card.
65
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara's left-footed shot is saved.
63
Update Update
Frank Junior Adjei replaces Moise Kabore.
63
Update Update
Nahir Besara comes on for Montader Madjed.
60
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter's header is saved.
56
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a header but misses the shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Johansson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Joackim Aberg takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter attempts a header but misses the shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter attempts a header but misses the shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Joackim Aberg takes a left-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic attempts a header but misses the shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Moise Kabore takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
32
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson scores with a left-footed shot.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hampus Skoglund receives a yellow card.
16
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind's right-footed shot is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Moise Kabore attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mohammed Al-Hakim.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: GAIS 2-0 Hammarby. Structural assessment: GAIS exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

GAIS vs Hammarby preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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