Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi Tue, 19 May - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Sporting Charleroi SPC
1 – 1
OH Leuven OHL
Full Time Tue, 19 May 6:30 PM
Round 9 Conference League Play-off Group
Aurélien Scheidler - 48'
Goal
|
Goal
Christ Souanga - 20'

CONTEXT

Sporting Charleroi hosted OH Leuven in a league encounter that ended in a 1-1 draw. The home team controlled the majority of the ball with 62 percent possession compared to the visitors 38 percent. Despite this advantage Sporting Charleroi found themselves behind at halftime after OH Leuven scored the opening goal. The score at the interval stood at 0-1. In the second half the hosts mounted a comeback to level the score at 1-1. No red cards were shown to players from either side during the ninety minutes. Pre-match assessments identified Sporting Charleroi as the stronger side but the final result reflected a balanced outcome. The deviation from expected patterns was moderate at 8.6 percent involving the home team. Efficiency metrics remained consistent with prior trends for both clubs. The match showcased a shift in momentum after the break where Sporting Charleroi increased their pressure to secure the equalizer.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting Charleroi held 62 percent possession yet settled for a 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for performance evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved consistent with pre-match projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were recorded to compare against actual results.
  • Event impact: OH Leuven led 0-1 at halftime before Sporting Charleroi equalized.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter team structures or dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

B. Put

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Gonnissen

2nd Assistant

Belgium

M. Allaerts

4th Official

Belgium

L. Jans

1st Assistant

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.2
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.31
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
VS
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: 70 L
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 L
Westerlo Rank: 70 L
Antwerp Rank: 69 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Charleroi
6.28%
Draw
91.43%
Away OH Leuven
2.3%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting Charleroi
+0.75%
Draw
+0.2%
OH Leuven
-0.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.34
65.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
Power Score
71.34
65.94
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
174
307

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Charleroi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

OH Leuven

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy OH Leuven
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.48
33.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.55
40.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Charleroi +0.66 Efficiency Index
vs
OH Leuven -0.66 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy OH Leuven
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting Charleroi
vs
OH Leuven
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting Charleroi 0.35
OH Leuven 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting Charleroi 0.03
OH Leuven 0.02
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPC had peak pressure around 87'.
  • SPC started the game with stronger pressure.
SPC Pressure OHL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SPC reached the top pressure at 87' (91.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
23 matches
OH Leuven OHL Away
Match Record
6
Wins
9
8
Draws
8
9
Losses
6
Goals
21
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
21
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
2.52
xG
1.46
1.46
xGA
2.52

Data last updated: 2026-05-20T00:06:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Kone
France
30 M. Kone
L. Blum
Switzerland
27 L. Blum
A. Ousou
Sweden
4 A. Ousou
C. keita
France
95 C. keita
M. Nzita
Substitution
Belgium
24 M. Nzita
Y. Titraoui
Algeria
22 Y. Titraoui
E. Camara
Substitution
France
5 E. Camara
K. Van Den Kerkhof
Substitution
Algeria
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
P. Pflücke
Substitution
Germany
14 P. Pflücke
P. Guiagon
Substitution
Ivory Coast
10 P. Guiagon
A. Scheidler
France
21 A. Scheidler
Pitch
T. Leysen
Belgium
1 T. Leysen
T. Ominami
Japan
5 T. Ominami
E. Pletinckx
Belgium
28 E. Pletinckx
M. Souanga
Belgium
63 M. Souanga
H. Teklab
Germany
14 H. Teklab
S. Schrijvers
Substitution
Belgium
8 S. Schrijvers
W. George
Substitution
Belgium
6 W. George
D. Opoku
Belgium
99 D. Opoku
W. Balikwisha
Substitution
Belgium
21 W. Balikwisha
A. Traoré
Substitution
9 A. Traoré
K. Vaesen
Substitution
Belgium
17 K. Vaesen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 19, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 9 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity :
15000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Bert Put
Ben Gonnissen
Michiel Allaerts
Lennert Jans

Statistics

Possession
SPC
60%
OHL
40%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
16 Shots 9
62 Dangerous attacks 35
62 Possession 38
14 Corners 6
8 Free kicks 9

Match Overview

63 Ball Safe 63
1 Injuries 0
13 Goal Attempts 6
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Kicks 11
28 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
23 Throwins 14
18 Dribble Attempts 10
5 Successful Dribbles 6

Attacking

123 Attacks 59

Possession

478 Passes 287
418 Successful Passes 229
41 Long Passes 53
25 Successful Long Passes 20
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
18 Key Passes 10
87 Successful Passes Percentage 80

Defensive

42 Duels Won 43
1 Saves 6
17 Tackles 19
3 Interceptions 12

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 19
11 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

9 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Defender
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Defender
23
Jules Gaudin
Jules Gaudin
Defender46'
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Defender
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Defender
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Midfielder
25
Antoine Colassin
Antoine Colassin
Attacker58'
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Midfielder
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi
Midfielder73'
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Midfielder
45
Y. Cisse
Y. Cisse
Midfielder87'
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke Midfielder
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier
Attacker58'
22
Yassine Titraoui
Yassine Titraoui Midfielder
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Attacker
Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI ▼

1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Defender
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
63
Christ Souanga
Christ Souanga Defender
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Midfielder
24
Lukasz Lakomy
Lukasz Lakomy
Midfielder83'
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder
48
Bryang Kayo
Bryang Kayo
Midfielder64'
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Midfielder
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku Midfielder
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba
Attacker73'
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Attacker
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Attacker73'
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha Attacker
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz
Midfielder64'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Y. Cisse → Parfait Guiagon
10th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Lukasz Lakomy → Wouter George
9th Substitution
Event
Yassine Khalifi → Étienne Camara
8th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi → Kyan Vaesen
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Sory Kaba → Abdoul Karim Traoré
7th Substitution
64'
Event
Bryang Kayo → Siebe Schrijvers
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Youssef Maziz → William Balikwisha
5th Substitution
Event
Antoine Bernier → Patrick Pflücke
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Antoine Colassin → Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Aurélien Scheidler
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
Event
Jules Gaudin → Mardochée Nzita
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
20'
Event
Christ Souanga
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Youssef Maziz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui takes a right-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Colassin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Update Update
Yoann Cisse replaces Parfait Guiagon.
85
Attempt Attempt
Youssef Maziz has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Aurelien Scheidler's left-footed shot is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Aiham Ousou's header is saved.
83
Substitution Substitution
Lukasz Lakomy is substituted for Wouter George.
83
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Bernier takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui's right-footed shot is blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Aiham Ousou attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Update Update
Yassine Khalifi comes on for Etienne Camara.
73
Update Update
Sory Kaba is on, and Abdoul Karim Traore is off.
73
Update Update
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi replaces Kyan Vaesen.
69
Attempt Attempt
Lewin Blum takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Colassin takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Aiham Ousou attempts a header but misses the shot.
64
Update Update
Bryang Kayo replaces Siebi Schrijvers.
64
Update Update
Youssef Maziz replaces William Balikwisha.
62
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui's header is saved.
59
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Bernier's left-footed shot is blocked.
58
Update Update
Antoine Colassin comes on for Kevin Van Den Kerkhof.
58
Update Update
Antoine Bernier is on, and Patrick Pflucke is off.
55
Attempt Attempt
Aiham Ousou's header is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Abdoul Karim Traore takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Aurelien Scheidler scores with a right-footed shot.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jules Gaudin is substituted for Mardochee Nzita.
45
Attempt Attempt
William Balikwisha's right-footed shot is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kyan Vaesen takes a header but misses the shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kyan Vaesen attempts a header but misses the shot.
41
Attempt Attempt
Yacine Titraoui takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Abdoul Karim Traore takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Pflucke takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
27
Attempt Attempt
William Balikwisha takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Takuma Ominami takes a header but misses the shot.
23
Attempt Attempt
Davis Opoku's right-footed shot is saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Christ Souanga scores with a right-footed shot.
6
Attempt Attempt
Cheick Keita takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 result between Sporting Charleroi and OH Leuven highlighted the challenges of converting possession into goals. Although the home side enjoyed greater control of the game they were unable to overcome the early deficit until later stages. OH Leuven defended resiliently after their first half strike. With no dismissals occurring the contest remained eleven versus eleven throughout. Alignment with market views was evident as the draw proved consistent with projections. This outcome suggests that future encounters may require better finishing from the possession dominant team to secure victories. The moderate deviation observed indicates room for tactical refinements by Sporting Charleroi in upcoming matches.

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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